FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes Prediction
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes prediction: Sportiko gives FK Crvena Zvezda a 84% chance of winning, Inter Club d'Escaldes 6% and the draw 10%. Last updated 5 Nov 2026, 19:44.
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Match Report
FK Crvena Zvezda overcame a turbulent first half to claim a 2–1 home victory over Inter Club d'Escaldes in the UEFA Europa Conference League league stage. The opening 45 minutes were defined by controversy, with Aleksandar Katai seeing a goal disallowed by VAR for a foul before being shown a red card three minutes later, leaving the hosts to play the majority of the match with ten men. Despite the numerical disadvantage, the scoreline remained goalless at the interval.
The visitors dominated possession and created the clearer chances throughout, registering 25 total shots to Crvena Zvezda's six, and their pressure told when Borja Arellano broke the deadlock on 62 minutes. Escaldes were also reduced to ten men when Domi Berlanga received a second yellow card on 51 minutes, levelling the numerical balance. Vladimir Lučić equalised for the hosts on 80 minutes before a Javier Díaz own goal in stoppage time handed Crvena Zvezda a dramatic winner.
Our pre-match AI model rated a Crvena Zvezda win as most likely at 84%, a call that proved correct despite the match's chaotic and unpredictable nature.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
FK Crvena Zvezda
Match Stats
FK Crvena Zvezda
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Rade Krunić M | 8.2 | 89' | – | 1 | 4 | 60 (53%) | 5 |
| 37 Vladimir Lučić M | 8.0 | 10' | 1 | – | 2 | 7 (7%) | – |
| 32 Derrick Luckassen D | 7.5 | 44' | – | – | – | 15 (14%) | 3 |
| 13 Miloš Veljković D | 7.5 | 89' | – | – | – | 65 (58%) | 1 |
| 14 Osman Bukari M | 7.3 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 13 (13%) | – |
| 75 Loizos Loizou F | 7.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 1 Matheus G | 7.2 | 89' | – | – | – | 19 (16%) | – |
| 60 Matej Gaštarov D | 7.2 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 53 (47%) | – |
| 19 Ye-geon Kim F | 7.0 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 22 Vasilije Kostov M | 6.9 | 68' | – | – | 2 | 34 (30%) | – |
| 4 Mirko Ivanić M | 6.9 | 21' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 3 Yuta Nakayama D | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | – | 52 (50%) | 2 |
| 20 Tomás Händel M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | – |
| 21 Timi Max Elšnik M | 6.6 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 48 (43%) | 1 |
| 9 Ahmadou Bamba Dieng F | 6.3 | 34' | – | – | 4 | 3 (3%) | – |
| 10 Aleksandar Katai F | 5.3 | 35' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
Inter Club d'Escaldes
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Javier Díaz G | 9.9 | 89' | – | – | – | 51 (41%) | – |
| 2 Anwar Hernandez D | 7.6 | 89' | – | – | – | 70 (67%) | 2 |
| 4 Álex Sánchez D | 7.5 | 89' | – | – | – | 53 (48%) | 1 |
| 24 Maurizio Pochettino D | 7.5 | 89' | – | 1 | 1 | 30 (21%) | 3 |
| 8 David López M | 7.0 | 81' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | 2 |
| 70 Borja Arellano F | 7.0 | 31' | 1 | – | 1 | 2 | – |
| 7 Juan Camara M | 6.9 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | 1 |
| 6 Víctor Alonso M | 6.7 | 72' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | 2 |
| 3 Jilmar Torres D | 6.7 | 89' | – | – | – | 51 (37%) | 4 |
| 18 Robin Lafarge D | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 23 Lamine Diaby D | 6.3 | 17' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 9 Faysal Chouaib F | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 7 (3%) | – |
| 31 Soule Sidibe F | 6.2 | 58' | – | – | 2 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 19 Pablo Molina M | 6.2 | 89' | – | – | – | 19 (17%) | 1 |
| 11 Domi Berlanga F | 5.7 | 51' | – | – | 1 | 8 (8%) | – |
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At a glance
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Late goal makes it 2-1! FK Crvena Zvezda win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.
