FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan Prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Relegation Group - 2

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FH hafnarfjordur

Home

5 : 2

HT 4 - 0

Stjarnan

Away

AI call Stjarnan or draw

32%

26%

42%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan prediction: Sportiko gives FH hafnarfjordur a 32% chance of winning, Stjarnan 42% and the draw 26%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 17:57.

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1st Half Over 0.5 74%
Home to Score 72%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
Under 3.5 Goals 71%

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Timeline

14' ⚽ 1–0

21' ⚽ 2–0

Penalty

32' ⚽ 3–0

33' ⚽ 4–0

HT 4–0

⚽ 4–1 46'

⇄ 46'

▮ 57'

Yellow Card

⚽ 4–2 61'

assist: Birnir Snaer Ingason

⇄ 65'

68' ⇄

⇄ 77'

84' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Birnir Snaer Ingason

90' ⚽ 5–2

90+1' ⇄

FT 5–2

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Our lean

Stjarnan or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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FH hafnarfjordur

WWLWD

Stjarnan

LWDWW

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

FH hafnarfjordur now leads 5-2 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: FH hafnarfjordur leads 4-2. Win probability: 97.9%. Comeback chance: 2.1%.

62' Goal 85% sure

FH hafnarfjordur now leads 4-2 with 94.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 56.5%.

47' Goal 85% sure

FH hafnarfjordur now leads 4-1 with 97.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.6%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 4-0. FH hafnarfjordur leads. Win probability: 99.6%. Over 0.5 more goals: 73.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

42%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Stjarnan goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	8	7	3	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ FH hafnarfjordur goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Home Win

32%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Home Win

32%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

56% Away (No Draw) 44% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Away Scores More 31% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	7.9%	7.0%	3.4%	1.3%
1	6.7%	13.7%	8.9%	4.4%	1.6%
2	5.3%	7.8%	5.7%	2.8%	1.0%
3	2.3%	3.3%	2.4%	1.2%	0.4%
4	0.7%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FH hafnarfjordur	Draw	Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur	20.5%	4.8%	2.1%
Draw	10.3%	17.4%	13.3%
Stjarnan	1.6%	4.4%	25.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

FH hafnarfjordur — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Stjarnan	W	5 - 2
13 Sep	H KA Akureyri	W	3 - 0
06 Sep	A Thor Akureyri	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	H Keflavik	W	2 - 1
23 Aug	A IA Akranes	D	1 - 1

Stjarnan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FH hafnarfjordur	L	5 - 2
13 Sep	H IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	H IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D	2 - 2
31 Aug	A Breidablik	W	0 - 2
23 Aug	H Thor Akureyri	W	4 - 2

Úrvalsdeild Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	22	16	5	1	67	21	+46	53
2	Fram Reykjavik	22	13	6	3	56	42	+14	45
3	KR Reykjavik	22	13	5	4	74	49	+25	44
4	Breidablik	22	8	6	8	43	41	+2	30
5	IA Akranes	22	8	6	8	39	41	-2	30
6	Keflavik	22	8	4	10	33	38	-5	28
7	Stjarnan	22	8	4	10	42	50	-8	28
8	Valur Reykjavik	22	8	3	11	39	45	-6	27
9	FH hafnarfjordur	22	4	9	9	27	39	-12	21
10	Thor Akureyri	22	6	3	13	22	50	-28	21
11	KA Akureyri	22	5	5	12	35	48	-13	20
12	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	22	4	6	12	32	45	-13	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.