Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool Prediction
Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool prediction: Sportiko gives Fenerbahçe a 16% chance of winning, Liverpool 63% and the draw 20%. Last updated 4 Nov 2026, 19:40.
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Match Report
Fenerbahçe produced a dramatic comeback to defeat Liverpool 3–2 in the Champions League league stage, despite the visitors dominating possession with 68% of the ball. Liverpool appeared to be in control at half-time following Trey Nyoni's opener, with Mason Greenwood levelling quickly for Fenerbahçe before the break. The match was finely poised heading into the second half, with both sides level at 1–1.
The second half proved chaotic. Alexander Isak restored Liverpool's lead on 69 minutes, but Archie Brown — who had been booked earlier in the match — equalised four minutes later to make it 2–2. Vedat Muriqi then struck the decisive blow on 79 minutes, completing the turnaround and securing all three points for the Turkish side. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Liverpool win as the most likely outcome at 63%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark.
Despite generating 22 total shots and 12 corners, Fenerbahçe's expected goals figure of 1.55 trailed Liverpool's 1.74, making the result a harsh reflection on the visitors, who could not convert their opportunities into the victory the underlying numbers suggested they deserved.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Fenerbahçe
Match Stats
Fenerbahçe
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mason Greenwood F | 8.2 | 89' | 1 | – | 4 | 23 (17%) | 1 |
| 19 Vedat Muriqi F | 7.7 | 27' | 1 | – | 1 | 13 (7%) | – |
| 3 Archie Brown D | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 (10%) | 3 |
| 6 Mattéo Guendouzi M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 28 (22%) | – |
| 31 Ederson G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (16%) | – |
| 7 Kerem Aktürkoğlu F | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 70 Oğuz Aydın F | 6.5 | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 9 Romelu Lukaku F | 6.5 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 17 İrfan Can Kahveci F | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 16 (11%) | 3 |
| 37 Milan Škriniar D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (27%) | 2 |
| 5 İsmail Yüksek M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 30 (25%) | 5 |
| 91 N'Golo Kanté M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 29 (20%) | 1 |
| 18 Mert Müldür D | 6.1 | 15' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 27 Nélson Semedo D | 6.1 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 13 (12%) | 1 |
| 21 Kojo Peprah Oppong D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | 1 |
Liverpool
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 Trey Nyoni M | 8.2 | 85' | 1 | – | 1 | 96 (89%) | 2 |
| 9 Alexander Isak F | 7.6 | 24' | 1 | – | 3 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 18 C. Gakpo F | 7.0 | 24' | – | 1 | 1 | 9 (6%) | 1 |
| 21 Konstantinos Tsimikas D | 6.9 | 76' | – | – | – | 28 (26%) | – |
| 8 Dominik Szoboszlai M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 46 (43%) | – |
| 23 Victor Muñoz M | 6.7 | 66' | – | – | 3 | 15 (11%) | – |
| 4 V. van Dijk D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 83 (72%) | – |
| 2 Joe Gomez D | 6.6 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 40 (40%) | – |
| 29 Bradley Barcola F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 18 (17%) | – |
| 73 Rio Ngumoha M | 6.4 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 19 (18%) | 1 |
| 67 Lewis Koumas F | 6.3 | 5' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 1 Alisson G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (21%) | – |
| 10 Alexis Mac Allister M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 52 (48%) | 2 |
| 5 Jérémy Jacquet D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 58 (51%) | 1 |
| 7 Florian Wirtz M | 5.9 | 24' | – | – | – | 19 (18%) | – |
| 6 Miloš Kerkez D | 5.9 | 14' | – | – | – | 12 (12%) | – |
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At a glance
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Upgrade NowLive insights
Min 83: Fenerbahçe leads 3-2. Win probability: 83.8%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 16.2%.
Late goal makes it 3-2! Fenerbahçe win probability: 78.5%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 33.7%.
Min 75: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 59.4%. Late goal chance: 45.9%.
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 57.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Goal! Score now 1-2. Liverpool win: 86.3%. BTTS: 100%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
M. Greenwood
4 gls
Talisca
4 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Fenerbahçe — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | H Liverpool | W | 3 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | H Göztepe | L | 1 - 2 |
| 26 Oct | A Galatasaray | L | 2 - 1 |
| 20 Oct | H Slavia Praha | D | 2 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Alanyaspor | W | 3 - 0 |
Liverpool — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | A Fenerbahçe | L | 3 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | H Arsenal | L | 0 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H Chelsea | D | 1 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Brighton | W | 2 - 0 |
| 20 Oct | H Villarreal | W | 4 - 3 |
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |
Arsenal
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |
Como
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 9 |
| 5 |
Barcelona
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 9 |
| 6 |
Aston Villa
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |
Manchester City
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 |
Liverpool
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 |
Club Brugge KV
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |
Sporting CP
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 8 |
| 14 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 |
Inter
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 |
Lask Linz
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Manchester United
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 |
Galatasaray
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Fenerbahçe
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 |
AS Roma
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 |
Viking
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |
Atletico Madrid
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 25 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 26 |
FC Porto
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 |
Villarreal
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 |
| 29 |
AEK Athens FC
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 31 |
Sabah FA
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 32 |
Feyenoord
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 33 |
Lens
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lille
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 36 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 |
Liverpool
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Andoni Iraola
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alisson Becker | G |
| 2 | J. Gomez | D |
| 5 | J. Jacquet | D |
| 4 | V. van Dijk | D |
| 21 | K. Tsimikas | D |
| 42 | T. Nyoni | M |
| 10 | A. Mac Allister | M |
| 23 | Víctor Muñoz | M |
| 8 | D. Szoboszlai | M |
| 73 | R. Ngumoha | M |
| 29 | B. Barcola | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | F. Woodman | G |
| 7 | F. Wirtz | M |
| 53 | J. McConnell | M |
| 25 | G. Mamardashvili | G |
| 67 | L. Koumas | F |
| 6 | M. Kerkez | D |
| 9 | A. Isak | F |
| 18 | C. Gakpo | F |
| 76 | J. Danns | F |
| 44 | L. Chambers | D |
| 33 | R. Araújo | D |
Fenerbahçe
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: E. Belözoğlu
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Ederson | G |
| 27 | Nélson Semedo | D |
| 37 | M. Škriniar | D |
| 21 | K. Peprah Oppong | D |
| 3 | A. Brown | D |
| 6 | M. Guendouzi | M |
| 91 | N. Kanté | M |
| 5 | İ. Yüksek | M |
| 11 | M. Greenwood | F |
| 9 | R. Lukaku | F |
| 17 | İ. Kahveci | F |
Substitutes
| 45 | N. Dorgeles | F |
| 19 | V. Muriqi | F |
| 18 | M. Müldür | D |
| 77 | O. MimoviÄ | D |
| 22 | L. Mercan | D |
| 34 | M. Günok | G |
| 28 | B. Elmaz | M |
| 14 | Y. Demir | D |
| 13 | T. Çetin | G |
| 70 | O. Aydın | F |
| 7 | K. Aktürkoğlu | F |