Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction

League Cup · Quarter-finals

Post on X

Stenhousemuir

Home

0 : 3

HT 0 - 2

Heart Of Midlothian

Away

Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir

AI call Heart Of Midlothian to win or draw

12%

21%

67%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction: Sportiko gives Stenhousemuir a 12% chance of winning, Heart Of Midlothian 67% and the draw 21%. Last updated 11 Sep 2026, 20:37.

Timeline

Yellow Card

10' ▮

⚽ 0–1 35'

J. Williams assist: Tomas Magnusson

⚽ 0–2 39'

Rogers Mato assist: J. Williams

HT 0–2

46' ⇄

Yellow Card

47' ▮

Yellow Card

61' ▮

62' ⇄

⇄ 65'

Tomas Magnusson ⇄ Yan Dhanda

⇄ 72'

Rogers Mato ⇄ Calvin Miller

⇄ 72'

Harry Milne ⇄ Stephen Kingsley

⚽ 0–3 74'

Yan Dhanda assist: J. Williams

77' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Christian Borchgrevink ⇄ Jordi Altena

⇄ 78'

J. Williams ⇄ Pierre Landry Kaboré

FT 0–3

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Confidence Medium (67%)

At a glance

Our lean

Heart Of Midlothian to win or draw

Most likely score

0:2 · 11.9%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

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Stenhousemuir

WWLWW

Heart Of Midlothian

DLWWW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

12%

10%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

67%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Heart Of Midlothian goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	10	12	9	5	2
1	3	10	10	7	4	2
2	2	4	4	3	2	1
3		1	1	1
4
5

↑ Stenhousemuir goals · most likely 0–2 (11.9%)

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Match Result

Away Win

67%

Draw

21%

Home Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

67%

Draw

21%

Home Win

12%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

85% Away (No Draw) 15% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

44% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Away Scores More 21% Equal Goals 12% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	9.5%	11.9%	8.8%	4.9%
1	2.9%	10.2%	10.0%	7.4%	4.1%
2	1.7%	3.8%	4.2%	3.1%	1.7%
3	0.5%	1.1%	1.2%	0.9%	0.5%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

15%

24%

29%

18%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Stenhousemuir	Draw	Heart Of Midlothian
Stenhousemuir	5.5%	3.1%	3.2%
Draw	5.7%	13.3%	25.6%
Heart Of Midlothian	1.0%	3.1%	39.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

36%

1.5

64%

63%

2.5

37%

84%

3.5

16%

Away Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Stenhousemuir — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Arbroath	W	1 - 0
15 Sep	H Partick	W	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	L	0 - 3
04 Sep	A Livingston	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Inverness CT	W	3 - 1

Heart Of Midlothian — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Kilmarnock	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Falkirk	L	2 - 1
11 Sep	A Stenhousemuir	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	H Dundee	W	2 - 1
03 Sep	A Hibernian	W	1 - 3

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.