Millwall vs Newcastle Prediction

League Cup League Cup · Round of 32
FT
Post on X
The Den, London
AI call Difficult Newcastle win or draw
22%
27%
52%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Millwall vs Newcastle prediction: Sportiko gives Millwall a 22% chance of winning, Newcastle 52% and the draw 27%. Last updated 8 Sep 2026, 20:52.

Timeline

45'
Amar Dedić ⇄ Valentino Livramento
HT 0–0
Romain Esse ⇄ Yanis Issoufou
62'
Zak Lovelace ⇄ Tairyk Arconte
62'
66'
Yoane Wissa ⇄ Matías Fernández-Pardo
66'
Jacob Murphy ⇄ Anthony Elanga
Jenson Metcalfe Yellow Card
67'
69'
Jacob Ramsey Yellow Card
0–1 81'
Joe Willock assist: Lewis Hall
83'
Jacob Ramsey ⇄ Lewis Miley
Lyndon Dykes
87'
Daniel Kelly ⇄ Alfie Massey
87'
Jordi Osei-Tutu
88'
Alfie Massey Yellow Card
90+1'
90+1'
Joe Willock ⇄ Sean Steur
FT 0–1
Millwall

Match Stats

Newcastle
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 9
2 Blocked Shots 10
8 Shots insidebox 17
1 Shots outsidebox 8
1 Corner Kicks 15
2 Offsides 0
15 Fouls 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
275 Total passes 462
203 Passes accurate 393
12 Free Kicks 15
Millwall
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
34 Filip Marschall G 7.5 90' 40 (24%)
6 Caleb Taylor D 7.2 90' 3 37 (32%) 1
5 Jake Cooper D 7.0 90' 46 (35%)
12 Elkan Baggott D 7.0 90' 9 (8%)
2 Jordi Osei-Tutu D 6.8 88' 17 (16%) 2
44 Alfie Massey M 6.7 3' 8 (8%) 1
11 Romain Esse M 6.5 62' 9 (6%)
7 Tairyk Arconte F 6.5 28' 1 4 (2%)
13 Lyndon Dykes M 6.4 87' 1 18 (10%)
10 Camiel Neghli M 6.3 90' 1 22 (15%) 2
14 Jenson Metcalfe M 6.3 90' 1 25 (19%) 3
16 Daniel Kelly M 6.2 87' 1 18 (13%) 2
29 Zak Lovelace F 6.2 62' 9 (6%)
35 Yanis Issoufou F 6.1 28' 1 7 (6%)
Newcastle
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
3 Lewis Hall D 8.7 90' 1 1 53 (50%) 2
28 Joe Willock M 8.2 91' 1 5 34 (31%) 2
4 Sven Botman D 7.9 90' 1 55 (51%)
5 Fabian Schär D 7.6 90' 2 58 (46%)
21 Lukáš Horníček G 7.3 90' 30 (23%)
37 Amar Dedić D 7.1 46' 1 14 (12%) 1
2 Valentino Livramento D 7.0 44' 15 (15%)
19 Anthony Elanga F 6.9 24' 3 3 (2%)
11 Harvey Barnes M 6.9 90' 4 35 (29%) 2
67 Lewis Miley M 6.8 7' 5 (4%) 1
23 Jacob Murphy M 6.7 66' 3 17 (14%) 1
6 Nico González M 6.6 90' 1 69 (58%)
41 Jacob Ramsey M 6.6 83' 2 58 (46%) 3
9 Yoane Wissa F 6.4 66' 2 12 (9%)
20 Matías Fernández-Pardo F 6.3 24' 4 (3%)
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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Newcastle win or draw
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Millwall
DDLLW
Newcastle
WLWDW
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
22%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
52%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Millwall

No scorer data.

Newcastle
H. Barnes 2 gls

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Head to Head: Millwall vs Newcastle

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Millwall — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H West Ham D 2 - 2
15 Sep A Middlesbrough D 2 - 2
12 Sep A Blackburn L 3 - 1
08 Sep H Newcastle L 0 - 1
05 Sep H Bolton W 4 - 0

Newcastle — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Hull City W 2 - 1
14 Sep A Leeds L 4 - 1
08 Sep A Millwall W 0 - 1
05 Sep H Bournemouth D 2 - 2
29 Aug A Tottenham W 0 - 2

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Newcastle

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
21 Horníček
3 Hall
4 Botman
5 Schär
37 Dedić
41 Ramsey
6 González
11 Barnes
28 Willock
23 Murphy
9 Wissa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
21 L. Horníček G
37 A. Dedić D
5 F. Schär D
4 S. Botman D
3 L. Hall D
6 Nico González M
41 J. Ramsey M
23 J. Murphy M
28 J. Willock M
11 H. Barnes M
9 Y. Wissa F

Substitutes

17 B. Touré F
12 M. Thiaw D
14 Sean Steur M
1 N. Pope G
67 L. Miley M
2 T. Livramento D
20 M. Fernandez-Pardo F
19 A. Elanga F
8 A. Bamba M

Millwall

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: A. Neil
34 Marschall
12 Baggott
5 Cooper
6 Taylor
2 Osei-Tutu
14 Metcalfe
16 Kelly
10 Neghli
13 Dykes
11 Esse
29 Lovelace

Starting XI

# Player Pos
34 F. Marschall G
2 J. Osei-Tutu D
6 C. Taylor D
5 J. Cooper D
12 E. Baggott D
16 D. Kelly M
14 Jenson Metcalfe M
11 R. Esse M
13 L. Dykes M
10 C. Neghli M
29 Z. Lovelace F

Substitutes

7 T. Arconte F
35 Y. Issoufou F
44 Alfie Massey M
55 Tristan Parkes D
3 Zak Norton Sturge D
51 S. T. Vieira M
57 Regan Monty Anderson F
41 G. Evans G
37 G Beaumont M

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