Bury vs Workington Prediction

FA Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying

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Bury

Home

5 : 1

HT 2 - 1

Workington

Away

AI call Difficult Bury win or draw

52%

24%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Bury vs Workington prediction: Sportiko gives Bury a 52% chance of winning, Workington 24% and the draw 24%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 17:00.

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Bury win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 10.9%

Both teams to score

65%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

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Bury

WWWLW

Workington

LWWWW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

52%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

24%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Workington goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	4	3	1
1	6	11	6	3	1
2	7	10	6	3	1
3	5	7	4	2	1
4	3	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Bury goals · most likely 1–1 (10.9%)

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

24%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS Yes 35% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

36%

2.5

64%

58%

3.5

42%

77%

4.5

23%

90%

5.5

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

24%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

68% Home (No Draw) 32% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

36%

2.5

64%

58%

3.5

42%

77%

4.5

23%

90%

5.5

10%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS Yes 35% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

21%

22%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.9%	3.5%	3.2%	1.4%	0.5%
1	6.1%	10.9%	6.4%	2.8%	0.9%
2	7.4%	9.7%	6.4%	2.8%	0.9%
3	5.0%	6.6%	4.3%	1.9%	0.6%
4	2.5%	3.3%	2.2%	1.0%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

44%

1.5

56%

73%

2.5

27%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

26%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bury	Draw	Workington
Bury	32.6%	4.1%	1.7%
Draw	17.2%	13.7%	8.2%
Workington	3.5%	4.8%	14.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

87%

41%

1.5

59%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

27%

28%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bury vs Workington

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Bury — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Workington	W	5 - 1
12 Sep	H AFC Emley	W	4 - 0
05 Sep	H Wythenshawe Amateurs	W	8 - 0
31 Aug	A Hyde United	L	2 - 1
29 Aug	H Ilkeston Town	W	7 - 0

Workington — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Bury	L	5 - 1
12 Sep	H Ilkeston Town	W	3 - 1
05 Sep	H Marske United	W	3 - 0
31 Aug	A Lancaster City	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	H Leek Town	W	3 - 2

FA Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.