Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan Prediction
Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan prediction: Sportiko gives Crystal Palace a 60% chance of winning, Lech Poznan 18% and the draw 22%. Last updated 17 Sep 2026, 20:52.
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Match Report
Crystal Palace made an impressive start to their UEFA Europa League campaign with a commanding 4–0 victory over Lech Poznan at Selhurst Park. The Eagles were dominant in the opening half, with Yéremy Pino breaking the deadlock in the 10th minute before Chris Richards doubled the advantage on 27 minutes. Jørgen Strand Larsen then converted a penalty seven minutes later to send Palace into the break with a comfortable 3–0 lead.
The second half was more subdued, with both sides making a flurry of substitutions, though Lech's task was made even harder when Radosław Murawski was shown a second yellow card in the 87th minute to reduce the visitors to ten men. Eddie Nketiah wrapped up the scoring two minutes later to complete a convincing scoreline.
Despite the lopsided result, the match statistics told a closer story in terms of raw numbers — Lech actually edged Palace on total shots 17 to 16 — though the Eagles were far more clinical when it mattered. Our pre-match AI model had flagged a Palace win as the most likely outcome at 60%, a prediction that proved well-founded.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Crystal Palace
Match Stats
Crystal Palace
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 Walter Benítez G | 8.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (26%) | – |
| 26 Chris Richards D | 8.5 | 74' | 1 | – | 1 | 44 (42%) | 4 |
| 10 Yéremy Pino F | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 66 (52%) | – |
| 6 Jaydee Canvot D | 7.7 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 21 (20%) | 2 |
| 20 Adam Wharton M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 80 (69%) | 3 |
| 5 Axel Disasi D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 62 (60%) | 1 |
| 21 Honest Ahanor D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (46%) | 1 |
| 11 Dwight McNeil F | 7.3 | 28' | – | 1 | – | 16 (16%) | 2 |
| 22 Jørgen Strand Larsen F | 7.2 | 74' | 1 | – | 5 | 15 (10%) | – |
| 23 Q. Timber M | 7.2 | 62' | – | – | 2 | 24 (22%) | 2 |
| 9 Eddie Nketiah F | 7.1 | 16' | 1 | – | 2 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 3 Tyrick Mitchell M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (36%) | 3 |
| 30 Óscar Mingueza D | 6.8 | 28' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | – |
| 7 Ismaïla Sarr F | 6.6 | 16' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 25 Anan Khalaili M | 6.4 | 62' | – | – | – | 31 (22%) | 2 |
| 18 Daichi Kamada F | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | – | 36 (32%) | 1 |
Lech Poznan
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Yannick Agnero F | 6.6 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 5 (2%) | – |
| 27 Wojciech Mońka D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 67 (65%) | 3 |
| 9 Mikael Ishak F | 6.4 | 61' | – | – | 3 | 17 (12%) | 1 |
| 77 Luis Palma M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 34 (26%) | – |
| 17 Allahyar Sayyadmanesh M | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 59 Terry Yegbe D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 79 (74%) | – |
| 10 Patrik Wålemark M | 6.2 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 2 Joel Pereira D | 6.1 | 70' | – | – | – | 41 (31%) | 2 |
| 14 Leo Bengtsson M | 6.0 | 20' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | 1 |
| 22 Radosław Murawski M | 5.9 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 54 (48%) | – |
| 21 Pablo Rodríguez M | 5.9 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 39 (33%) | – |
| 15 Michal Gurgul D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 69 (51%) | 2 |
| 11 Daniel Håkans M | 5.8 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 20 Robert Gumny D | 5.7 | 20' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 24 Filip Jagiełło M | 5.6 | 29' | – | – | – | 15 (9%) | – |
| 1 Mateusz Lis G | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (22%) | – |
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At a glance
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Crystal Palace now leads 4-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.
Min 76: Crystal Palace leads 3-0. Win probability: 99.8%. Comeback chance: 0.2%.
Half-time: 3-0. Crystal Palace leads. Win probability: 97.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 77.8%.
Crystal Palace now leads 3-0 with 95.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 83.3%.
Crystal Palace now leads 2-0 with 83.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 87%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Crystal Palace — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Leeds | D | 0 - 0 |
| 17 Sep | H Lech Poznan | W | 4 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Ipswich | L | 2 - 3 |
| 08 Sep | H Middlesbrough | W | 3 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Fulham | W | 2 - 3 |
Lech Poznan — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Radomiak Radom | W | 5 - 1 |
| 17 Sep | A Crystal Palace | L | 4 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A Gornik Zabrze | L | 2 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Raków Częstochowa | W | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Sep | H Jagiellonia | W | 2 - 1 |
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Crystal Palace
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: P. Sage
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | W. Benítez | G |
| 26 | C. Richards | D |
| 5 | A. Disasi | D |
| 21 | H. Ahanor | D |
| 25 | A. Khalaili | M |
| 23 | Q. Timber | M |
| 20 | A. Wharton | M |
| 3 | T. Mitchell | M |
| 18 | D. Kamada | F |
| 22 | J. Strand Larsen | F |
| 10 | Yeremy Pino | F |
Substitutes
| 43 | S. Williams | M |
| 6 | J. Canvot | D |
| 33 | B. Chilwell | D |
| 31 | R. Matthews | G |
| 11 | D. McNeil | F |
| 30 | Óscar Mingueza | D |
| 9 | E. Nketiah | F |
| 24 | D. Osorio | M |
| 7 | I. Sarr | F |
| 17 | T. Tomiyasu | D |
| 81 | Lucca Benetton | G |
Lech Poznan
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: N. Frederiksen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Lis | G |
| 2 | Joel Pereira | D |
| 27 | W. Mońka | D |
| 59 | T. Yegbe | D |
| 15 | M. Gurgul | D |
| 22 | R. Murawski | M |
| 21 | Pablo Rodríguez | M |
| 10 | P. Wålemark | M |
| 17 | A. Sayyadmanesh | M |
| 77 | L. Palma | M |
| 9 | M. Ishak | F |
Substitutes
| 72 | M. Skrzypczak | D |
| 31 | Wiktor Obremski | G |
| 4 | João Moutinho | D |
| 33 | M. Pruchniewski | G |
| 24 | F. Jagiełło | M |
| 11 | D. Håkans | M |
| 20 | R. Gumny | D |
| 14 | L. Bengtsson | M |
| 7 | Y. Agnero | F |
| 56 | W. Szymczak | F |