Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
AI call
Villarreal or draw
44%
23%
33%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Sportiko gives Villarreal a 44% chance of winning, Atletico Madrid 33% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Villarreal
Match Stats
Atletico Madrid
48%
Ball Possession
52%
2.48
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
14
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Goal
4
1
Shots off Goal
5
5
Blocked Shots
0
10
Shots insidebox
7
4
Shots outsidebox
2
5
Corner Kicks
9
0
Offsides
1
3
Fouls
12
0
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
502
Total passes
529
433
Passes accurate
467
86%
Passes %
88%
-1.56
goals_prevented
-1.56
Villarreal
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Ayoze Pérez F | 9.5 | 75' | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 (18%) | – |
| 19 Nicolas Pépé M | 8.2 | 90' | – | 2 | 2 | 55 (48%) | – |
| 9 Georges Mikautadze F | 8.2 | 89' | 1 | – | 3 | 21 (19%) | – |
| 18 Pape Gueye M | 8.0 | 75' | 1 | – | 1 | 49 (42%) | 2 |
| 15 Santiago Mouriño D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 75 (67%) | 2 |
| 10 Dani Parejo M | 7.7 | 66' | 1 | – | 1 | 52 (51%) | 3 |
| 4 Rafa Marín D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (45%) | 3 |
| 38 Alassane Diatta M | 7.2 | 24' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | 1 |
| 2 Logan Costa D | 6.9 | 15' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | 1 |
| 23 Sergi Cardona D | 6.9 | 23' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 6 Pau Navarro D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (38%) | 2 |
| 24 Alfonso Pedraza D | 6.6 | 67' | – | – | – | 24 (16%) | 1 |
| 20 Alberto Moleiro M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (23%) | – |
| 33 Pau Cabanes F | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 25 Arnau Tenas G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (21%) | – |
| 37 Carlos Maciá M | — | 1' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Obed Vargas M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (32%) | 3 |
| 6 Koke M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 87 (76%) | – |
| 18 Marc Pubill D | 6.7 | 45' | 1 | – | 1 | 42 (39%) | 1 |
| 47 Javi Morcillo M | 6.6 | 29' | – | – | – | 18 (17%) | – |
| 32 Javier Boñar D | 6.6 | 29' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
| 7 Antoine Griezmann F | 6.5 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 44 (37%) | – |
| 3 Matteo Ruggeri D | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 29 (23%) | – |
| 9 Alexander Sørloth F | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 20 Giuliano Simeone F | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 2 | 19 (17%) | 1 |
| 40 Aleksa Purić D | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | 1 |
| 22 Ademola Lookman F | 6.2 | 61' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | 2 |
| 15 Clément Lenglet D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (53%) | 5 |
| 10 Alex Baena M | 5.9 | 61' | – | – | 2 | 38 (32%) | – |
| 1 Juan Musso G | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 18 (17%) | – |
| 17 Dávid Hancko D | 5.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 22 (20%) | – |
| 14 Marcos Llorente D | 5.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (54%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (61%)
At a glance
Our lean
Villarreal or draw
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Villarreal
WWLLD
Atletico Madrid
LWLWW
Last 3 meetings
Villarreal · 0W 2D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming La Liga clash on May 24, 2026, Villarreal will host Atletico Madrid in a pivotal matchup. Villarreal has shown resilience at home, with a strong average possession rate of 58% and a solid conversion rate of 15% in their last five home matches. Atletico Madrid, however, boasts one of the league's best defensive records, allowing just 0.8 goals per game this season. Their counter-attacking prowess, highlighted by an average of 3.2 key passes per match, could exploit Villarreal's defensive gaps. The outcome may hinge on Villarreal's ability to break down Atletico's structured defense while managing the threat of their quick transitions.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid
0
Villarreal Wins
2
Draws
1
Atletico Madrid Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | Atletico Madrid | 2 - 0 | Villarreal |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Atletico Madrid | 1 - 1 | Villarreal |
| 19 Aug 2024 | Villarreal | 2 - 2 | Atletico Madrid |
Villarreal — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul | A PSV Eindhoven | W | 1 - 3 |
| 24 May | H Atletico Madrid | W | 5 - 1 |
| 17 May | A Rayo Vallecano | L | 2 - 0 |
| 13 May | H Sevilla | L | 2 - 3 |
| 10 May | A Mallorca | D | 1 - 1 |
Atletico Madrid — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug | A Manchester United | L | 2 - 1 |
| 29 Jul | H Getafe | W | 4 - 1 |
| 24 May | A Villarreal | L | 5 - 1 |
| 17 May | H Girona | W | 1 - 0 |
| 12 May | A Osasuna | W | 1 - 2 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Athletic Club
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Osasuna
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Alaves
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Elche
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Barcelona
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Getafe
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Levante
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Malaga
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Racing Santander
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Celta Vigo
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Espanyol
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Real Betis
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Real Madrid
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 |
Real Sociedad
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |
Sevilla
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 |
Villarreal
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Atletico Madrid
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Diego Simeone
1
Musso
17
Hancko
15
Lenglet
18
Pubill
14
Llorente
21
Vargas
6
Koke
10
Baena
22
Lookman
7
Griezmann
20
Simeone
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Musso | G |
| 14 | M. Llorente | D |
| 18 | M. Pubill | D |
| 15 | C. Lenglet | D |
| 17 | D. Hancko | D |
| 10 | A. Baena | M |
| 6 | Koke | M |
| 21 | O. Vargas | M |
| 20 | G. Simeone | F |
| 7 | A. Griezmann | F |
| 22 | A. Lookman | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | S. Esquivel | G |
| 13 | J. Oblak | G |
| 9 | A. Sorloth | F |
| 3 | M. Ruggeri | D |
| 32 | J. Bonar | D |
| 29 | R. Belaid | F |
| 40 | A. Puric | D |
| 47 | J. Morcillo | M |
| 34 | J. Diaz | M |
| 37 | I. Luque | F |
| 61 | M. Cubo | F |
Villarreal
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Marcelino
25
Tenas
24
Pedraza
4
Marin
6
Navarro
15
Mourino
20
Moleiro
10
Parejo
18
Gueye
19
Pepe
9
Mikautadze
22
Perez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | A. Tenas | G |
| 15 | S. Mourino | D |
| 6 | P. Navarro | D |
| 4 | R. Marin | D |
| 24 | A. Pedraza | D |
| 19 | N. Pepe | M |
| 18 | P. Gueye | M |
| 10 | D. Parejo | M |
| 20 | A. Moleiro | M |
| 22 | A. Perez | F |
| 9 | G. Mikautadze | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Luiz Junior | G |
| 2 | L. Costa | D |
| 23 | S. Cardona | D |
| 5 | W. Kambwala | D |
| 12 | R. Veiga | M |
| 33 | P. Cabanes | F |
| 38 | A. Diatta | M |
| 11 | A. Gonzalez | F |
| 17 | T. Buchanan | F |
| 3 | A. Freeman | D |
| 21 | T. Oluwaseyi | F |
| 37 | C. Macia | M |