Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction: Sportiko gives Inter a 70% chance of winning, Shakhtar Donetsk 12% and the draw 18%. Last updated 21 Oct 2026, 20:55.
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Match Report
Inter edged out Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 in the Champions League league stage, with a tense and disrupted contest at San Siro settling in the hosts' favour thanks to a late Carlos Augusto goal in the 77th minute. The first half was goalless and largely uneventful, with Shakhtar enjoying slightly more of the ball throughout the evening, finishing with 55% possession.
The second half grew increasingly fractious. Inter made a triple substitution on the hour mark, bringing on Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Djed Spence and Federico Dimarco, but the game's defining moment came in the 68th minute when Alessandro Bastoni received a second yellow card, reducing the hosts to ten men. Despite the numerical disadvantage, Inter held firm defensively and produced the decisive moment seven minutes later through Augusto. The hosts' expected goals figure of 1.02 to Shakhtar's 0.57 reflected their greater cutting edge despite the difficult circumstances.
The result was the outcome our pre-match AI model had identified as most likely, assigning a 70% probability to an Inter victory. Inter claim all three points and strengthen their position in the league stage standings.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Inter
Match Stats
Inter
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Josep Martínez G | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (17%) | – |
| 30 Carlos Augusto D | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 50 (46%) | 1 |
| 20 Hakan Çalhanoğlu M | 7.2 | 59' | – | – | 2 | 43 (38%) | 1 |
| 22 Henrikh Mkhitaryan M | 7.1 | 15' | – | 1 | 1 | 9 (9%) | 2 |
| 25 Manuel Akanji D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 62 (57%) | – |
| 99 Djed Spence M | 6.9 | 59' | – | – | – | 25 (22%) | 1 |
| 14 Ange-Yoan Bonny F | 6.8 | 75' | – | – | 3 | 14 (8%) | 5 |
| 9 Marcus Thuram F | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 10 (8%) | 2 |
| 8 Petar Sučić M | 6.7 | 73' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | 5 |
| 23 Nicolò Barella M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 33 (26%) | 3 |
| 11 Luís Henrique F | 6.6 | 17' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 7 Piotr Zieliński M | 6.5 | 31' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 32 Federico Dimarco M | 6.5 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 28 (23%) | 1 |
| 17 Andy Diouf M | 6.4 | 31' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | – |
| 31 Yann Bisseck D | 6.4 | 31' | – | – | – | 14 (14%) | – |
| 95 Alessandro Bastoni D | 6.2 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 56 (52%) | 4 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 D. Riznyk G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (26%) | – |
| 29 E. Nazaryna M | 7.2 | 58' | – | – | 1 | 56 (55%) | 1 |
| 22 M. Matvienko D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 78 (72%) | 1 |
| 17 Vinícius Tobias D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 57 (54%) | – |
| 5 V. Bondar D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 60 (57%) | 1 |
| 77 G. Mendoza M | 6.8 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 29 (27%) | 1 |
| 6 Marlon Gomes M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (39%) | 5 |
| 10 Pedrinho M | 6.6 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 9 (8%) | – |
| 13 Pedrinho D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 72 (63%) | 1 |
| 11 Newertton M | 6.4 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 14 Isaque M | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 2 |
| 99 Bruno Braga Ramos M | 6.2 | 7' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 27 O. Ocheretko M | 6.2 | 72' | – | – | 2 | 37 (31%) | – |
| 2 L. Traoré F | 6.1 | 18' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 30 Alisson Santana M | 6.1 | 83' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | 1 |
| 9 Kauã Elias F | 6.0 | 72' | – | – | 2 | 9 (8%) | 1 |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov 2021 | Inter | 2 - 0 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 28 Sep 2021 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 - 0 | Inter |
| 09 Dec 2020 | Inter | 0 - 0 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
Inter — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | A Feyenoord | W | 0 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | A AC Milan | L | 3 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | A Venezia | W | 0 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | H Fiorentina | W | 2 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | H Shakhtar Donetsk | W | 1 - 0 |
Shakhtar Donetsk — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May | H Obolon'-Brovar | W | 2 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | H Sporting CP | L | 0 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | H Dynamo Kyiv | W | 3 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Zorya Luhansk | D | 0 - 0 |
| 21 Oct | A Inter | L | 1 - 0 |
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |
Arsenal
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |
Como
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 9 |
| 5 |
Barcelona
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 9 |
| 6 |
Aston Villa
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |
Manchester City
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 |
Liverpool
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 |
Club Brugge KV
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |
Sporting CP
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 8 |
| 14 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 |
Inter
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 |
Lask Linz
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Manchester United
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 |
Galatasaray
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Fenerbahçe
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 |
AS Roma
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 |
Viking
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |
Atletico Madrid
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 25 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 26 |
FC Porto
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 |
Villarreal
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 |
| 29 |
AEK Athens FC
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 31 |
Sabah FA
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 32 |
Feyenoord
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 33 |
Lens
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lille
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 36 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 |
Inter
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: C. Chivu
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josep Martínez | G |
| 25 | M. Akanji | D |
| 95 | A. Bastoni | D |
| 30 | Carlos Augusto | D |
| 99 | D. Spence | M |
| 23 | N. Barella | M |
| 20 | H. Çalhanoğlu | M |
| 8 | P. Sučić | M |
| 32 | F. Dimarco | M |
| 9 | M. Thuram | F |
| 14 | A. Bonny | F |
Substitutes
| 7 | P. Zieliński | M |
| 5 | A. Stanković | M |
| 49 | I. Provedel | G |
| 48 | M. Mosconi | F |
| 22 | H. Mkhitaryan | M |
| 11 | Luis Henrique | F |
| 94 | F. Esposito | F |
| 17 | A. Diouf | M |
| 12 | R. Di Gennaro | G |
| 46 | L. Bovio | D |
| 31 | Y. Bisseck | D |
| 45 | F. Stante | D |
Shakhtar Donetsk
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: A. Turan
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | D. Riznyk | G |
| 17 | Vinícius Tobias | D |
| 5 | V. Bondar | D |
| 22 | M. Matvienko | D |
| 13 | Pedrinho | D |
| 27 | O. Ocheretko | M |
| 30 | Alisson Santana | M |
| 10 | Pedrinho | M |
| 6 | Marlon Gomes | M |
| 77 | G. Mendoza | M |
| 9 | Kauã Elias | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | K. Fesyun | G |
| 2 | L. Traoré | F |
| 25 | Gabriel Carvalho | F |
| 18 | A. Ghram | D |
| 14 | Isaque | M |
| 20 | O. Karavaev | M |
| 8 | D. Kryskiv | M |
| 49 | Luca Meirelles | F |
| 37 | Lucas Ferreira | M |
| 29 | E. Nazaryna | M |
| 11 | Newertton | M |
| 99 | Bruninho | M |