Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
AI call
Rayo Vallecano or draw
34%
29%
37%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano prediction: Sportiko gives Alaves a 34% chance of winning, Rayo Vallecano 37% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
Toni Martínez
13'
⚽
1–0
Victor Parada
⇄ Carlos Benavídez
33'
⇄
⇄
38'
Carlos Martín
⇄ Sergio Camello
HT 1–0
⇄
46'
Álvaro García
⇄ Jorge de Frutos
▮
54'
Sergio Camello
Yellow Card
⇄
61'
Óscar Valentín
⇄ Alemão
⇄
61'
Abdul Mumin
⇄ Pathé Ismaël Ciss
▮
64'
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
Yellow Card
Ángel Pérez
Yellow Card
69'
▮
⚽
1–1
73'
Sergio Camello
assist: Pathé Ismaël Ciss
Pablo Ibáñez
⇄ Denis Suarez
74'
⇄
Abderrahman Rebbach
Yellow Card
79'
▮
Lucas Boyé
⇄ Ibrahim Diabaté
84'
⇄
Jon Guridi
⇄ Ander Guevara
84'
⇄
Nahuel Tenaglia
Yellow Card
87'
▮
⇄
88'
Iván Balliu
⇄ Andrei Rațiu
⚽
1–2
90'
Randy Nteka
assist: Sergio Camello
▮
90+4'
Pacha
Yellow Card
FT 1–2
Alaves
Match Stats
Rayo Vallecano
48%
Ball Possession
52%
1.63
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
19
Total Shots
15
11
Shots on Goal
7
0
Shots off Goal
6
8
Blocked Shots
2
11
Shots insidebox
8
8
Shots outsidebox
7
10
Corner Kicks
5
3
Offsides
3
13
Fouls
14
3
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
5
Goalkeeper Saves
10
345
Total passes
378
276
Passes accurate
311
80%
Passes %
82%
1.71
goals_prevented
1.71
Alaves
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Toni Martínez F | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 14 (7%) | 1 |
| 1 Antonio Sivera G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (24%) | – |
| 18 Jon Guridi M | 7.2 | 84' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | 4 |
| 19 Pablo Ibáñez M | 7.2 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 19 (14%) | 3 |
| 24 Victor Parada D | 6.9 | 33' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 8 Antonio Blanco M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 41 (37%) | – |
| 16 Ville Koski D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (29%) | 1 |
| 21 Abderrahman Rebbach M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (31%) | 2 |
| 7 Ángel Pérez M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 31 (27%) | – |
| 4 Denis Suarez M | 6.6 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 16 (14%) | – |
| 15 Lucas Boyé F | 6.6 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 21 (16%) | 2 |
| 22 Ibrahim Diabaté F | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 6 Ander Guevara M | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 14 Nahuel Tenaglia D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (30%) | 1 |
| 23 Carlos Benavídez M | 6.2 | 57' | – | – | – | 14 (9%) | – |
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Dani Cárdenas G | 8.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | – |
| 11 Randy Nteka F | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 26 (22%) | 1 |
| 10 Sergio Camello F | 8.2 | 52' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 (13%) | 1 |
| 23 Óscar Valentín M | 7.7 | 61' | – | – | – | 21 (20%) | 3 |
| 22 Pacha D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 43 (35%) | 3 |
| 32 Nobel Mendy D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (36%) | 2 |
| 6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss M | 6.9 | 29' | – | 1 | 1 | 15 (15%) | – |
| 2 Andrei Rațiu D | 6.9 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 19 Jorge de Frutos F | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | 2 | 11 (8%) | 1 |
| 15 Gerard Gumbau M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 46 (38%) | – |
| 20 Iván Balliu D | 6.6 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 41 (34%) | 5 |
| 18 Álvaro García M | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 4 Pedro Díaz M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (23%) | 3 |
| 9 Alemão F | 6.3 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 16 Abdul Mumin D | 6.2 | 61' | – | – | – | 28 (24%) | – |
| 14 Carlos Martín M | 6.2 | 38' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (55%)
At a glance
Our lean
Rayo Vallecano or draw
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Alaves
