Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia Prediction

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 1
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AI call Olympiakos Piraeus to win or draw
66%
21%
12%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia prediction: Sportiko gives Olympiakos Piraeus a 66% chance of winning, Jagiellonia 12% and the draw 21%. Last updated 16 Sep 2026, 20:52.

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Match Report

Jagiellonia drew first blood in this UEFA Europa League opener, with K. Szmyt breaking the deadlock in the 20th minute to put the Polish side ahead. Olympiakos responded swiftly, however, with Armando González levelling matters on 43 minutes to ensure the teams went into the break level at 1–1, despite the hosts already showing their dominance in possession and territory.

The second half told a familiar story of Olympiakos pressure, with the Greeks registering 13 corner kicks to Jagiellonia's none and racking up 25 total shots against just four from the visitors. Roman Yaremchuk proved the decisive figure, netting the winner on 84 minutes to seal a hard-fought 2–1 victory for the Piraeus side. The match also saw a flurry of bookings, with five yellow cards distributed across both teams.

The result reflected Olympiakos's overwhelming statistical superiority, with an expected goals figure of 2.26 to Jagiellonia's 0.52 underlining the gulf in chances created. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Olympiakos win as the most likely outcome at 66%, a call that proved well-founded.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

0–1 20'
K. Szmyt assist: Nik Prelec
29'
Norbert Wojtuszek Yellow Card
Onyemaechi Bruno Yellow Card
38'
Armando González assist: Panagiotis Retsos
43' 1–1
HT 1–1
Onyemaechi Bruno ⇄ Nair Tiknizyan
46'
46'
Taras Romanczuk ⇄ Eryk Kozłowski
54'
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia Yellow Card
Armando González ⇄ Roman Yaremchuk
62'
63'
Ferslev Anders Klynge ⇄ Hampus Finndell
63'
Jesús Imaz ⇄ Youssuf Sylla
75'
Nik Prelec ⇄ Sergio Lozano
Santiago Hezze Yellow Card
76'
Santiago Hezze ⇄ Leon Bailey
77'
Chiquinho ⇄ Gustavo Puerta
77'
80'
Bernardo Vital Yellow Card
Manolis Saliakas ⇄ Marcus Pedersen
82'
Roman Yaremchuk assist: Remo Freuler
84' 2–1
87'
Rodrigo Conceição ⇄ Jeremy Agbonifo
FT 2–1
Olympiakos Piraeus

Match Stats

Jagiellonia
58% Ball Possession 42%
2.26 Expected Goals (xG) 0.52
25 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Goal 3
11 Shots off Goal 1
8 Blocked Shots 0
18 Shots insidebox 4
7 Shots outsidebox 0
13 Corner Kicks 0
1 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
460 Total passes 347
382 Passes accurate 264
83% Passes % 76%
1.01 goals_prevented 1.01
Olympiakos Piraeus
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Remo Freuler M 7.9 90' 1 1 58 (51%) 1
22 Chiquinho M 7.3 77' 2 19 (17%)
34 Armando González F 7.2 62' 1 2 9 (8%)
11 Roman Yaremchuk F 7.2 28' 1 1 5 (3%)
32 Santiago Hezze M 7.0 77' 1 56 (48%) 2
10 Gelson Martins M 6.9 90' 39 (32%) 2
5 Lorenzo Pirola D 6.7 90' 57 (52%)
15 Gustavo Puerta M 6.6 13' 6 (5%) 2
71 Nair Tiknizyan D 6.6 45' 37 (27%) 1
17 Leon Bailey F 6.6 13' 4 (3%) 1
27 Marcus Pedersen D 6.3 8' 2 (2%)
45 Panagiotis Retsos D 6.3 90' 2 61 (53%) 1
20 Jota Silva M 6.2 90' 4 17 (10%)
1 Stefan Ortega G 6.2 90' 22 (17%)
2 Manolis Saliakas D 6.2 82' 2 41 (31%) 1
70 Onyemaechi Bruno D 6.2 45' 23 (20%)
Jagiellonia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 K. Szmyt F 8.2 90' 1 1 13 (12%) 2
50 Sławomir Abramowicz G 7.9 90' 38 (32%)
99 Nik Prelec F 7.3 75' 1 1 17 (9%) 1
19 Ferslev Anders Klynge M 7.2 63' 26 (21%) 2
6 Taras Romanczuk M 7.0 45' 1 21 (16%) 2
17 Youssuf Sylla F 6.9 27' 6 (5%)
27 Rodrigo Conceição F 6.9 87' 1 10 (6%) 2
44 A. Konstantopoulos D 6.7 90' 40 (34%) 2
14 Hampus Finndell M 6.3 27' 10 (9%) 1
15 Norbert Wojtuszek D 6.3 90' 31 (26%) 4
5 Bernardo Vital D 6.3 90' 53 (42%)
11 Jesús Imaz M 6.3 63' 20 (13%) 1
21 Sergio Lozano M 6.3 15' 5 (3%)
85 Eryk Kozłowski M 6.2 45' 13 (7%) 1
23 Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia D 6.2 90' 36 (23%) 3
10 Jeremy Agbonifo F 3' 1 (1%)
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Confidence Medium (66%)

