Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction: Sportiko gives Anderlecht a 47% chance of winning, Red Bull Salzburg 28% and the draw 25%. Last updated 5 Nov 2026, 19:41.
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Match Report
Anderlecht secured a comfortable 2–0 victory over Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League league stage, with Ludwig Augustinsson opening the scoring on 20 minutes to give the hosts a deserved half-time lead. Despite Salzburg enjoying the majority of possession at 55%, Anderlecht were the more dangerous side throughout, generating an expected goals figure of 2.58 compared to just 0.59 for the visitors.
The second half brought further drama, as a Leandro Morgalla goal for Salzburg was ruled out by VAR on 76 minutes, keeping Anderlecht's lead intact. Marten Winkler then wrapped up the points with a late strike in the 90th minute, though he was immediately cautioned following his celebration. Salzburg's evening was further disrupted by Valentin Zabransky's yellow card on 66 minutes and a flurry of bookings across both sides.
The result was a disciplined, efficient performance from Anderlecht, who converted their chances clinically despite being second-best for possession. The outcome aligned with the pre-match AI model's assessment, which had rated an Anderlecht win as the most likely result at 47%.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Anderlecht
Match Stats
Anderlecht
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Ludwig Augustinsson D | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 41 (34%) | 1 |
| 10 Marten Winkler F | 7.7 | 17' | 1 | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 4 Giulian Biancone D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 54 (47%) | 2 |
| 49 Jayden Onia Seke M | 7.2 | 59' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 14 Danylo Sikan F | 7.2 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 20 (18%) | 1 |
| 27 Léo Pétrot D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (46%) | 1 |
| 50 Kaïs Barry D | 7.0 | 4' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 26 Colin Coosemans G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (25%) | – |
| 11 Oliver Antman F | 6.8 | 31' | – | 1 | 1 | 14 (13%) | – |
| 18 Lukáš Ambros F | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 45 (34%) | 2 |
| 29 Mario Stroeykens M | 6.7 | 86' | – | – | – | 48 (45%) | 1 |
| 79 Ali Maamar D | 6.6 | 86' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | – |
| 24 Enric Llansana M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (29%) | 3 |
| 21 Tawfik Bentayeb F | 6.5 | 4' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 55 Marco Kana M | 6.4 | 4' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 9 Mihajlo Cvetković F | 6.3 | 86' | – | – | 3 | 10 (9%) | – |
Red Bull Salzburg
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 Christian Zawieschitzky G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | – |
| 35 Jesper Lindstrøm M | 7.2 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 15 Bartosz Mazurek M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 75 (67%) | 2 |
| 32 Abubakr Barry M | 6.5 | 77' | – | – | – | 57 (54%) | 3 |
| 13 Frans Krätzig D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (50%) | 2 |
| 23 Damir Redzic F | 6.4 | 24' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 21 Tim Drexler D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 80 (69%) | 2 |
| 9 Haris Tabaković F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 12 (7%) | 2 |
| 19 Karim Konaté F | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 30 Gaoussou Diakite M | 6.2 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 25 (20%) | 1 |
| 47 Valentin Zabransky D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 89 (85%) | – |
| 39 Leandro Morgalla D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (17%) | 4 |
| 11 Yorbe Vertessen M | 6.0 | 66' | – | – | – | 19 (17%) | 1 |
| 20 Edmund Baidoo M | 6.0 | 59' | – | – | – | 18 (13%) | 3 |
| 5 Soumaïla Diabaté M | 5.9 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 11 (10%) | – |
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Upgrade NowLive insights
Anderlecht now leads 2-0 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.
Anderlecht now leads 3-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.
Min 76: Anderlecht leads 1-0. Win probability: 85.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 14.8%.
Anderlecht now leads 2-0 with 98% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 44%.
Half-time: 1-0. Anderlecht leads. Win probability: 75.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 79.3%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Anderlecht — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Red Bull Salzburg | W | 2 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H KVC Westerlo | W | 4 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | A Gent | L | 4 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | A Jagiellonia | W | 0 - 3 |
| 18 Oct | A Beerschot VA | L | 2 - 1 |
Red Bull Salzburg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Anderlecht | L | 2 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | H Austria Lustenau | W | 5 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | A Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | W | 2 - 3 |
| 25 Oct | A Lask Linz | W | 1 - 3 |
| 22 Oct | A Celje | D | 2 - 2 |
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bournemouth
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 |
Beşiktaş
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Levski Sofia
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |
Lyon
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 |
Anderlecht
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 |
OFI
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Rennes
|
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Torreense
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 |
Real Sociedad
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 |
Crystal Palace
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 |
Sparta Praha
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |
Sturm Graz
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 |
Celje
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 |
Celta Vigo
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |
AC Milan
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |
Jagiellonia
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 |
Plzen
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 |
Marseille
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 |
Celtic
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 |
Lillestrom
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
Anderlecht
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Vítor Bruno
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | C. Coosemans | G |
| 79 | A. Maamar | D |
| 4 | G. Biancone | D |
| 27 | L. Pétrot | D |
| 6 | L. Augustinsson | D |
| 29 | M. Stroeykens | M |
| 24 | E. Llansana | M |
| 49 | Jayden Onia Seke | M |
| 18 | L. Ambros | F |
| 9 | M. CvetkoviÄ | F |
| 14 | D. Sikan | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | R. Amané | M |
| 10 | M. Winkler | F |
| 11 | O. Antman | F |
| 50 | K. Barry | D |
| 21 | T. Bentayeb | F |
| 91 | A. Bertaccini | F |
| 83 | T. Degreef | M |
| 32 | J. Heekeren | G |
| 55 | M. Kana | M |
| 12 | A. Omobamidele | D |
| 5 | O. Reabciuk | D |
| 54 | K. Sardella | D |
Red Bull Salzburg
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: D. Röhl
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 52 | Christian Zawieschitzky | G |
| 39 | L. Morgalla | D |
| 21 | T. Drexler | D |
| 47 | Valentin Zabransky | D |
| 13 | F. Krätzig | D |
| 32 | A. Barry | M |
| 15 | B. Mazurek | M |
| 20 | E. Baidoo | M |
| 30 | G. Diakité | M |
| 11 | Y. Vertessen | M |
| 9 | H. Tabaković | F |
Substitutes
| 7 | U. Tohumcu | M |
| 41 | Nikola Šarčević | G |
| 23 | D. Redzic | F |
| 35 | J. Lindstrøm | M |
| 22 | S. Lainer | D |
| 19 | K. Konaté | F |
| 1 | C. Früchtl | G |
| 5 | S. Diabaté | M |
| 91 | A. Chase | D |
| 33 | A. Camara | M |