Real vs Academica Prediction

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

Post on X

Real

Home

1 : 4

HT 0 - 2

Academica

Away

AI call Too close to call

43%

28%

29%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Real vs Academica prediction: Sportiko gives Real a 43% chance of winning, Academica 29% and the draw 28%. Last updated 18 Sep 2026, 21:27.

Premium picks

Premium

1st Half Over 0.5 73%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 8'

⚽ 0–2 34'

HT 0–2

52' ⚽ 1–2

⚽ 1–3 58'

⚽ 1–4 90+3'

FT 1–4

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Real vs Academica

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Real

LDWWW

Academica

WLLLW

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Academica now leads 1-4 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Academica leads 1-3. Win probability: 97.5%. Comeback chance: 2.5%.

59' Goal 85% sure

Academica now leads 1-3 with 92.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 62.1%.

52' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Academica win: 67.7%. BTTS: 100%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-2. Academica leads. Win probability: 88%. Over 0.5 more goals: 75.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

43%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

29%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Academica goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	2	1
1	7	13	7	3	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1	1
5	1	1

↑ Real goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

29%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

29%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

60% Home (No Draw) 40% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	5.6%	4.6%	2.0%	0.6%
1	7.4%	13.0%	7.4%	3.2%	1.0%
2	7.2%	9.3%	6.0%	2.6%	0.8%
3	3.9%	5.0%	3.2%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.6%	2.0%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

23%

29%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Real	Draw	Academica
Real	27.9%	4.9%	2.1%
Draw	14.5%	16.4%	11.1%
Academica	2.3%	4.3%	16.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Real vs Academica

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Real — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Academica	L	1 - 4
13 Sep	H Lajense	D	5 - 5
12 Sep	H FBC Riograndense RS	W	3 - 0
06 Sep	A Amora	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	A 1º Dezembro	W	0 - 1

Academica — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Real	W	1 - 4
11 Sep	H Benfica B	L	0 - 3
05 Sep	A Penafiel	L	4 - 1
29 Aug	H Lusitânia Lourosa	L	0 - 2
21 Aug	A Tondela	W	0 - 2

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.