O Elvas vs União de Leiria Prediction

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

Post on X

O Elvas

Home

0 : 2

HT 0 - 0

União de Leiria

Away

AI call Difficult União de Leiria win or draw

19%

27%

54%

Home Win Draw Away Win

O Elvas vs União de Leiria prediction: Sportiko gives O Elvas a 19% chance of winning, União de Leiria 54% and the draw 27%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 18:58.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%

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Timeline

HT 0–0

Red Card

69' ▮

⚽ 0–1 86'

⚽ 0–2 90+3'

FT 0–2

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult União de Leiria win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.9%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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O Elvas

LWWWD

União de Leiria

WDWWW

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

União de Leiria now leads 0-2 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

86' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 0-1! União de Leiria win probability: 95.5%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 11.8%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 69.7%. Late goal chance: 32.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 71.9%. Over 1.5 remaining: 39.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

União de Leiria goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	11	11	6	3	1
1	5	13	10	6	2	1
2	3	5	5	3	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ O Elvas goals · most likely 1–1 (12.9%)

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

27%

Home Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

27%

Home Win

19%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

74% Away (No Draw) 26% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 19% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	10.9%	10.7%	6.1%	2.6%
1	5.1%	12.9%	9.8%	5.6%	2.4%
2	3.1%	5.2%	4.5%	2.6%	1.1%
3	0.9%	1.6%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	O Elvas	Draw	União de Leiria
O Elvas	11.2%	4.4%	2.8%
Draw	7.2%	17.0%	20.1%
União de Leiria	1.0%	3.5%	33.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: O Elvas vs União de Leiria

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

O Elvas — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H União de Leiria	L	0 - 2
13 Sep	A Fazendense	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	H São Roque (Açores)	W	9 - 0
23 Aug	A Nazarenos	W	0 - 1
16 Aug	H Fátima	D	1 - 1

União de Leiria — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A O Elvas	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	A Amarante	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H Portimonense	W	1 - 0
28 Aug	H Tondela	W	2 - 0
22 Aug	A Leixoes	W	2 - 4

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.