Lahti vs FF Jaro Prediction

Veikkausliiga · Relegation Group - 25

Post on X

Lahti

Home

1 : 1

HT 1 - 0

FF Jaro

Away

Lahden Stadion, Lahti

AI call Difficult Lahti win or draw

60%

24%

16%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Lahti vs FF Jaro prediction: Sportiko gives Lahti a 60% chance of winning, FF Jaro 16% and the draw 24%. Last updated 18 Sep 2026, 16:53.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
1st Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

Martim Ferreira assist: O. Koskinen

9' ⚽ 1–0

Nícolas Yellow Card

35' ▮

⇄ 45'

Abdi Mohamed Sabriye

HT 1–0

R. Yapi Yellow Card

67' ▮

▮ 67'

G. Kocsis Yellow Card

▮ 71'

J. Skau Yellow Card

O. Koskinen ⇄ D. Heikkinen

73' ⇄

⇄ 77'

V. Vuorinen ⇄ V. Lofs

A. Lindholm ⇄ A. Belabid

79' ⇄

Tòfol Montiel ⇄ J. Ojanen

79' ⇄

Martim Ferreira ⇄ A. Kabashi

80' ⇄

⇄ 85'

G. Kocsis ⇄ K. Hardén

⇄ 86'

J. Myrevik ⇄ Oliver Kass Kawo

Nícolas ⇄ V. Vehkonen

86' ⇄

⚽ 1–1 89'

V. Lofs

R. Yapi Red Card

90+1' ▮

FT 1–1

Lahti

Match Stats

FF Jaro

64% Ball Possession 36%

21 Total Shots 12

4 Shots on Goal 4

9 Shots off Goal 3

8 Blocked Shots 5

15 Shots insidebox 8

6 Shots outsidebox 4

7 Corner Kicks 6

2 Offsides 0

7 Fouls 21

1 Yellow Cards 2

1 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

593 Total passes 250

517 Passes accurate 156

20 Free Kicks 6

Lahti

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Martim Ferreira F	8.2	80'	1	–	5	23 (18%)	2
10 O. Koskinen M	7.7	73'	–	1	2	48 (41%)	–
25 T. Inkinen D	7.5	90'	–	–	3	52 (45%)	–
18 Y. Cassubie M	7.2	90'	–	–	5	79 (74%)	1
4 J. Muller D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	87 (78%)	1
31 O. Maukonen G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	39 (33%)	–
8 Tòfol Montiel M	6.8	79'	–	–	2	62 (55%)	–
7 D. Heikkinen M	6.7	17'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
77 M. Sarr F	6.7	90'	–	–	4	28 (25%)	2
20 J. Ojanen F	6.6	11'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	1
17 A. Belabid F	6.5	11'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
5 Nícolas D	6.5	86'	–	–	–	80 (75%)	–
9 A. Lindholm F	6.4	79'	–	–	–	10 (6%)	–
28 A. Kabashi M	6.3	10'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	1
6 V. Vehkonen D	6.3	4'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
27 R. Yapi D	5.8	91'	–	–	–	65 (55%)	1

FF Jaro

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
24 V. Lofs M	7.7	13'	1	–	1	4 (3%)	–
Seamus Maughan	7.0	44'	–	–	4	6 (6%)	–
77 Abdi Mohamed Sabriye M	6.7	46'	–	–	–	9 (5%)	1
8 Oliver Kass Kawo M	6.7	4'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
4 M. Ogungbaro D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	26 (21%)	1
6 J. Brunell D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	24 (19%)	2
21 J. Myrevik D	6.5	86'	–	–	–	15 (6%)	5
7 J. Skau M	6.4	90'	–	–	3	28 (17%)	3
5 A. Bjonbäck D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	19 (13%)	3
25 G. Kocsis M	6.3	85'	–	–	2	23 (17%)	2
91 V. Vuorinen F	6.2	77'	–	–	1	2	1
26 M. Pedersen M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	27 (17%)	4
22 K. Hardén M	6.1	5'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
19 F. Østigård Ness D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	29 (17%)	2
1 S. Vits G	5.9	90'	–	–	–	34 (11%)	–

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Lahti win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.7%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Lahti

DLWWW

FF Jaro

DDLLL

Last 1 meetings Lahti · 1W 0D 0L

Live insights

90' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Lahti leads 1-0. Win probability: 90.1%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 9.9%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Lahti leads. Win probability: 84.7%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.4%.

9' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Lahti win: 84.2%. BTTS: 55.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

60%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

16%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FF Jaro goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	4	2	1
1	10	12	5	1
2	11	10	5	1
3	7	6	3	1
4	4	3	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Lahti goals · most likely 1–1 (11.7%)

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Players in form

Lahti

Martim Ferreira 4 gls

FF Jaro

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

24%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

24%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

79% Home (No Draw) 21% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	4.0%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
1	10.2%	11.7%	4.7%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.2%	10.0%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	7.2%	6.5%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
4	3.5%	3.2%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lahti	Draw	FF Jaro
Lahti	38.9%	3.2%	0.8%
Draw	19.5%	14.9%	5.4%
FF Jaro	3.0%	4.3%	10.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lahti vs FF Jaro

1 Lahti Wins

0 Draws

0 FF Jaro Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Aug 2026	Lahti	2 - 0	FF Jaro

Lahti — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H FF Jaro	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Ilves	L	3 - 1
08 Sep	H Mariehamn	W	2 - 1
31 Aug	A VPS	W	0 - 1
21 Aug	A SJK	W	1 - 2

FF Jaro — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Lahti	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H SJK	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	A Ilves	L	2 - 0
31 Aug	A Mariehamn	L	2 - 0
22 Aug	H AC Oulu	L	0 - 1

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

Lahti

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Gonçalo Pereira

31 Maukonen

25 Inkinen

4 Muller

5 Nícolas

27 Yapi

10 Koskinen

18 Cassubie

8 Montiel

11 Ferreira

9 Lindholm

77 Sarr

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	O. Maukonen	G
27	R. Yapi	D
5	Nícolas	D
4	J. Muller	D
25	T. Inkinen	D
8	Tòfol Montiel	M
18	Y. Cassubie	M
10	O. Koskinen	M
77	M. Sarr	F
9	A. Lindholm	F
11	Martim Ferreira	F

Substitutes

17	A. Belabid	F
12	A. Hakala	G
7	D. Heikkinen	M
28	A. Kabashi	M
41	A. Paalanen	F
21	M. Vainionpää	D
6	V. Vehkonen	D
20	J. Ojanen	F

FF Jaro

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo

1 Vits

19 Ness

4 Ogungbaro

6 Brunell

21 Myrevik

5 Bjonbäck

77 Sabriye

7 Skau

25 Kocsis

26 Pedersen

91 Vuorinen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	S. Vits	G
5	A. Bjonbäck	D
21	J. Myrevik	D
6	J. Brunell	D
4	M. Ogungbaro	D
19	F. Østigård Ness	D
26	M. Pedersen	M
25	G. Kocsis	M
7	J. Skau	M
77	A. Sabriye	M
91	V. Vuorinen	F

Substitutes

16	A. Vidjeskog	M
20	T. Soderstrom	D
12	Joas Snellman	G
24	V. Lofs	M
2	F. Kass	D
22	K. Hardén	M
8	Oliver Kass Kawo	M
18	E. Holmäng	F
23	Jonathan Lawson	F