Riga vs Kairat Almaty Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1

15 Oct 2026, 16:45

Post on X

Riga

Home

16:45

15 Oct 2026

Kairat Almaty

Away

AI call Too close to call

47%

26%

27%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Riga vs Kairat Almaty prediction: Sportiko gives Riga a 47% chance of winning, Kairat Almaty 27% and the draw 26%. Last updated 8 Oct 2026, 00:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.2%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

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Riga

WWDDW

Kairat Almaty

LLWWW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Kairat Almaty goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	5	4	2	1
1	7	12	7	3	1
2	7	10	6	3	1
3	4	6	4	2	1
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Riga goals · most likely 1–1 (12.2%)

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Away Win

27%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

64%

3.5

36%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Away Win

27%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

64% Home (No Draw) 36% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 27% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

64%

3.5

36%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	4.7%	3.9%	1.7%	0.5%
1	7.0%	12.2%	7.0%	3.0%	1.0%
2	7.4%	9.6%	6.2%	2.7%	0.9%
3	4.4%	5.7%	3.7%	1.6%	0.5%
4	2.0%	2.5%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

43%

1.5

57%

72%

2.5

28%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

26%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Riga	Draw	Kairat Almaty
Riga	29.5%	5.0%	2.5%
Draw	16.5%	15.5%	11.6%
Kairat Almaty	2.5%	3.8%	13.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Riga vs Kairat Almaty

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Riga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A FS Jelgava	W	0 - 1
15 Sep	A Super Nova	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	H Auda	D	2 - 2
07 Sep	H BFC Daugavpils	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Rīgas FS	W	2 - 3

Kairat Almaty — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	A FC Astana	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H FK Tobol Kostanay	L	1 - 4
09 Sep	H Zhenys	W	3 - 0
05 Sep	A Kaspiy	W	0 - 3
31 Aug	A Yelimay Semey	W	0 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.