União Santarém vs Merelinense Prediction

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

Post on X

União Santarém

Home

5 : 0

HT 1 - 0

Merelinense

Away

AI call Too close to call

75%

16%

Home Win Draw Away Win

União Santarém vs Merelinense prediction: Sportiko gives União Santarém a 75% chance of winning, Merelinense 9% and the draw 16%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 15:54.

Timeline

41' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

49' ⚽ 2–0

66' ⚽ 3–0

70' ⚽ 4–0

82' ⚽ 5–0

FT 5–0

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on União Santarém vs Merelinense

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

Confidence High (75%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

2:0 · 10.3%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

70%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

União Santarém

WWLLD

Merelinense

Live insights

84' time check 80% sure

Min 84: União Santarém leads 5-0. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

82' Goal 85% sure

União Santarém now leads 5-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 28.2%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: União Santarém leads 4-0. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

71' Goal 85% sure

União Santarém now leads 4-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 54%.

67' Goal 85% sure

União Santarém now leads 3-0 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 60.8%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Merelinense goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	3	1	1
1	6	7	3	1
2	10	9	4	1
3	10	9	4	1
4	7	6	3	1
5	4	4	2

↑ União Santarém goals · most likely 2–0 (10.3%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

97%

11%

1.5

89%

30%

2.5

70%

52%

3.5

48%

73%

4.5

27%

88%

5.5

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

54% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

75% Home Scores More 16% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

97%

11%

1.5

89%

30%

2.5

70%

52%

3.5

48%

73%

4.5

27%

88%

5.5

12%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

19%

22%

21%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

1-3 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.4%	1.4%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
1	6.4%	7.3%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
2	10.3%	9.2%	4.2%	1.3%	0.3%
3	9.8%	8.8%	4.0%	1.2%	0.3%
4	7.0%	6.3%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

22%

30%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

12%

22%

28%

20%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	União Santarém	Draw	Merelinense
União Santarém	49.8%	2.2%	0.6%
Draw	23.2%	8.8%	3.1%
Merelinense	4.2%	3.2%	4.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

24%

1.5

76%

49%

2.5

51%

73%

3.5

27%

Home Exact Goals

18%

25%

24%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: União Santarém vs Merelinense

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

União Santarém — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Merelinense	W	5 - 0
12 Sep	A Louletano	W	1 - 2
04 Sep	H Caldas	L	0 - 1
22 Aug	A CF Os Belenenses	L	5 - 0
14 Aug	H Oliveirense	D	1 - 1

Merelinense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A União Santarém	L	5 - 0
30 Aug	H Atlético Arcos	W	2 - 0

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.