FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1

15 Oct 2026, 16:45

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FC Lugano

Home

16:45

15 Oct 2026

FK Crvena Zvezda

Away

AI call Too close to call

45%

25%

30%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction: Sportiko gives FC Lugano a 45% chance of winning, FK Crvena Zvezda 30% and the draw 25%. Last updated 8 Oct 2026, 00:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.2%

Both teams to score

66%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

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FC Lugano

WWDWW

FK Crvena Zvezda

WWWDW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FK Crvena Zvezda goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	4	4	2	1
1	5	11	7	4	1
2	6	9	7	3	1
3	4	6	4	2	1
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ FC Lugano goals · most likely 1–1 (11.2%)

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Players in form

FC Lugano

K. Behrens 6 gls

FK Crvena Zvezda

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Away Win

30%

Draw

25%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

36%

2.5

64%

58%

3.5

42%

77%

4.5

23%

89%

5.5

11%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Away Win

30%

Draw

25%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

60% Home (No Draw) 40% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 30% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

36%

2.5

64%

58%

3.5

42%

77%

4.5

23%

89%

5.5

11%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Exact Goals

21%

22%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.9%	4.0%	4.0%	2.0%	0.7%
1	5.4%	11.2%	7.4%	3.7%	1.4%
2	6.2%	9.2%	6.9%	3.4%	1.3%
3	3.8%	5.7%	4.3%	2.1%	0.8%
4	1.8%	2.7%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Lugano	Draw	FK Crvena Zvezda
FC Lugano	32.2%	5.8%	2.8%
Draw	11.8%	14.0%	11.0%
FK Crvena Zvezda	2.0%	3.8%	16.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

FC Lugano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Lausanne	W	0 - 4
16 Sep	H FC ST. Gallen	W	4 - 1
12 Sep	H BSC Young Boys	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A FC Basel 1893	W	1 - 3
03 Sep	H Servette FC	W	1 - 0

FK Crvena Zvezda — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Radnicki NIS	W	3 - 0
17 Sep	A Železničar Pančevo	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	A IMT Novi Beograd	W	0 - 1
10 Sep	A Radnik Surdulica	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H FK Partizan	W	2 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.