Merthyr Town vs Truro City Prediction

FA Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying

Post on X

Merthyr Town

Home

1 : 1

HT 0 - 0

Truro City

Away

AI call Truro City or draw

35%

28%

37%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Merthyr Town vs Truro City prediction: Sportiko gives Merthyr Town a 35% chance of winning, Truro City 37% and the draw 28%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 17:00.

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Under 3.5 Goals 73%

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean

Truro City or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Merthyr Town

LDDWW

Truro City

WDDDW

Last 1 meetings Merthyr Town · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Truro City goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	8	6	3	1
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Merthyr Town goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

35%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

35%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

50% Away (No Draw) 50% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 16% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Away Scores More 35% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	7.8%	6.3%	2.8%	0.9%
1	7.8%	14.1%	8.3%	3.7%	1.2%
2	6.2%	8.2%	5.5%	2.4%	0.8%
3	2.7%	3.6%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.9%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

29%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Merthyr Town	Draw	Truro City
Merthyr Town	21.5%	5.3%	2.7%
Draw	12.9%	18.3%	15.6%
Truro City	1.7%	3.7%	18.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Merthyr Town vs Truro City

0 Merthyr Town Wins

0 Draws

1 Truro City Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Sep 2026	Truro City	2 - 0	Merthyr Town

Merthyr Town — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	A Truro City	L	2 - 0
19 Sep	H Truro City	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Scarborough Athletic	D	0 - 0
08 Sep	A Chester	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Macclesfield	W	2 - 1

Truro City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Merthyr Town	W	2 - 0
19 Sep	A Merthyr Town	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Salisbury	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H Walton & Hersham	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	H Leicester City U21	W	4 - 1

FA Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Truro City

Coach: Horacio Melgarejo

Merthyr Town

Coach: P. Michael