Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Prediction
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia prediction: Sportiko gives Levski Sofia a 46% chance of winning, Jagiellonia 25% and the draw 29%. Last updated 5 Nov 2026, 19:41.
Premium picks
Premium- Over 1.5 Goals 76%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 70%
Match Report
Levski Sofia secured a narrow but deserved 1–0 victory over Jagiellonia in the UEFA Europa League league stage, with the decisive moment arriving late in a tightly contested affair. The first half ended goalless, with both sides cautious and neither able to break the deadlock despite a flurry of half-time substitutions from both benches.
The second half grew increasingly fractious, with yellow cards shown to Guilherme Montóia, Everton Bala, Taras Romanczuk, and others as tempers frayed. The breakthrough finally came in the 83rd minute when Steven Stoyanchov converted a normal goal to give the hosts the lead — only to receive a yellow card himself just a minute later in a chaotic closing spell that also saw Jesús Imaz booked within seconds of coming on as a substitute.
Despite Jagiellonia edging possession at 52% and registering a marginally higher expected goals figure of 0.89 to Levski's 0.77, the Bulgarian side made their shots count with five on target to the visitors' two. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Levski win as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that proved correct on the night.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Levski Sofia
Match Stats
Levski Sofia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 C. Makoun D | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 70 (62%) | 1 |
| 50 K. Dimitrov D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (45%) | 1 |
| 28 Steven Stoyanchov F | 7.7 | 27' | 1 | – | 2 | 3 (1%) | – |
| 21 Aldair D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (32%) | 3 |
| 3 Maicon D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (46%) | 6 |
| 35 Serginho M | 7.2 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 19 (17%) | 1 |
| 19 El Mehdi Moubarik M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 59 (53%) | – |
| 92 S. Vutsov G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (23%) | – |
| 27 David Kusso F | 6.9 | 15' | – | 1 | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 11 A. Oko-Flex F | 6.8 | 44' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | 1 |
| 8 M. Grujić M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (37%) | 2 |
| 7 Reinaldo F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 24 (22%) | 2 |
| 17 Everton Bala F | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | 7 | 20 (20%) | 1 |
| 22 Mazire Soula F | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | 1 |
Jagiellonia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 A. Konstantopoulos D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 71 (62%) | 4 |
| 50 Sławomir Abramowicz G | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | – |
| 27 Rodrigo Conceição D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (40%) | 1 |
| 3 Dušan Stojinović D | 7.0 | 46' | – | – | – | 36 (34%) | 2 |
| 10 Jeremy Agbonifo F | 6.8 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 11 (6%) | 3 |
| 19 Ferslev Anders Klynge M | 6.7 | 77' | – | – | – | 35 (27%) | 4 |
| 4 Yuki Kobayashi D | 6.6 | 44' | – | – | – | 41 (34%) | – |
| 30 Ousmane Sow M | 6.6 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 13 (11%) | 2 |
| 72 Kamil Jóźwiak M | 6.5 | 5' | – | – | – | 2 | – |
| 99 Nik Prelec F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 33 (26%) | – |
| 11 Jesús Imaz M | 6.4 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 25 (21%) | – |
| 23 Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (45%) | 3 |
| 6 Taras Romanczuk M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 70 (57%) | 2 |
| 7 K. Szmyt F | 6.2 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | 1 |
| 32 Aleksandar Ćirković F | 6.2 | 21' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 85 Eryk Kozłowski M | 6.1 | 13' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
Unlock the AI's full read on Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia
- All 70+ probability markets
- AI Deep-Dive match report
- Pick types you choose
At a glance
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowLive insights
Late goal makes it 1-0! Levski Sofia win probability: 92.8%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 18.5%.
Min 75: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 68.2%. Late goal chance: 35.3%.
Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 71.9%. Over 1.5 remaining: 39.7%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowYou're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all modelsUnlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Levski Sofia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Jagiellonia | W | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Dunav Ruse | W | 0 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | A Arda Kardzhali | D | 1 - 1 |
| 22 Oct | A Plzen | W | 1 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | A Spartak Pleven | W | 0 - 2 |
Jagiellonia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Levski Sofia | L | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Wieczysta Kraków | W | 1 - 3 |
| 28 Oct | A Lechia Gdansk | W | 0 - 6 |
| 25 Oct | H Wisla Plock | W | 1 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | H Anderlecht | L | 0 - 3 |
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bournemouth
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 |
Beşiktaş
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Levski Sofia
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |
Lyon
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 |
Anderlecht
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 |
OFI
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Rennes
|
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Torreense
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 |
Real Sociedad
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 |
Crystal Palace
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 |
Sparta Praha
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |
Sturm Graz
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 |
Celje
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 |
Celta Vigo
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |
AC Milan
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |
Jagiellonia
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 |
Plzen
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 |
Marseille
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 |
Celtic
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 |
Lillestrom
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
Levski Sofia
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Julio Velázquez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 92 | S. Vutsov | G |
| 21 | Aldair | D |
| 50 | K. Dimitrov | D |
| 4 | C. Makoun | D |
| 3 | Maicon | D |
| 35 | Serginho | M |
| 8 | M. Grujić | M |
| 19 | E. El Moubarik | M |
| 22 | M. Soula | F |
| 7 | Reinaldo | F |
| 17 | Everton Bala | F |
Substitutes
| 47 | A. Bouras | M |
| 20 | Álex Centelles | D |
| 2 | Hevertton Santos | D |
| 27 | David Kusso | F |
| 78 | M. Lukov | G |
| 11 | A. Oko-Flex | F |
| 31 | N. Serafimov | D |
| 28 | S. Stoyanchov | F |
| 9 | J. Perea | F |
| 1 | O. Vladimirov | G |
| 18 | G. Trdin | M |
Jagiellonia
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: A. Siemieniec
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | S. Abramowicz | G |
| 27 | Rodrigo Conceição | D |
| 3 | D. Stojinović | D |
| 44 | A. Konstantopoulos | D |
| 23 | Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia | D |
| 11 | Jesús Imaz | M |
| 6 | T. Romanczuk | M |
| 19 | A. Klynge | M |
| 10 | J. Agbonifo | F |
| 99 | N. Prelec | F |
| 7 | K. Szmyt | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | O. Sow | M |
| 21 | Sergio Lozano | M |
| 4 | Y. Kobayashi | D |
| 72 | K. Jóźwiak | M |
| 14 | H. Finndell | M |
| 32 | A. Ćirković | F |
| 5 | Bernardo Vital | D |
| 20 | B. Wdowik | D |
| 85 | Eryk Kozlowski | M |
| 1 | M. Perchel | G |