Spalding United vs Bury Town Prediction

FA Cup · 3rd Round Qualifying Replays

06 Oct 2026, 18:45

Post on X

Spalding United

Home

18:45

06 Oct 2026

Bury Town

Away

AI call Too close to call

40%

26%

33%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Spalding United vs Bury Town prediction: Sportiko gives Spalding United a 40% chance of winning, Bury Town 33% and the draw 26%. Last updated 4 Oct 2026, 08:01.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12%

Both teams to score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

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Spalding United

DLWWW

Bury Town

DWWWL

Last 1 meetings Spalding United · 0W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

40%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

33%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bury Town goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	5	5	2	1
1	6	12	8	4	2
2	6	9	7	3	1
3	3	5	4	2	1
4	1	2	2	1
5		1	1

↑ Spalding United goals · most likely 1–1 (12.0%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

33%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

33%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

55% Home (No Draw) 45% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 16% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.6%	5.0%	4.8%	2.4%	0.9%
1	5.7%	12.0%	8.0%	4.0%	1.5%
2	5.9%	8.9%	6.7%	3.4%	1.3%
3	3.3%	4.9%	3.7%	1.9%	0.7%
4	1.4%	2.1%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Spalding United	Draw	Bury Town
Spalding United	23.5%	4.3%	2.1%
Draw	14.7%	15.1%	11.3%
Bury Town	3.1%	5.2%	21.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Spalding United vs Bury Town

0 Spalding United Wins

1 Draws

0 Bury Town Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Oct 2026	Bury Town	1 - 1	Spalding United

Spalding United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
03 Oct	A Bury Town	D	1 - 1
26 Sep	A Chorley	L	2 - 1
19 Sep	H Hanley Town	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Bedford Town	W	2 - 1
08 Sep	A Spennymoor Town	W	1 - 3

Bury Town — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
03 Oct	H Spalding United	D	1 - 1
29 Sep	A Bishop's Stortford	W	1 - 2
22 Sep	H Hitchin Town	W	1 - 0
19 Sep	A Gorleston	W	3 - 4
12 Sep	A Bromsgrove Sporting	L	1 - 0

FA Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.