Min 83: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 83.6%. Late goal chance: 17.2%.
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 79.7%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Min 75: Inter Club d'Escaldes leads 0-1. Win probability: 79.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 20.1%.
Goal! Score now 0-1. Inter Club d'Escaldes win: 69.8%. BTTS: 37.8%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
FK Crvena Zvezda — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Inter Club d'Escaldes | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Macva | W | 2 - 4 |
| 28 Oct | A Jedinstvo Ub | W | 1 - 5 |
| 25 Oct | A OFK Beograd | W | 0 - 1 |
| 22 Oct | H FC Copenhagen | D | 2 - 2 |
Inter Club d'Escaldes — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A FK Crvena Zvezda | L | 2 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Penya Encarnada | D | 0 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | A FC Santa Coloma | D | 1 - 1 |
| 22 Oct | H Universitatea Craiova | L | 1 - 3 |
| 18 Oct | H Atlètic Club d'Escaldes | W | 4 - 2 |
UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 |
Panathinaikos
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 3 |
Twente
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Brighton
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
Brann
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
FC Copenhagen
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |
Universitatea Craiova
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |
Mjallby AIF
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 |
St. Truiden
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ajax
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 6 |
| 12 |
Trabzonspor
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |
HNK Hajduk Split
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |
SC Freiburg
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |
FK Crvena Zvezda
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Atalanta
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |
SC Braga
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 |
Gent
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |
Riga
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |
FC Thun
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |
Borac Banja Luka
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |
Lincoln Red Imps FC
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 23 |
FK Jablonec
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 |
| 24 |
Aarhus
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
| 25 |
FC Nordsjaelland
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
| 26 |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 |
Kairat Almaty
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 28 |
CSKA Sofia
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |
FC Iberia 1999
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 30 |
Pafos
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 31 |
Getafe
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 33 |
KuPS
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |
FC Midtjylland
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 35 |
Inter Club d'Escaldes
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |
Kauno Žalgiris
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 0 |
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Javier Díaz | G |
| 24 | Maurizio Pochettino | D |
| 4 | Álex Sánchez | D |
| 2 | Anwar Hernandez | D |
| 3 | Jilmar Torres | D |
| 19 | Pablo Molina | M |
| 6 | Víctor Alonso | M |
| 8 | David López | M |
| 11 | Domi Berlanga | F |
| 9 | Faysal Chouaib | F |
| 31 | Soule Sidibe | F |
Substitutes
| 70 | Borja Arellano | F |
| 23 | Lamine Diaby | D |
| 1 | Pol Freixanet | G |
| 18 | Robin Lafarge | D |
| 21 | Marc Rodríguez | D |
| 7 | Juan Camara | M |
| 99 | Rafinha | F |
| 44 | Alex Leitao | F |
FK Crvena Zvezda
Formation: 3-2-4-1
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matheus | G |
| 3 | Yuta Nakayama | D |
| 13 | Miloš Veljković | D |
| 60 | Matej Gaštarov | D |
| 21 | Timi Max Elšnik | M |
| 33 | Rade Krunić | M |
| 75 | Loizos Loizou | F |
| 20 | Tomás Händel | M |
| 22 | Vasilije Kostov | M |
| 19 | Ye-geon Kim | F |
| 10 | Aleksandar Katai | F |
Substitutes
| 32 | Derrick Luckassen | D |
| 14 | Osman Bukari | M |
| 9 | Ahmadou Bamba Dieng | F |
| 4 | Mirko Ivanić | M |
| 77 | Ivan Guteša | G |
| 30 | Franklin Tebo | D |
| 6 | Mahmudu Bajo | M |
| 8 | Kristiyan Balov | F |
| 15 | Mohammad Abu Fani | M |
| 37 | Vladimir Lučić | M |
| 70 | Muhammed-Cham Saračević | M |
| 7 | Marko Arnautović | F |