Morecambe vs Southport Prediction

FA Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying

Post on X

Morecambe

Home

2 : 0

HT 0 - 0

Southport

Away

AI call Too close to call

47%

28%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Morecambe vs Southport prediction: Sportiko gives Morecambe a 47% chance of winning, Southport 25% and the draw 28%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 17:00.

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Under 3.5 Goals 71%

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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Morecambe

WWLWW

Southport

LLWLL

Last 1 meetings Morecambe · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Southport goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	6	4	2
1	9	13	7	3	1
2	8	10	5	2	1
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Morecambe goals · most likely 1–1 (13.4%)

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

28%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

28%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

65% Home (No Draw) 35% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	5.8%	4.2%	1.6%	0.4%
1	8.9%	13.4%	6.7%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.4%	9.5%	5.4%	2.0%	0.6%
3	4.5%	5.1%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Morecambe	Draw	Southport
Morecambe	28.4%	4.6%	1.9%
Draw	17.3%	17.4%	11.1%
Southport	2.4%	4.0%	13.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Morecambe vs Southport

0 Morecambe Wins

0 Draws

1 Southport Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Sep 2026	Southport	2 - 1	Morecambe

Morecambe — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Southport	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Brackley Town	W	3 - 0
08 Sep	A Southport	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Buxton	W	4 - 0
31 Aug	A Chester	W	0 - 1

Southport — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Morecambe	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	A Worksop Town	L	2 - 0
08 Sep	H Morecambe	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Spalding United	L	2 - 0
31 Aug	H Hereford	L	0 - 1

FA Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Morecambe

Coach: Ashvir Johal

Southport

Coach: Jim Bentley