DWLWW
Rayo Vallecano
WDWWD
Last 3 meetings
Alaves · 0W 0D 3L
Match summary
In the upcoming La Liga clash, Alaves hosts Rayo Vallecano at home. Alaves is currently fighting to secure their position away from relegation, having shown a mixed bag of form with a home win rate of 40% this season. Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, has been a mid-table side with a stronger away performance, winning 50% of their away matches. Key players to watch include Alaves' leading scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Rayo's creative midfielder, contributing significantly to their attacking plays. The outcome may hinge on Alaves' ability to convert home advantage into points against a resilient Rayo side.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano
0
Alaves Wins
0
Draws
3
Rayo Vallecano Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 - 0 | Alaves |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Alaves | 0 - 2 | Rayo Vallecano |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 - 0 | Alaves |
Alaves — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug | A Racing Santander | D | 1 - 1 |
| 25 Jul | A Girona | W | 0 - 1 |
| 23 May | H Rayo Vallecano | L | 1 - 2 |
| 17 May | A Oviedo | W | 0 - 1 |
| 13 May | H Barcelona | W | 1 - 0 |
Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug | A Charleroi | W | 2 - 3 |
| 26 Jul | A Feyenoord | D | 1 - 1 |
| 23 May | A Alaves | W | 1 - 2 |
| 17 May | H Villarreal | W | 2 - 0 |
| 14 May | A Valencia | D | 1 - 1 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Athletic Club
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Osasuna
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Alaves
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Elche
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Barcelona
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Getafe
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Levante
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Malaga
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Racing Santander
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Celta Vigo
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Espanyol
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Real Betis
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Real Madrid
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 |
Real Sociedad
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |
Sevilla
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 |
Villarreal
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Alaves
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Quique Sanchez Flores
1
Sivera
24
Parada
16
Koski
14
Tenaglia
21
Rebbach
18
Guridi
8
Blanco
19
Ibanez
7
Perez
11
Martinez
15
Boye
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Sivera | G |
| 14 | N. Tenaglia | D |
| 16 | V. Koski | D |
| 24 | V. Parada | D |
| 7 | A. Perez | M |
| 19 | P. Ibanez | M |
| 8 | A. Blanco | M |
| 18 | J. Guridi | M |
| 21 | A. Rebbach | M |
| 15 | L. Boye | F |
| 11 | T. Martinez | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | R. Fernandez | G |
| 31 | G. Swiderski | G |
| 4 | D. Suarez | M |
| 17 | Jonny Otto | D |
| 22 | I. Diabate | F |
| 34 | A. Manas | - |
| 3 | Yusi | D |
| 9 | M. Diaz | F |
| 10 | C. Alena | M |
| 23 | C. Protesoni | M |
| 6 | A. Guevara | M |
| 20 | Calebe | M |
Rayo Vallecano
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Inigo Perez
1
Cardenas
22
Pacha
32
Mendy
16
Mumin
20
Balliu
15
Gumbau
23
Valentin
18
Garcia
4
Diaz
14
Martin
11
Nteka
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Cardenas | G |
| 20 | I. Balliu | D |
| 16 | A. Mumin | D |
| 32 | N. Mendy | D |
| 22 | Pacha | D |
| 23 | O. Valentin | M |
| 15 | G. Gumbau | M |
| 14 | C. Martin | M |
| 4 | P. Diaz | M |
| 18 | A. Garcia | M |
| 11 | R. Nteka | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | A. Batalla | G |
| 30 | J. Gil | G |
| 8 | O. Trejo | M |
| 24 | F. Lejeune | D |
| 9 | Alemao | F |
| 3 | P. Chavarria | D |
| 33 | J. Vertrouwd | D |
| 19 | J. de Frutos | F |
| 6 | P. Ciss | M |
| 10 | S. Camello | F |
| 21 | F. Perez | M |
| 2 | A. Ratiu | D |