FC Serpa vs Louletano Prediction

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

Post on X

FC Serpa

Home

1 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Louletano

Away

AI call Louletano or draw

24%

29%

47%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Serpa vs Louletano prediction: Sportiko gives FC Serpa a 24% chance of winning, Louletano 47% and the draw 29%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 16:40.

Premium picks

Premium

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 26'

HT 0–1

54' ⚽ 1–1

⚽ 1–2 106'

Red Card

120' ▮

FT 1–2

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on FC Serpa vs Louletano

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Our lean

Louletano or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

FC Serpa

LDDWW

Louletano

WLWWW

Last 1 meetings FC Serpa · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

112' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-2! Louletano win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 70.7%. Late goal chance: 32.1%.

56' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 49.7%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Louletano leads. Win probability: 79.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 70.2%.

26' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Louletano win: 77.4%. BTTS: 51.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

24%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

47%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Louletano goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	11	9	5	2	1
1	7	14	9	5	2	1
2	4	6	5	2	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ FC Serpa goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

29%

Home Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

29%

Home Win

24%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Winner

66% Away (No Draw) 34% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	10.6%	9.2%	4.6%	1.8%
1	6.6%	13.9%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
2	4.1%	6.2%	4.7%	2.4%	0.9%
3	1.4%	2.1%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.4%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Serpa	Draw	Louletano
FC Serpa	10.9%	3.3%	1.8%
Draw	11.7%	18.8%	17.3%
Louletano	2.0%	5.0%	29.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: FC Serpa vs Louletano

0 FC Serpa Wins

0 Draws

1 Louletano Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Mar 2026	Louletano	2 - 1	FC Serpa

FC Serpa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Louletano	L	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Lagoa	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H 1º Dezembro	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H O Grandolense	W	2 - 0
16 Aug	H Vitoria Setubal	W	4 - 2

Louletano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Serpa	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H União Santarém	L	1 - 2
06 Sep	H Lusitano Évora 1911	W	1 - 0
30 Aug	A Castrense	W	0 - 1
23 Aug	A Caldas	W	2 - 4

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.