Madureira vs Boavista SC Prediction

Copa Rio · Semi-finals

Post on X

Madureira

Home

0 : 0

HT 0 - 0

1st leg 0-2 · Aggregate 0-2

Boavista SC

Away

AI call Too close to call

25%

31%

44%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Madureira vs Boavista SC prediction: Sportiko gives Madureira a 25% chance of winning, Boavista SC 44% and the draw 31%. Last updated 2 Sep 2026, 19:53.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 70%

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Timeline

▮ 6'

Yellow Card

▮ 18'

Yellow Card

22' ▮

Yellow Card

37' ▮

FT 0–0

Madureira

Match Stats

Boavista SC

66% Ball Possession 34%

9 Total Shots 6

2 Shots on Goal 1

7 Shots off Goal 5

0 Blocked Shots 0

4 Corner Kicks 4

4 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 0

0 Free Kicks 0

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Madureira

LDDLD

Boavista SC

DDWWL

Last 1 meetings Madureira · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

25%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

44%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Boavista SC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	12	9	4	1
1	8	15	9	4	1
2	5	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Madureira goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

31%

Home Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

31%

Home Win

25%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

64% Away (No Draw) 36% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 25% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.8%	11.9%	9.1%	4.1%	1.4%
1	8.0%	14.6%	8.7%	3.9%	1.3%
2	4.6%	6.1%	4.1%	1.8%	0.6%
3	1.5%	1.9%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Madureira	Draw	Boavista SC
Madureira	14.2%	4.2%	1.9%
Draw	10.3%	20.7%	16.9%
Boavista SC	1.3%	4.1%	26.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Madureira vs Boavista SC

0 Madureira Wins

0 Draws

1 Boavista SC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Aug 2026	Boavista SC	2 - 0	Madureira

Madureira — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
23 Sep	H Sampaio Corrêa RJ	L	0 - 2
16 Sep	A Sampaio Corrêa RJ	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	H Boavista SC	D	0 - 0
26 Aug	A Boavista SC	L	2 - 0
12 Aug	H Portuguesa RJ	D	1 - 1

Boavista SC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Nova Iguaçu	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	A Madureira	D	0 - 0
26 Aug	H Madureira	W	2 - 0
12 Aug	H CFRJ / Maricá	W	3 - 0
05 Aug	A CFRJ / Maricá	L	1 - 0

Copa Rio Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.