Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen prediction: Sportiko gives Dinamo Zagreb a 63% chance of winning, NEC Nijmegen 15% and the draw 22%. Last updated 22 Oct 2026, 18:40.
Match Report
Dinamo Zagreb suffered a heavy home defeat to NEC Nijmegen in the UEFA Europa League league stage, going down 4–2 despite a lively first half that ended level. Clement Bischoff opened the scoring for the Dutch side in the 25th minute, before Dion Drena Beljo struck twice — either side of a VAR-cancelled Ivanušec goal — to put Zagreb ahead. Bryan Linssen then levelled matters on the stroke of half-time to make it 2–2.
NEC took control after the break, with Linssen completing his brace nine minutes into the second half to give Nijmegen the lead for good. Tjaronn Chery added a fourth in the 80th minute to seal a convincing victory, with the visitors' dominance reflected in their 58% possession and an expected goals figure of 2.62 compared to Zagreb's 1.25. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Dinamo win as most likely at 63%, a call that proved well wide of the mark.
Zagreb struggled to cope with Nijmegen's attacking threat throughout, managing just five shots on goal. The result represents a significant statement from the Dutch outfit in the competition's league stage.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Dinamo Zagreb
Match Stats
Dinamo Zagreb
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Dion Drena Beljo F | 8.7 | 90' | 2 | – | 6 | 31 (24%) | – |
| 27 Josip Mišić M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 65 (57%) | 4 |
| 7 Dani Rodríguez F | 6.6 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 22 Matteo Pérez Vinlöf D | 6.5 | 76' | – | 1 | – | 42 (32%) | 1 |
| 99 Mislav Oršić F | 6.4 | 23' | – | – | 2 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 36 Sergi Domínguez D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 79 (72%) | 1 |
| 26 Scott McKenna D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (62%) | 1 |
| 15 Niko Galešić D | 6.2 | 67' | – | – | – | 29 (28%) | 3 |
| 17 L. Ivanušec M | 6.1 | 76' | – | – | – | 30 (23%) | 2 |
| 24 Dominik Kotarski G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (28%) | – |
| 25 Moris Valinčić D | 5.9 | 23' | – | – | – | 21 (20%) | – |
| 23 Iker Almena M | 5.9 | 59' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | – |
| 3 Bruno Goda D | 5.8 | 14' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 11 Arber Hoxha M | 5.8 | 67' | – | – | – | 15 (10%) | 1 |
| 80 Lukas Kačavenda M | 5.7 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 10 Luka Stojković M | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 49 (41%) | 1 |
NEC Nijmegen
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Bryan Linssen F | 9.1 | 89' | 2 | – | 3 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 99 Clement Bischoff M | 8.3 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 4 | 31 (25%) | 4 |
| 9 Tjaronn Chery M | 7.6 | 89' | 1 | – | 2 | 40 (32%) | 1 |
| 6 Darko Nejašmić M | 7.4 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 51 (45%) | 5 |
| 1 Gonzalo Crettaz G | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (14%) | – |
| 20 Noe Lebreton M | 7.0 | 90' | – | 1 | 4 | 27 (21%) | 5 |
| 18 D. Geiger M | 6.9 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 29 (27%) | 2 |
| 22 Ahmetcan Kaplan D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 26 (22%) | 3 |
| 21 Tobias Storm M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (28%) | 1 |
| 34 Kevin Kers F | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 4 P. Schuurs D | 6.4 | 81' | – | – | – | 34 (29%) | 1 |
| 24 Deveron Fonville D | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | 4 |
| 35 Jamiro Monteiro M | 6.1 | 14' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 73 Gabriel Brás D | 6.1 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 14 Kaj Sierhuis F | 0.0 | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 11 Willum Thor Willumsson M | 0.0 | 1' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
D. Beljo
4 gls
T. Chery
3 gls
B. Linssen
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Dinamo Zagreb — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Sunderland | W | 0 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Rudes | L | 1 - 0 |
| 27 Oct | H HNK Rijeka | W | 2 - 1 |
| 22 Oct | H NEC Nijmegen | L | 2 - 4 |
| 18 Oct | A NK Slaven Belupo | W | 1 - 5 |
NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Omonia Nicosia | W | 3 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Heerenveen | L | 1 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Groningen | D | 2 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | A Dinamo Zagreb | W | 2 - 4 |
| 18 Oct | H Fortuna Sittard | D | 2 - 2 |
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bournemouth
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 |
Beşiktaş
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Levski Sofia
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |
Lyon
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 |
Anderlecht
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 |
OFI
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Rennes
|
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Torreense
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 |
Real Sociedad
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 |
Crystal Palace
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 |
Sparta Praha
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |
Sturm Graz
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 |
Celje
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 |
Celta Vigo
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |
AC Milan
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |
Jagiellonia
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 |
Plzen
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 |
Marseille
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 |
Celtic
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 |
Lillestrom
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
NEC Nijmegen
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Crettaz | G |
| 4 | P. Schuurs | D |
| 22 | A. Kaplan | D |
| 24 | Deveron Fonville | D |
| 21 | T. Storm | M |
| 6 | D. Nejašmić | M |
| 18 | D. Geiger | M |
| 99 | Clement Bischoff | M |
| 9 | T. Chery | M |
| 20 | N. Lebreton | M |
| 30 | B. Linssen | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | W. Willumsson | M |
| 14 | K. Sierhuis | F |
| 12 | N. Polster | G |
| 34 | Kevin Kers | F |
| 66 | Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar | D |
| 38 | Joep Geneste | G |
| 73 | Gabriel Brás | D |
| 35 | Jamiro Monteiro | M |
Dinamo Zagreb
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | D. Kotarski | G |
| 15 | N. Galešić | D |
| 36 | Sergi Domínguez | D |
| 26 | S. McKenna | D |
| 22 | Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf | D |
| 27 | J. Mišić | M |
| 23 | Iker Almena | M |
| 10 | L. Stojković | M |
| 17 | L. Ivanušec | M |
| 11 | A. Hoxha | M |
| 9 | D. Beljo | F |
Substitutes
| 6 | S. Radeljić | D |
| 3 | B. Goda | D |
| 7 | Dani Rodríguez | F |
| 25 | M. Valinčić | D |
| 80 | L. Kačavenda | M |
| 14 | S. Prevljak | F |
| 99 | M. Oršić | F |
| 1 | D. Zagorac | G |
| 21 | M. Lisica | F |
| 8 | M. Zajc | M |
| 5 | K. Kravtsov | M |
| 44 | I. Filipović | G |