Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco Prediction

Taça de Portugal · 1/128-finals

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Fátima

Home

3 : 1

HT 1 - 0

Benfica Castelo Branco

Away

AI call Fátima or draw

41%

29%

31%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco prediction: Sportiko gives Fátima a 41% chance of winning, Benfica Castelo Branco 31% and the draw 29%. Last updated 29 Aug 2026, 17:51.

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Under 3.5 Goals 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

18' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

58' ⚽ 2–0

⚽ 2–1 83'

90' ⚽ 3–1

FT 3–1

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Our lean

Fátima or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Fátima

WLLWW

Benfica Castelo Branco

LWLLW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Benfica Castelo Branco goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	7	5	2	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Fátima goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

31%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

31%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

57% Home (No Draw) 43% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 30% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	7.4%	5.4%	2.1%	0.6%
1	9.1%	14.3%	7.4%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.4%	8.8%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.4%	4.1%	2.4%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.2%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fátima	Draw	Benfica Castelo Branco
Fátima	24.2%	4.5%	1.8%
Draw	14.9%	18.7%	11.9%
Benfica Castelo Branco	2.1%	4.4%	17.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Fátima — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Vinhais	W	4 - 1
13 Sep	H Oliveira Hospital	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A Os Marialvas	L	3 - 0
29 Aug	H Benfica Castelo Branco	W	3 - 1
23 Aug	H Atlético Malveira	W	5 - 0

Benfica Castelo Branco — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
13 Sep	H AD Nogueirense	L	2 - 3
06 Sep	A FC Alverca II	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Fátima	L	3 - 1
23 Aug	H Naval 1893	L	1 - 4
16 Aug	A Oliveira Hospital	W	2 - 3

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.