Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town Prediction

FA Cup · 3rd Round Qualifying Replays

06 Oct 2026, 18:45

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Wingate & Finchley

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18:45

06 Oct 2026

Bedford Town

Away

AI call Too close to call

43%

28%

29%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town prediction: Sportiko gives Wingate & Finchley a 43% chance of winning, Bedford Town 29% and the draw 28%. Last updated 4 Oct 2026, 08:01.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Wingate & Finchley

DWDWL

Bedford Town

DDWLW

Last 1 meetings Wingate & Finchley · 0W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

43%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

29%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bedford Town goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	2	1
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Wingate & Finchley goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

29%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

29%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

60% Home (No Draw) 40% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	5.7%	4.6%	2.0%	0.6%
1	7.6%	13.1%	7.4%	3.2%	1.0%
2	7.2%	9.3%	5.9%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.9%	5.0%	3.2%	1.4%	0.4%
4	1.6%	2.0%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Wingate & Finchley	Draw	Bedford Town
Wingate & Finchley	30.0%	5.4%	2.2%
Draw	12.6%	16.4%	11.2%
Bedford Town	1.8%	3.8%	16.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town

0 Wingate & Finchley Wins

1 Draws

0 Bedford Town Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Oct 2026	Bedford Town	2 - 2	Wingate & Finchley

Wingate & Finchley — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
03 Oct	A Bedford Town	D	2 - 2
22 Sep	H Hemel Hempstead Town	W	2 - 1
19 Sep	A Hemel Hempstead Town	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	A Aveley	W	3 - 4
12 Sep	A Welling United	L	4 - 1

Bedford Town — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
03 Oct	H Wingate & Finchley	D	2 - 2
26 Sep	H Hereford	D	1 - 1
19 Sep	H King's Lynn Town	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Spalding United	L	2 - 1
08 Sep	A Worksop Town	W	1 - 2

FA Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.