Newport City vs Baglan Dragons Prediction

FAW Championship · South - 4

Post on X

Newport City

Home

0 : 1

HT 0 - 0

Baglan Dragons

Away

AI call Too close to call

38%

32%

30%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Newport City vs Baglan Dragons prediction: Sportiko gives Newport City a 38% chance of winning, Baglan Dragons 30% and the draw 32%. Last updated 22 Aug 2026, 05:46.

Premium picks

Premium

Home to Score 70%
1st Half Draw or Away 72%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Newport City vs Baglan Dragons

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

1:1 · 15%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Newport City

LLWLL

Baglan Dragons

LWWWL

Last 1 meetings Newport City · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

38%

45%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

30%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Baglan Dragons goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	9	6	2	1
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	8	8	4	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Newport City goals · most likely 1–1 (15.0%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

32%

Away Win

30%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

32%

Away Win

30%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 30% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.2%	9.3%	5.8%	2.0%	0.5%
1	10.9%	15.0%	7.0%	2.4%	0.6%
2	7.7%	8.0%	4.2%	1.5%	0.4%
3	3.1%	3.2%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.9%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Newport City	Draw	Baglan Dragons
Newport City	22.6%	4.3%	1.5%
Draw	14.8%	21.3%	12.3%
Baglan Dragons	1.7%	4.2%	17.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Newport City vs Baglan Dragons

0 Newport City Wins

0 Draws

1 Baglan Dragons Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Mar 2026	Newport City	1 - 2	Baglan Dragons

Newport City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Aug	H Baglan Dragons	L	0 - 1
08 Aug	H Carmarthen Town	L	1 - 2
31 Jul	A llanelli AFC	W	1 - 4
08 Jul	H Newport County	L	0 - 5
20 Mar	H Treowen Stars	L	2 - 3

Baglan Dragons — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
12 Sep	A Cardiff Draconians	L	2 - 1
04 Sep	H Afan Lido	W	2 - 1
21 Aug	A Newport City	W	0 - 1
15 Aug	A Llantwit Major	W	0 - 1
09 Aug	H Swansea University	L	0 - 3

FAW Championship Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.