Ovarense vs Os Marialvas Prediction

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

Post on X

Ovarense

Home

0 : 1

HT 0 - 1

Os Marialvas

Away

AI call Too close to call

42%

27%

31%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Ovarense vs Os Marialvas prediction: Sportiko gives Ovarense a 42% chance of winning, Os Marialvas 31% and the draw 27%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 16:00.

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1st Half Over 0.5 76%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 17'

FT 0–1

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.6%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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Ovarense

LWWWW

Os Marialvas

WWWWL

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Os Marialvas leads 0-1. Win probability: 80.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 19.1%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Os Marialvas leads. Win probability: 66%. Over 0.5 more goals: 76.2%.

19' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Os Marialvas win: 60.4%. BTTS: 72.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Os Marialvas goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	5	5	2	1
1	7	13	8	3	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	4	5	3	2	1
4	2	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Ovarense goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Away Win

31%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

82%

43%

2.5

57%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Away Win

31%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

58% Home (No Draw) 42% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

82%

43%

2.5

57%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	5.4%	4.7%	2.1%	0.7%
1	6.7%	12.6%	7.7%	3.5%	1.2%
2	6.7%	9.2%	6.3%	2.9%	1.0%
3	3.7%	5.0%	3.4%	1.6%	0.5%
4	1.5%	2.1%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ovarense	Draw	Os Marialvas
Ovarense	29.9%	5.8%	2.7%
Draw	11.8%	15.7%	12.1%
Os Marialvas	1.7%	3.6%	16.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ovarense vs Os Marialvas

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Ovarense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Os Marialvas	L	0 - 1
13 Sep	A Estrela Calheta	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	H Sousense	W	2 - 0
23 Aug	H União Lamas	W	1 - 0
16 Aug	A Castro Daire	W	0 - 2

Os Marialvas — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Ovarense	W	0 - 1
13 Sep	A Nazarenos	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	H Fátima	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A AD Fornos Algodres	W	0 - 4
23 Aug	H Oliveira Hospital	L	1 - 2

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.