Boldmere St. Michaels vs Bourne Town Prediction

FA Cup · 1st Round Qualifying Replays

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Boldmere St. Michaels

Home

2 : 1

HT 1 - 0

Bourne Town

Away

AI call Too close to call

37%

29%

33%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Boldmere St. Michaels vs Bourne Town prediction: Sportiko gives Boldmere St. Michaels a 37% chance of winning, Bourne Town 33% and the draw 29%. Last updated 8 Sep 2026, 22:00.

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Over 1.5 Goals 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

1:1 · 14%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Boldmere St. Michaels

LWDLD

Bourne Town

LDWWL

Last 1 meetings Boldmere St. Michaels · 0W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

33%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bourne Town goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	7	6	3	1
1	8	14	8	3	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Boldmere St. Michaels goals · most likely 1–1 (14.0%)

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

33%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

33%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	7.5%	5.9%	2.5%	0.8%
1	8.0%	14.0%	8.0%	3.5%	1.1%
2	6.6%	8.5%	5.5%	2.4%	0.8%
3	3.0%	3.9%	2.5%	1.1%	0.4%
4	1.0%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Boldmere St. Michaels	Draw	Bourne Town
Boldmere St. Michaels	22.3%	4.6%	2.0%
Draw	13.8%	18.2%	12.8%
Bourne Town	2.1%	4.5%	19.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Boldmere St. Michaels vs Bourne Town

0 Boldmere St. Michaels Wins

1 Draws

0 Bourne Town Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Sep 2026	Bourne Town	1 - 1	Boldmere St. Michaels

Boldmere St. Michaels — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Barton Town Old Boys	L	3 - 1
08 Sep	H Bourne Town	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Bourne Town	D	1 - 1
13 Jul	H Alvechurch	L	2 - 3
21 Mar	H St Neots Town	D	0 - 0

Bourne Town — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
08 Sep	A Boldmere St. Michaels	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Boldmere St. Michaels	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Newcastle Town	W	0 - 3
21 Mar	A Rugby Town	W	0 - 3
14 Mar	H Lichfield City	L	2 - 3

FA Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.