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Turku PS vs Ilves Prediction

Veikkausliiga Veikkausliiga · Relegation Group - 25
FT
Post on X
Turku PS

Turku PS

Home
0 : 3
HT 0 - 1
Ilves

Ilves

Away
Veritas Stadion, Åbo
AI call Too close to call
37%
28%
35%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Turku PS vs Ilves prediction: Sportiko gives Turku PS a 37% chance of winning, Ilves 35% and the draw 28%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 13:54.

Premium picks

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 70%
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Timeline

Abdoulie Tamba Yellow Card
4' ▮
✗ 4'
T. Hytönen Missed Penalty
⚽ 0–1 24'
T. Hytönen Penalty
HT 0–1
⇄ 60'
Y. Raap ⇄ L. Ala-Myllymäki
⇄ 60'
T. Miettunen ⇄ M. Rale
⇄ 60'
M. Stjopin ⇄ E. Tamminen
T. Zaal Yellow Card
66' ▮
⚽ 0–2 67'
E. Tamminen assist: O. Multala
⇄ 72'
J. Kilo ⇄ S. Baranov
E. Vauhkonen ⇄ S. Anini
72' ⇄
M. Hrádecký ⇄ A. Sihvonen
84' ⇄
T. Vakiparta
84' ⇄
⇄ 86'
T. Hytönen ⇄ H. Coulibaly
▮ 87'
S. Väisänen Yellow Card
⚽ 0–3 90+2'
S. Baranov assist: E. Tamminen
FT 0–3
Turku PS

Match Stats

Ilves
59% Ball Possession 41%
26 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Goal 6
10 Shots off Goal 3
8 Blocked Shots 4
13 Shots insidebox 12
13 Shots outsidebox 1
8 Corner Kicks 3
2 Offsides 2
14 Fouls 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 8
445 Total passes 340
370 Passes accurate 265
9 Free Kicks 13
Turku PS
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 M. Kauppila D 7.0 90' – – 1 51 (45%) 8
10 M. Könkkölä M 7.0 90' – – 7 26 (21%) –
14 M. Hrádecký D 6.9 84' – – 3 49 (42%) 3
28 T. Vakiparta M 6.8 84' – – 2 35 (33%) –
25 Abdoulie Tamba D 6.7 90' – – – 72 (66%) 3
22 T. Zaal M 6.6 90' – – 4 57 (48%) –
41 S. Anini F 6.5 18' – – 1 4 (4%) –
99 K. Visser F 6.5 90' – – 3 20 (15%) –
1 E. Henriksson G 6.4 90' – – – 39 (26%) –
Seamus Maughan 6.3 6' – – – – –
11 E. Vauhkonen M 6.3 72' – – 2 22 (20%) –
2 O. Häggström D 6.2 90' – – 1 31 (24%) 2
17 A. Sihvonen D 6.2 6' – – – 5 (4%) –
6 Pau Juvanteny M 6.1 90' – – 2 33 (21%) 2
Ilves
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
12 F. Krkalić G 9.0 90' – – – 38 (23%) –
22 O. Multala M 7.7 90' – 1 – 24 (21%) 1
5 S. Väisänen D 7.6 90' – – – 33 (27%) 1
24 V. Kumpu D 7.5 90' – – – 36 (27%) 3
3 M. Rale D 7.4 30' – – – 21 (17%) –
16 T. Miettunen D 7.4 60' – – – 35 (30%) –
45 E. Tamminen F 7.3 30' 1 – 5 11 (7%) –
9 T. Hytönen F 7.2 86' 1 – 2 13 (6%) –
6 Y. Raap M 7.2 60' – – – 18 (12%) 6
19 Goudouss Bamba M 7.1 90' – – – 22 (20%) 7
13 K. Wallius M 6.9 90' – – – 32 (29%) 1
15 L. Ala-Myllymäki M 6.9 30' – – – 11 (9%) –
17 S. Baranov F 6.8 18' 1 – 2 3 (1%) 1
8 M. Stjopin F 6.6 60' – – 1 20 (19%) –
11 H. Coulibaly F 6.5 4' – – – 2 (1%) –
28 J. Kilo F 6.4 72' – – 3 21 (16%) 1
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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean
Too close to call
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Turku PS
LLDDD
Ilves
WWWLL
Last 1 meetings Turku PS · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Ilves leads 0-2. Win probability: 97.9%. Comeback chance: 2.1%.

69' Goal 85% sure

Ilves now leads 0-2 with 96.4% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 49.2%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Ilves leads. Win probability: 69.4%. Over 0.5 more goals: 75.7%.

25' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Ilves win: 65.7%. BTTS: 66.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
37%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
35%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Turku PS
A. Muzaci 3 gls
Ilves
T. Hytönen 7 gls
J. Kanga 4 gls
E. Tamminen 3 gls
M. Stjopin 2 gls

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Head to Head: Turku PS vs Ilves

0 Turku PS Wins
0 Draws
1 Ilves Wins
Date Home Score Away
20 Jul 2026 Turku PS 1 - 3 Ilves

Turku PS — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Ilves L 0 - 3
12 Sep A Mariehamn L 1 - 0
08 Sep H SJK D 0 - 0
31 Aug A Gnistan D 1 - 1
23 Aug H Inter Turku D 0 - 0

Ilves — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Turku PS W 0 - 3
12 Sep H Lahti W 3 - 1
08 Sep H FF Jaro W 2 - 0
31 Aug H HJK Helsinki L 1 - 2
22 Aug H VPS L 0 - 1

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
KuPS
25 13 9 3 +17 48
2
Inter Turku
25 13 9 3 +14 48
3
HJK Helsinki
25 12 6 7 +10 42
4
Gnistan
25 11 8 6 +8 41
5
VPS
25 10 6 9 +5 36
6
AC Oulu
25 10 4 11 -3 34

Relegation Play-Off

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lahti
25 10 6 9 +6 36
2
Ilves
25 10 4 11 +4 34
3
Turku PS
25 8 8 9 +1 32
4
SJK
25 5 9 11 -7 24
5
Mariehamn
25 4 5 16 -27 17
6
FF Jaro
25 3 8 14 -28 17

Ilves

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
12 Krkalić
5 Väisänen
16 Miettunen
24 Kumpu
13 Wallius
6 Raap
22 Multala
19 Bamba
28 Kilo
9 Hytönen
8 Stjopin

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 F. Krkalić G
24 V. Kumpu D
16 T. Miettunen D
5 S. Väisänen D
19 Goudouss Bamba M
22 O. Multala M
6 Y. Raap M
13 K. Wallius M
8 M. Stjopin F
9 T. Hytönen F
28 J. Kilo F

Substitutes

11 H. Coulibaly F
45 E. Tamminen F
17 S. Baranov F
15 L. Ala-Myllymäki M
3 M. Rale D
31 R. Leislahti G
27 F. Kouakou D

Turku PS

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ivan Piñol
1 Henriksson
20 Kauppila
25 Tamba
14 Hrádecký
2 Häggström
22 Zaal
6 Juvanteny
11 Vauhkonen
28 Vakiparta
10 Könkkölä
99 Visser

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 E. Henriksson G
2 O. Häggström D
14 M. Hrádecký D
25 Abdoulie Tamba D
20 M. Kauppila D
6 Pau Juvanteny M
22 T. Zaal M
10 M. Könkkölä M
28 T. Vakiparta M
11 E. Vauhkonen M
99 K. Visser F

Substitutes

35 D. Lauri G
17 A. Sihvonen D
24 N. Talo D
9 L. Ivanovic F
41 S. Anini F
7 R. Harjanne F
45 Joel Ahen F

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