Castro Daire vs Portimonense Prediction

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

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Castro Daire

Home

0 : 1

HT 0 - 1

Portimonense

Away

AI call Difficult Portimonense win or draw

15%

24%

61%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Castro Daire vs Portimonense prediction: Sportiko gives Castro Daire a 15% chance of winning, Portimonense 61% and the draw 24%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 14:57.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 34'

HT 0–1

▮ 50'

Red Card

FT 0–1

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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Portimonense win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.5%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Castro Daire

LDWL

Portimonense

WLLLD

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Portimonense leads 0-1. Win probability: 89.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 10.1%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Portimonense leads. Win probability: 85%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.7%.

35' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Portimonense win: 84.7%. BTTS: 42%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Portimonense goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	10	11	7	4	1
1	4	12	10	7	3	1
2	2	5	4	3	1	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Castro Daire goals · most likely 1–1 (11.5%)

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Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

24%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

24%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

80% Away (No Draw) 20% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	10.1%	11.3%	7.4%	3.7%
1	3.9%	11.5%	10.1%	6.6%	3.3%
2	2.3%	4.5%	4.5%	2.9%	1.5%
3	0.7%	1.4%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Castro Daire	Draw	Portimonense
Castro Daire	7.9%	3.4%	2.5%
Draw	6.6%	14.9%	20.0%
Portimonense	1.2%	3.8%	39.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Castro Daire vs Portimonense

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Castro Daire — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Portimonense	L	0 - 1
13 Sep	A Beira-Mar	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Sousense	W	0 - 1
16 Aug	H Ovarense	L	0 - 2

Portimonense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Castro Daire	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Tondela	L	0 - 2
06 Sep	A União de Leiria	L	1 - 0
29 Aug	H Leixoes	L	0 - 2
21 Aug	A Benfica B	D	1 - 1

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.