Rangers vs Celtic Prediction

League Cup · Quarter-finals

Post on X

Rangers

Home

3 : 0

HT 1 - 0

Celtic

Away

Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow

AI call Celtic or draw

35%

27%

38%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Rangers vs Celtic prediction: Sportiko gives Rangers a 35% chance of winning, Celtic 38% and the draw 27%. Last updated 13 Sep 2026, 12:56.

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Home to Score 73%
1st Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

▮ 19'

Benjamin Nygren Yellow Card

Dan Neil assist: Kevin Kelsy

23' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 27'

Colby Donovan Yellow Card

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Sebastian Tounekti ⇄ Haissem Hassan

Olwethu Makhanya Yellow Card

48' ▮

Kevin Kelsy

59' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 64'

Kasper Høgh ⇄ Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain

⇄ 64'

Benjamin Nygren ⇄ James Forrest

Ryan Don Naderi ⇄ Ben Godfrey

74' ⇄

Min-su Kim ⇄ Badredine Bouanani

74' ⇄

Dan Neil

75' ⚽ 3–0

⇄ 77'

Camilo Durán ⇄ Shumaira Mheuka

James Penrice Yellow Card

78' ▮

▮ 79'

Haissem Hassan Yellow Card

Djeidi Gassama ⇄ Findlay Curtis

85' ⇄

Dan Neil ⇄ Vanja Dragojević

85' ⇄

Kevin Kelsy ⇄ Bojan Miovski

87' ⇄

FT 3–0

Rangers

Match Stats

Celtic

50% Ball Possession 50%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

8 Shots on Goal 1

5 Shots off Goal 3

Blocked Shots

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

5 Corner Kicks 3

3 Offsides 1

Fouls

2 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Our lean

Celtic or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Rangers

WWWWW

Celtic

LLLWW

Last 3 meetings Rangers · 1W 2D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

38%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Celtic goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	7	7	4	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	3	3	1	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Rangers goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

35%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

35%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

58% Away (No Draw) 42% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Away Scores More 30% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	7.3%	6.9%	3.7%	1.4%
1	5.8%	13.1%	9.1%	4.8%	1.9%
2	4.8%	7.6%	6.0%	3.2%	1.3%
3	2.1%	3.4%	2.7%	1.4%	0.6%
4	0.7%	1.1%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rangers	Draw	Celtic
Rangers	13.6%	2.8%	1.3%
Draw	14.2%	16.1%	11.6%
Celtic	3.5%	6.7%	30.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rangers vs Celtic

1 Rangers Wins

2 Draws

0 Celtic Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Sep 2026	Celtic	0 - 1	Rangers
08 Mar 2026	Rangers	0 - 0	Celtic
01 Mar 2026	Rangers	2 - 2	Celtic

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Rangers — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Celtic	W	0 - 1
13 Sep	H Celtic	W	3 - 0
09 Sep	H ST Mirren	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Motherwell	W	1 - 0
02 Sep	A Falkirk	W	1 - 2

Celtic — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Rangers	L	0 - 1
17 Sep	H Ferencvarosi TC	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Rangers	L	3 - 0
09 Sep	A ST Johnstone	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	A ST Mirren	W	1 - 2

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Celtic

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Martin O'Neill

26 Johnstone

63 Tierney

5 Scales

20 Carter-Vickers

51 Donovan

22 Baur

42 McGregor

17 Tounekti

8 Nygren

11 Durán

9 Høgh

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
26	Sam Johnstone	G
51	Colby Donovan	D
20	Cameron Carter-Vickers	D
5	Liam Scales	D
63	Kieran Tierney	D
42	Callum McGregor	M
22	Mika Baur	M
11	Camilo Durán	F
8	Benjamin Nygren	F
17	Sebastian Tounekti	F
9	Kasper Høgh	F

Substitutes

23	Haissem Hassan	M
21	Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain	M
49	James Forrest	M
1	Viljami Sinisalo	G
3	Jordan Lotomba	D
6	Auston Trusty	D
47	Dane Murray	D
18	Oliver Sørensen	M
29	Shumaira Mheuka	F

Rangers

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Derek McInnes

1 Pandur

29 Penrice

24 Makhanya

37 Fernandez

21 Sterling

6 Neil

43 Raskin

23 Gassama

10 Kim

20 Naderi

19 Kelsy

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Ivor Pandur	G
21	Dujon Sterling	D
37	Emmanuel Fernandez	D
24	Olwethu Makhanya	D
29	James Penrice	D
43	Nicolas Raskin	M
6	Dan Neil	M
20	Ryan Don Naderi	F
10	Min-su Kim	F
23	Djeidi Gassama	M
19	Kevin Kelsy	F

Substitutes

31	Liam Kelly	G
4	Ben Godfrey	D
2	Ross McCrorie	M
22	Vanja Dragojević	M
14	Cameron Devlin	M
42	Tochi Chukwuani	M
52	Findlay Curtis	M
26	Badredine Bouanani	M
28	Bojan Miovski	F