Alcains vs Vitoria Setubal Prediction

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

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Alcains

Home

0 : 2

HT 0 - 2

Vitoria Setubal

Away

AI call Too close to call

16%

75%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Alcains vs Vitoria Setubal prediction: Sportiko gives Alcains a 9% chance of winning, Vitoria Setubal 75% and the draw 16%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 17:00.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 37'

⚽ 0–2 44'

FT 0–2

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Confidence High (75%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

0:2 · 10.3%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

70%

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Alcains

Vitoria Setubal

WDWLL

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Vitoria Setubal leads 0-2. Win probability: 99.4%. Comeback chance: 0.6%.

45' Goal 85% sure

Vitoria Setubal now leads 0-2 with 97.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 83.3%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-2. Vitoria Setubal leads. Win probability: 97.8%. Over 0.5 more goals: 83.3%.

38' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Vitoria Setubal win: 89.9%. BTTS: 40.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Vitoria Setubal goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3	6	10	10	7	4
1	1	7	9	9	6	4
2	1	3	4	4	3	2
3		1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Alcains goals · most likely 0–2 (10.3%)

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Match Result

Away Win

75%

Draw

16%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

97%

11%

1.5

89%

30%

2.5

70%

52%

3.5

48%

73%

4.5

27%

88%

5.5

12%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

75%

Draw

16%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

89% Away (No Draw) 11% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

54% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

75% Away Scores More 16% Equal Goals 9% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

97%

11%

1.5

89%

30%

2.5

70%

52%

3.5

48%

73%

4.5

27%

88%

5.5

12%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

19%

22%

21%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.4%	6.4%	10.3%	9.8%	7.0%
1	1.4%	7.3%	9.2%	8.8%	6.3%
2	1.0%	2.9%	4.2%	4.0%	2.8%
3	0.3%	0.9%	1.3%	1.2%	0.8%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

18%

27%

28%

16%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

41%

1.5

59%

70%

2.5

30%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

16%

25%

28%

18%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Alcains	Draw	Vitoria Setubal
Alcains	4.4%	2.5%	2.6%
Draw	3.3%	8.7%	17.7%
Vitoria Setubal	0.8%	2.9%	57.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

24%

1.5

76%

49%

2.5

51%

73%

3.5

27%

Away Exact Goals

18%

25%

24%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Alcains vs Vitoria Setubal

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Alcains — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Vitoria Setubal	L	0 - 2
30 Aug	H Sertanense	W	1 - 0

Vitoria Setubal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Alcains	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H Juventude Évora	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Lajense	W	0 - 1
23 Aug	H Amora	L	1 - 3
16 Aug	A FC Serpa	L	4 - 2

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.