FC Sochi vs Nizhny Novgorod Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 10

Post on X

FC Sochi

Home

0 : 1

HT 0 - 0

Nizhny Novgorod

Away

AI call FC Sochi or draw

39%

26%

34%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Sochi vs Nizhny Novgorod prediction: Sportiko gives FC Sochi a 39% chance of winning, Nizhny Novgorod 34% and the draw 26%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 18:04.

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1st Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

Maksim Kuzmin Yellow Card

19' ▮

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

⇄ 68'

Vladislav Sarveli

Maksim Kuzmin

68' ⇄

⇄ Zakhar Fedorov

69' ⇄

⚽ 0–1 78'

⇄ 82'

⇄ Viktor Aleksandrov

⇄ 83'

Ruslan Magal

84' ⇄

Mikhail Ignatov ⇄ Ruslan Bart

84' ⇄

▮ 89'

Roman Evgenjev Yellow Card

Aleksandr Soldatenkov

90+1' ⇄

⇄ 90+4'

Vyacheslav Grulev

FT 0–1

FC Sochi

Match Stats

Nizhny Novgorod

58% Ball Possession 42%

7 Total Shots 4

2 Shots on Goal 1

5 Shots off Goal 3

0 Blocked Shots 0

5 Corner Kicks 8

1 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean

FC Sochi or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.8%

Both teams to score

65%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

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FC Sochi

DWLLW

Nizhny Novgorod

WWWWD

Last 3 meetings FC Sochi · 2W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

34%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nizhny Novgorod goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	5	5	3	1
1	5	12	8	4	2	1
2	6	9	7	4	1
3	3	5	4	2	1
4	1	2	2	1
5		1	1

↑ FC Sochi goals · most likely 1–1 (11.8%)

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

34%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS Yes 35% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

90%

5.5

10%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

34%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 17% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 34% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

90%

5.5

10%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS Yes 35% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

22%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	4.9%	4.9%	2.5%	1.0%
1	5.4%	11.8%	8.1%	4.2%	1.6%
2	5.6%	8.8%	6.8%	3.5%	1.4%
3	3.1%	4.9%	3.8%	2.0%	0.8%
4	1.3%	2.0%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

26%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Sochi	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi	21.3%	3.7%	1.8%
Draw	15.4%	14.8%	10.7%
Nizhny Novgorod	3.6%	5.8%	22.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Sochi vs Nizhny Novgorod

2 FC Sochi Wins

0 Draws

1 Nizhny Novgorod Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Mar 2026	Nizhny Novgorod	2 - 1	FC Sochi
05 Oct 2025	FC Sochi	2 - 1	Nizhny Novgorod
31 May 2025	Nizhny Novgorod	1 - 3	FC Sochi

See all 10 meetings — Premium

FC Sochi — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Ska-khabarovsk	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	A Veles	W	1 - 2
09 Sep	A Dinamo St. Petersburg	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H Nizhny Novgorod	L	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Chelyabinsk	W	2 - 1

Nizhny Novgorod — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H Leningradets	W	6 - 0
13 Sep	A Torpedo Moskva	W	1 - 2
09 Sep	A Dinamo Stavropol	W	1 - 2
05 Sep	A FC Sochi	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Volga Ulyanovsk	D	2 - 2

First League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.