Camacha vs Florgrade Prediction

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

27 Sep 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Camacha

Home

14:00

27 Sep 2026

Florgrade

Away

AI call Too close to call

48%

28%

24%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Camacha vs Florgrade prediction: Sportiko gives Camacha a 48% chance of winning, Florgrade 24% and the draw 28%. Last updated 22 Sep 2026, 19:35.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Camacha

DWDWD

Florgrade

WLDWD

Last 1 meetings Camacha · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

48%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

24%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Florgrade goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	1
1	10	14	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Camacha goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

28%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

28%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	6.0%	4.0%	1.4%	0.4%
1	9.6%	13.5%	6.4%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.9%	9.5%	5.1%	1.8%	0.5%
3	4.7%	5.1%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.9%	2.0%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Camacha	Draw	Florgrade
Camacha	29.9%	4.5%	1.6%
Draw	16.8%	17.6%	10.0%
Florgrade	2.2%	4.1%	13.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Camacha vs Florgrade

1 Camacha Wins

0 Draws

0 Florgrade Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Sep 2026	Camacha	1 - 0	Florgrade

Camacha — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
13 Sep	A Guarda	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H Florgrade	W	1 - 0
30 Aug	A Machico	D	2 - 2
23 Aug	A Alpendorada	W	1 - 2
16 Aug	H Salgueiros	D	1 - 1

Florgrade — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
13 Sep	H Sanjoanense	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	A Camacha	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	H São João Ver	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	H Guarda	W	1 - 0
16 Aug	A União Lamas	D	1 - 1

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.