Atlético CP vs Lagoa Prediction

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

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Atlético CP

Home

4 : 1

HT 2 - 0

Lagoa

Away

AI call Difficult Atlético CP win or draw

64%

24%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Atlético CP vs Lagoa prediction: Sportiko gives Atlético CP a 64% chance of winning, Lagoa 11% and the draw 24%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 16:26.

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Over 1.5 Goals 72%
1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

2' ⚽ 1–0

43' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

55' ⚽ 3–0

62' ⚽ 4–0

⚽ 4–1 90+3'

FT 4–1

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Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Atlético CP win or draw

Most likely score

2:0 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Atlético CP

WLWWD

Lagoa

LDLDD

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Atlético CP now leads 4-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

77' time check 80% sure

Min 77: Atlético CP leads 4-0. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

63' Goal 85% sure

Atlético CP now leads 4-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 52.2%.

56' Goal 85% sure

Atlético CP now leads 3-0 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 60.4%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-0. Atlético CP leads. Win probability: 98.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 70.3%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lagoa goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	4	2
1	14	11	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	9	6	2
4	4	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Atlético CP goals · most likely 2–0 (14.1%)

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Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

24%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

24%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

85% Home (No Draw) 15% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

64% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	4.1%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
1	13.9%	11.4%	3.3%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.1%	9.3%	3.1%	0.7%	0.1%
3	8.7%	5.7%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
4	4.0%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atlético CP	Draw	Lagoa
Atlético CP	48.3%	4.1%	0.9%
Draw	16.1%	16.0%	5.5%
Lagoa	1.2%	2.3%	5.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atlético CP vs Lagoa

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Atlético CP — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Lagoa	W	4 - 1
13 Sep	A CF Os Belenenses	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Oliveirense	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	A Olímpico do Montijo	W	0 - 4
22 Aug	A SC Covilha	D	0 - 0

Lagoa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Atlético CP	L	4 - 1
13 Sep	H FC Serpa	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	A Imortal Albufeira	L	1 - 0
16 Aug	A Aljustrelense	D	1 - 1
22 Mar	H Atlético Malveira	D	0 - 0

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.