Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace Prediction
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace prediction: Sportiko gives Beşiktaş a 47% chance of winning, Crystal Palace 27% and the draw 25%. Last updated 22 Oct 2026, 20:57.
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Match Report
Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace shared the points in a dramatic 2–2 draw in the UEFA Europa League league stage, though the Turkish side will feel they edged the contest overall. The game's early momentum was disrupted when Jean-Philippe Mateta's sixth-minute strike was ruled out by VAR, and the first half remained goalless until stoppage time, when Wilfred Ndidi — already booked — headed Beşiktaş in front on 45+2'.
The second half burst to life immediately. Yéremy Pino doubled the hosts' advantage just after the break, with VAR confirming the goal, before Mateta pulled one back for Palace at the 55-minute mark. Junior Olaitan then restored Beşiktaş's two-goal cushion on 73', only for a late Palace response to level matters — though the visitors' task was complicated when Ümit Akdağ received a second yellow card on 77'. Crystal Palace dominated possession at 59% and held a superior expected goals figure of 0.71 to Beşiktaş's 0.42.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Beşiktaş win as the most likely outcome at 47%, a call that looked well-founded for long periods despite the final scoreline.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Beşiktaş
Match Stats
Beşiktaş
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Junior Olaitan M | 7.8 | 26' | 1 | – | 1 | 18 (14%) | 1 |
| 4 Wilfred Ndidi M | 7.4 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 56 (46%) | 2 |
| 6 Salih Özcan M | 7.1 | 51' | – | 1 | – | 41 (37%) | 1 |
| 21 Fabio Miretti M | 6.7 | 39' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | – |
| 35 Tiago Djaló D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 86 (78%) | 2 |
| 18 Václav Černý F | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 28 Dušan Vlahović F | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 9 Hyeon-gyu Oh F | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 12 (11%) | – |
| 8 Kartal Kayra Yılmaz M | 6.3 | 64' | – | – | – | 32 (28%) | – |
| 62 Amir Murillo D | 6.2 | 26' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
| 22 Taylan Bulut D | 6.2 | 64' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | 3 |
| 50 Ümit Akdağ D | 6.1 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 80 (74%) | 3 |
| 29 İlhan Fakili M | 6.1 | 75' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | 1 |
| 1 Alexander Nübel G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (23%) | – |
| 11 Kassoum Ouattara D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (33%) | 2 |
| 19 Leandro Trossard M | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (25%) | 1 |
Crystal Palace
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jean-Philippe Mateta F | 7.6 | 61' | 1 | – | 2 | 9 (3%) | 1 |
| 10 Yéremy Pino M | 7.0 | 72' | 1 | – | 1 | 36 (24%) | 1 |
| 6 Jaydee Canvot D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (27%) | 1 |
| 5 Axel Disasi D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | 1 |
| 26 Chris Richards D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 36 (32%) | – |
| 7 Ismaïla Sarr F | 6.6 | 29' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 9 Eddie Nketiah F | 6.6 | 5' | – | – | 1 | 3 (1%) | – |
| 22 Jørgen Strand Larsen F | 6.5 | 24' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 18 Daichi Kamada M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (30%) | – |
| 25 Anan Khalaili M | 6.4 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 34 (24%) | 2 |
| 20 Adam Wharton M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 43 (31%) | 2 |
| 3 Tyrick Mitchell M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (22%) | 5 |
| 24 Darío Osorio M | 6.0 | 18' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 44 Walter Benítez G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (11%) | – |
| 11 Dwight McNeil M | 5.8 | 61' | – | – | – | 18 (12%) | 6 |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
J. Olaitan
2 gls
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
2 gls
Yeremy Pino
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Beşiktaş — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Celtic | L | 3 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | A Kasımpaşa | D | 2 - 2 |
| 26 Oct | H Başakşehir | W | 2 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | H Crystal Palace | D | 2 - 2 |
| 19 Oct | A Trabzonspor | L | 2 - 0 |
Crystal Palace — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H 1899 Hoffenheim | D | 1 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Tottenham | L | 2 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Fulham | W | 0 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Newcastle | L | 0 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | A Beşiktaş | D | 2 - 2 |
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bournemouth
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 |
Beşiktaş
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Levski Sofia
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |
Lyon
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 |
Anderlecht
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 |
OFI
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Rennes
|
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Torreense
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 |
Real Sociedad
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 |
Crystal Palace
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 |
Sparta Praha
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |
Sturm Graz
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 |
Celje
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 |
Celta Vigo
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |
AC Milan
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |
Jagiellonia
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 |
Plzen
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 |
Marseille
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 |
Celtic
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 |
Lillestrom
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
Crystal Palace
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: P. Sage
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | W. Benítez | G |
| 26 | C. Richards | D |
| 5 | A. Disasi | D |
| 6 | J. Canvot | D |
| 25 | A. Khalaili | M |
| 20 | A. Wharton | M |
| 18 | D. Kamada | M |
| 3 | T. Mitchell | M |
| 11 | D. McNeil | M |
| 10 | Yeremy Pino | M |
| 14 | J. Mateta | F |
Substitutes
| 54 | D. Benamar | D |
| 81 | Lucca Benetton | G |
| 33 | B. Chilwell | D |
| 19 | W. Hughes | M |
| 22 | J. Strand Larsen | F |
| 31 | R. Matthews | G |
| 30 | Óscar Mingueza | D |
| 9 | E. Nketiah | F |
| 24 | D. Osorio | M |
| 7 | I. Sarr | F |
| 21 | H. Ahanor | D |
| 37 | G. King | D |
Beşiktaş
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: V. Italiano
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Nübel | G |
| 22 | Taylan Bulut | D |
| 35 | Tiago Djaló | D |
| 50 | Ü. Akdağ | D |
| 11 | K. Ouattara | D |
| 4 | W. Ndidi | M |
| 29 | I. Fakili | M |
| 21 | F. Miretti | M |
| 8 | K. Yılmaz | M |
| 19 | L. Trossard | M |
| 9 | Oh Hyeon-Gyu | F |
Substitutes
| 80 | D. Alemdar | G |
| 90 | S. Kılıçsoy | F |
| 62 | A. Murillo | D |
| 15 | J. Olaitan | M |
| 17 | E. Poku | F |
| 53 | E. Topçu | D |
| 28 | D. Vlahović | F |
| 33 | R. Yılmaz | D |
| 58 | Y. Özcan | D |
| 6 | S. Özcan | M |
| 18 | V. Černý | F |
| 12 | E. Agbadou | D |