Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC Prediction
Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC prediction: Sportiko gives Manchester City a 77% chance of winning, AEK Athens FC 9% and the draw 13%. Last updated 20 Oct 2026, 20:53.
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Premium- Under 4.5 76%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
Match Report
Manchester City opened the scoring early through Elliot Anderson in the 12th minute, before Phil Foden doubled the advantage just before the half-hour mark to send the hosts into the break with a comfortable 2–0 lead. City dominated possession throughout the first half, controlling 64% of the ball and creating the clearer opportunities.
AEK Athens offered a brief response after the interval, pulling one back through Stavros Pilios in the 52nd minute to give the visitors brief hope. However, Rayan Cherki restored City's two-goal cushion just five minutes later, and Foden put the contest firmly to bed with his second of the night on 65 minutes. The England international completed his hat-trick ten minutes later to seal an emphatic victory. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Manchester City win as the most likely outcome at 77%, a call that proved well-founded.
City's dominance was reflected across the key statistics, with 17 total shots to AEK's 11 and an expected goals figure of 2.92 compared to just 0.77 for the visitors, underlining the gulf in quality between the two sides on the night.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Manchester City
Match Stats
Manchester City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 Phil Foden M | 9.6 | 90' | 3 | 1 | 4 | 55 (49%) | 2 |
| 82 Rico Lewis D | 8.6 | 90' | – | 2 | – | 57 (56%) | – |
| 10 Rayan Cherki M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 5 | 85 (78%) | – |
| 5 Elliot Anderson M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 70 (67%) | 1 |
| 45 Abdukodir Khusanov D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 85 (78%) | – |
| 3 Rúben Dias D | 7.0 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 63 (61%) | 2 |
| 22 Vitor Reis D | 6.9 | 18' | – | – | – | 25 (25%) | – |
| 56 Ryan McAidoo F | 6.9 | 28' | – | 1 | – | 12 (12%) | – |
| 17 Enzo Fernández M | 6.7 | 72' | – | – | 2 | 64 (59%) | 1 |
| 1 Gianluigi Donnarumma G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (29%) | – |
| 37 Allan M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 35 (29%) | 2 |
| 61 Kaden Braithwaite D | 6.5 | 7' | – | – | – | 15 (15%) | – |
| 21 Rayan Aït-Nouri D | 6.4 | 18' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
| 24 Joško Gvardiol D | 6.4 | 72' | – | – | – | 66 (62%) | 1 |
| 75 F. Samba F | 6.1 | 62' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
AEK Athens FC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 Zini F | 7.0 | 45' | – | 1 | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 14 Lovro Majer M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (33%) | 3 |
| 11 Aboubakary Koita F | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 3 Stavros Pilios D | 6.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 26 (24%) | 1 |
| 16 Kervin Arriaga M | 6.4 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 37 (37%) | 4 |
| 23 João Mário M | 6.4 | 63' | – | – | – | 25 (23%) | 2 |
| 19 Barnabás Varga F | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 5 (2%) | – |
| 9 Luka Jović F | 6.2 | 83' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
| 91 Alberto Brignoli G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (21%) | – |
| 10 Oleksandr Zubkov M | 6.0 | 27' | – | – | 2 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 44 Filipe Relvas D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 70 (67%) | 1 |
| 27 Milán Vitális M | 5.9 | 7' | – | – | 2 | – | – |
| 8 Mijat Gaćinović M | 5.9 | 7' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 12 Lazaros Rota D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (30%) | 3 |
| 2 Harold Moukoudi D | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (55%) | 3 |
| 18 Răzvan Marin M | 5.5 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 18 (13%) | 3 |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Manchester City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Nottingham Forest | L | 3 - 1 |
| 04 Nov | A RB Leipzig | W | 2 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | H Brighton | L | 0 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H Brighton | D | 2 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Aston Villa | L | 2 - 1 |
AEK Athens FC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | H Real Madrid | L | 2 - 3 |
| 01 Nov | A Panathinaikos | L | 2 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A PAOK | L | 3 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Panetolikos | W | 5 - 0 |
| 20 Oct | A Manchester City | L | 5 - 1 |
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |
Arsenal
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |
Como
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 9 |
| 5 |
Barcelona
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 9 |
| 6 |
Aston Villa
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |
Manchester City
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 |
Liverpool
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 |
Club Brugge KV
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |
Sporting CP
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 8 |
| 14 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 |
Inter
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 |
Lask Linz
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Manchester United
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 |
Galatasaray
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Fenerbahçe
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 |
AS Roma
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 |
Viking
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |
Atletico Madrid
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 25 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 26 |
FC Porto
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 |
Villarreal
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 |
| 29 |
AEK Athens FC
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 31 |
Sabah FA
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 32 |
Feyenoord
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 33 |
Lens
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lille
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 36 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 |
Manchester City
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: E. Maresca
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Donnarumma | G |
| 82 | R. Lewis | D |
| 45 | A. Khusanov | D |
| 3 | Rúben Dias | D |
| 24 | J. Gvardiol | D |
| 5 | E. Anderson | M |
| 17 | E. Fernández | M |
| 47 | P. Foden | M |
| 10 | R. Cherki | M |
| 37 | Allan | M |
| 75 | F. Samba | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | G. Rulli | G |
| 7 | I. Ndiaye | F |
| 22 | Vitor Nunes | D |
| 21 | R. Aït-Nouri | D |
| 13 | M. Bettinelli | G |
| 32 | A. Bouaddi | M |
| 61 | K. Braithwaite | D |
| 9 | E. Haaland | F |
| 11 | J. Doku | F |
| 6 | M. Guéhi | D |
| 56 | R. McAidoo | F |
AEK Athens FC
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: M. Nikolić
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 91 | A. Brignoli | G |
| 12 | L. Rota | D |
| 2 | H. Moukoudi | D |
| 44 | Filipe Relvas | D |
| 3 | S. Pilios | D |
| 14 | L. Majer | M |
| 16 | K. Arriaga | M |
| 18 | R. Marin | M |
| 23 | João Mário | M |
| 9 | L. Jović | F |
| 19 | B. Varga | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | O. Zubkov | M |
| 90 | Zini | F |
| 27 | M. Vitális | M |
| 21 | D. Vida | D |
| 22 | C. Lykogiannis | D |
| 11 | A. Koita | F |
| 6 | K. Kairinen | M |
| 8 | M. Gaćinović | M |
| 41 | Marios Balamotis | G |
| 20 | P. Mantalos | M |