Beira-Mar vs CF Os Belenenses Prediction

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

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Beira-Mar

Home

0 : 2

HT 0 - 0

CF Os Belenenses

Away

AI call Difficult CF Os Belenenses win or draw

17%

26%

56%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Beira-Mar vs CF Os Belenenses prediction: Sportiko gives Beira-Mar a 17% chance of winning, CF Os Belenenses 56% and the draw 26%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 20:56.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
Under 3.5 Goals 73%
1st Half Over 0.5 70%

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Timeline

Missed Penalty

33' ✗

HT 0–0

⚽ 0–1 64'

⚽ 0–2 75'

FT 0–2

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult CF Os Belenenses win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.6%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Beira-Mar

LDDDL

CF Os Belenenses

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Live insights

76' Goal 85% sure

CF Os Belenenses now leads 0-2 with 99.3% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 33.5%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: CF Os Belenenses leads 0-2. Win probability: 99.3%. Comeback chance: 0.7%.

65' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. CF Os Belenenses win: 86.5%. BTTS: 21.9%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 72.1%. Over 1.5 remaining: 39.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

17%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

56%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

CF Os Belenenses goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	11	11	6	3	1
1	5	13	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	4	3	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Beira-Mar goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

26%

Home Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

26%

Home Win

17%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

76% Away (No Draw) 24% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	11.1%	11.1%	6.5%	2.9%
1	4.9%	12.6%	9.8%	5.8%	2.5%
2	2.8%	5.0%	4.4%	2.6%	1.1%
3	0.8%	1.5%	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Beira-Mar	Draw	CF Os Belenenses
Beira-Mar	10.5%	4.2%	2.6%
Draw	6.6%	16.6%	19.2%
CF Os Belenenses	0.9%	3.5%	35.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

17%

31%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Beira-Mar vs CF Os Belenenses

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Beira-Mar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H CF Os Belenenses	L	0 - 2
13 Sep	H Castro Daire	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Cinfães	D	2 - 2
28 Aug	H União Lamas	D	3 - 3
23 Aug	H Machico	L	0 - 2

CF Os Belenenses — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Beira-Mar	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H Atlético CP	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Vitória de Sernache	W	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Lusitano Évora 1911	W	1 - 2
22 Aug	H União Santarém	W	5 - 0

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.