At a glance

Our lean
Olympiakos Piraeus to win or draw
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Olympiakos Piraeus
WWLWD
Jagiellonia
LLLWL
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Olympiakos Piraeus

No scorer data.

Jagiellonia
K. Szmyt 1 gls

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Head to Head: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Olympiakos Piraeus — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Levadiakos W 0 - 1
16 Sep H Jagiellonia W 2 - 1
12 Sep H OFI L 0 - 1
08 Sep H Volos NFC W 3 - 2
05 Sep A Volos NFC D 1 - 1

Jagiellonia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Legia Warszawa L 1 - 3
16 Sep A Olympiakos Piraeus L 2 - 1
11 Sep A Wisla Krakow L 2 - 0
06 Sep H Slask Wroclaw W 2 - 1
03 Sep A Lech Poznan L 2 - 1

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Juventus
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Crystal Palace
1 1 0 0 +4 3
3
Sparta Praha
1 1 0 0 +3 3
4
Beşiktaş
1 1 0 0 +3 3
5
Union St. Gilloise
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
Ferencvarosi TC
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Benfica
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Bayer Leverkusen
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
OFI
1 1 0 0 +2 3
10
Bournemouth
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Lyon
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Torreense
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Red Bull Salzburg
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Sunderland
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
Omonia Nicosia
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
Sturm Graz
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Rennes
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
Dinamo Zagreb
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Jagiellonia
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Real Sociedad
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Anderlecht
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Lillestrom
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Celta Vigo
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
AZ Alkmaar
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Levski Sofia
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Celtic
1 0 0 1 -2 0
29
1899 Hoffenheim
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
AC Milan
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
Celje
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
Marseille
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Ararat-Armenia
1 0 0 1 -3 0
34
Plzen
1 0 0 1 -3 0
35
Lech Poznan
1 0 0 1 -4 0
36
NEC Nijmegen
1 0 0 1 -5 0

Olympiakos Piraeus

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Imanol Alguacil
1 Ortega
70 Bruno
5 Pirola
45 Retsos
2 Saliakas
19 Freuler
32 Hezze
10 Martins
22 Chiquinho
20 Silva
34 González

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Stefan Ortega G
2 Manolis Saliakas D
45 Panagiotis Retsos D
5 Lorenzo Pirola D
70 Onyemaechi Bruno D
32 Santiago Hezze M
19 Remo Freuler M
20 Jota Silva M
22 Chiquinho M
10 Gelson Martins M
34 Armando González F

Substitutes

71 Nair Tiknizyan D
11 Roman Yaremchuk F
91 Dimitrios Stournaras G
61 Georgios Kouraklis G
4 Zinedin Smajlović D
6 David Carmo D
15 Gustavo Puerta M
21 Theofanis Bakoulas M
27 Marcus Pedersen D
77 Christos Filis M
17 Leon Bailey F

Jagiellonia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Adrian Siemieniec
50 Abramowicz
23 Montóia
44 Konstantopoulos
5 Vital
15 Wojtuszek
19 Klynge
6 Romanczuk
11 Imaz
7 Szmyt
99 Prelec
27 Conceição

Starting XI

# Player Pos
50 Sławomir Abramowicz G
15 Norbert Wojtuszek D
5 Bernardo Vital D
44 Apostolos Konstantopoulos D
23 Guilherme Montóia D
11 Jesús Imaz M
6 Taras Romanczuk M
19 Ferslev Anders Klynge M
27 Rodrigo Conceição F
99 Nik Prelec F
7 Kajetan Szmyt F

Substitutes

85 Eryk Kozłowski M
14 Hampus Finndell M
17 Youssuf Sylla F
21 Sergio Lozano M
1 Michał Perchel G
67 Jakub Rabiczko G
3 Dušan Stojinović D
20 Bartłomiej Wdowik D
61 Bartlomiej Krasiewicz D
10 Jeremy Agbonifo F
32 Aleksandar Ćirković F
72 Kamil Jóźwiak M

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