Chaves vs Os Marialvas Prediction

Taça de Portugal · Round of 64

16 Oct 2026, 19:00

Post on X

Chaves

Home

19:00

16 Oct 2026

Os Marialvas

Away

AI call Too close to call

28%

44%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Chaves vs Os Marialvas prediction: Sportiko gives Chaves a 28% chance of winning, Os Marialvas 44% and the draw 28%. Last updated 9 Oct 2026, 00:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Chaves

LWWLD

Os Marialvas

WWWWL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Os Marialvas goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	8	8	4	2	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	5	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Chaves goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

28%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

28%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

61% Away (No Draw) 39% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 28% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	7.9%	7.5%	4.0%	1.6%
1	5.8%	13.2%	9.4%	5.0%	2.0%
2	4.5%	7.2%	5.8%	3.1%	1.2%
3	1.9%	3.0%	2.4%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.6%	0.9%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Chaves	Draw	Os Marialvas
Chaves	18.6%	5.8%	3.5%
Draw	9.1%	16.6%	17.8%
Os Marialvas	1.2%	3.4%	23.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Chaves vs Os Marialvas

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Chaves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Oct	A Farense	L	4 - 0
20 Sep	A Guarda	W	2 - 3
13 Sep	H Feirense	W	1 - 0
30 Aug	A Felgueiras 1932	L	2 - 1
23 Aug	H AVS	D	2 - 2

Os Marialvas — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Ovarense	W	0 - 1
13 Sep	A Nazarenos	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	H Fátima	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A AD Fornos Algodres	W	0 - 4
23 Aug	H Oliveira Hospital	L	1 - 2

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.