Ukraine vs Hungary Prediction

UEFA Nations League · League B - 4

05 Oct 2026, 18:45

Post on X

Ukraine

Home

18:45

05 Oct 2026

Hungary

Away

AI call Too close to call

40%

24%

36%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Ukraine vs Hungary prediction: Sportiko gives Ukraine a 40% chance of winning, Hungary 36% and the draw 24%. Last updated 29 Sep 2026, 02:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Ukraine

DWDWL

Hungary

DLWWL

Last 1 meetings Ukraine · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hungary goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	7	5	2	1
1	9	14	8	3	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Ukraine goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

36%

Draw

24%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

36%

Draw

24%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

57% Home (No Draw) 43% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	7.3%	5.4%	2.2%	0.6%
1	8.8%	14.2%	7.5%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.3%	8.8%	5.3%	2.1%	0.6%
3	3.4%	4.1%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.2%	1.4%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ukraine	Draw	Hungary
Ukraine	24.0%	4.5%	1.8%
Draw	14.9%	18.5%	11.9%
Hungary	2.1%	4.5%	17.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ukraine vs Hungary

1 Ukraine Wins

0 Draws

0 Hungary Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Sep 2026	Hungary	0 - 1	Ukraine

Ukraine — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
28 Sep	A Georgia	D	0 - 0
25 Sep	A Hungary	W	0 - 1
26 Jun	H Belgium	D	0 - 0
21 Jun	A Slovakia	W	1 - 2
17 Jun	A Romania	L	3 - 0

Hungary — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
28 Sep	A Northern Ireland	D	0 - 0
25 Sep	H Ukraine	L	0 - 1
09 Jun	H Kazakhstan	W	3 - 1
23 Jun	A Scotland	W	0 - 1
19 Jun	A Germany	L	2 - 0

UEFA Nations League Standings

League A - Group A

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	2	2	0	2	0	+2	6
2	Belgium	2	1	1	2	1	+1	3
3	Italy	2	1	1	4	3	+1	3
4	Türkiye	2	0	2	1	5	-4	0

League A - Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Greece	2	2	0	0	3	1	+2	6
2	Netherlands	2	1	1	0	3	2	+1	4
3	Germany	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1
4	Serbia	2	0	0	2	2	4	-2	0

League A - Group C

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	1	1	0	3	2	+1	3
2	Croatia	1	1	0	2	1	+1	3
3	England	1	0	1	2	3	-1	0
4	Czechia	1	0	1	1	2	-1	0

League A - Group D

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	2	2	0	3	1	+2	6
2	Norway	2	1	1	4	4	0	3
3	Denmark	2	1	1	4	3	+1	3
4	Wales	2	0	2	0	3	-3	0

League B - Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
2	Slovenia	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
3	Scotland	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
4	FYR Macedonia	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0

League B - Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ukraine	2	1	1	0	1	0	+1	4
2	Northern Ireland	2	1	1	0	1	0	+1	4
3	Hungary	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1	1
4	Georgia	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1	1

League B - Group C

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Austria	2	2	0	6	2	+4	6
2	Kosovo	2	1	1	2	3	-1	3
3	Rep. Of Ireland	2	1	1	3	1	+2	3
4	Israel	2	0	2	1	6	-5	0

League B - Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sweden	2	2	0	0	5	2	+3	6
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	2	1	1	0	4	2	+2	4
3	Poland	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1
4	Romania	2	0	0	2	3	6	-3	0

League C - Group A

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Finland	1	1	0	7	0	+7	3
2	Albania	1	1	0	2	0	+2	3
3	Belarus	1	0	1	0	2	-2	0
4	San Marino	1	0	1	0	7	-7	0

League C - Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Montenegro	2	2	0	0	5	3	+2	6
2	Armenia	2	1	0	1	4	3	+1	3
3	Cyprus	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1
4	Latvia	2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1

League C - Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Slovakia	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
2	Kazakhstan	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
3	Faroe Islands	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
4	Moldova	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0

League C - Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Luxembourg	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
2	Estonia	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
3	Iceland	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
4	Bulgaria	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0

League D - Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Malta	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
2	Gibraltar	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
3	Andorra	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1

League D - Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lithuania	2	1	1	0	3	1	+2	4
2	Azerbaijan	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
3	Liechtenstein	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.