Sevilla vs Espanyol Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 35

Post on X

Espanyol

Away

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla

AI call Sevilla or draw

48%

28%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Sevilla vs Espanyol prediction: Sportiko gives Sevilla a 48% chance of winning, Espanyol 23% and the draw 28%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Sevilla edged past Espanyol 2–1 in a tense La Liga encounter that remained goalless at the break despite the hosts enjoying dominant possession. The first real moment of note came just after half-time when a VAR review cancelled an Alexis Sánchez goal for Espanyol, before Tyrhys Dolan broke the deadlock for Sevilla on 56 minutes. A feisty spell around the hour mark saw José Ángel Carmona pick up a yellow card and subsequently be substituted off, while a flurry of bookings at 73 minutes added further heat to proceedings.

Espanyol levelled through Andres Castrin on 82 minutes, setting up a nervy finish, but Akor Adams restored Sevilla's lead in the 90th minute to seal all three points. Adams himself was cautioned moments after scoring, and a chaotic period of stoppage time produced further yellow cards for both sides, with the match eventually concluding deep into added time.

Sevilla's 65% possession and 21 total shots reflected their overall control, even if their xG of 1.38 suggested the scoreline was a fair reflection of the contest. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Sevilla win as the most likely outcome at 48%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 26'

Urko González Yellow Card

HT 0–0

Isaac Romero ⇄ Alexis Sánchez

46' ⇄

Alexis Sánchez Goal cancelled

48' 🖵

⚽ 0–1 56'

Tyrhys Dolan assist: Roberto Fernández

Lucien Agoumé ⇄ Djibril Sow

58' ⇄

José Ángel Carmona Yellow Card

61' ▮

José Ángel Carmona ⇄ Juanlu Sánchez

64' ⇄

Gabriel Suazo ⇄ Oso

64' ⇄

⇄ 66'

Rubén Sánchez ⇄ Charles Pickel

Djibril Sow Yellow Card

73' ▮

Rubén Vargas Yellow Card

73' ▮

▮ 73'

Tyrhys Dolan Yellow Card

Rubén Vargas ⇄ Akor Adams

75' ⇄

⇄ 75'

Carlos Romero ⇄ Jose Salinas

⇄ 75'

Ramón Terrats ⇄ Jofre Carreras

Andres Castrin assist: Djibril Sow

82' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 83'

Roberto Fernández ⇄ Kike García

⇄ 83'

Edu Expósito ⇄ Pol Lozano

Akor Adams assist: Alexis Sánchez

90' ⚽ 2–1

▮ 90+1'

Omar El Hilali Yellow Card

Akor Adams Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

Andres Castrin Yellow Card

90+9' ▮

▮ 90+9'

Fernando Calero Yellow Card

▮ 90+11'

Charles Pickel Yellow Card

FT 2–1

Sevilla

Match Stats

Espanyol

65% Ball Possession 35%

1.38 Expected Goals (xG) 0.61

21 Total Shots 10

6 Shots on Goal 5

7 Shots off Goal 3

8 Blocked Shots 2

11 Shots insidebox 6

10 Shots outsidebox 4

4 Corner Kicks 6

4 Offsides 0

14 Fouls 17

5 Yellow Cards 5

Red Cards

4 Goalkeeper Saves 4

428 Total passes 230

331 Passes accurate 134

77% Passes % 58%

-0.79 goals_prevented -0.79

Sevilla

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
32 Andres Castrin D	7.9	90'	1	–	2	61 (50%)	1
9 Akor Adams F	7.7	15'	1	–	1	8 (4%)	–
1 Odysseas Vlachodimos G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	18 (11%)	–
21 Chidera Ejuke M	7.2	90'	–	–	–	31 (27%)	3
16 Juanlu Sánchez M	7.0	26'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	2
17 Neal Maupay F	7.0	90'	–	–	1	24 (20%)	1
11 Rubén Vargas M	6.9	75'	–	–	1	26 (21%)	–
20 Djibril Sow M	6.9	32'	–	1	–	20 (18%)	2
12 Gabriel Suazo D	6.9	64'	–	–	–	43 (32%)	4
10 Alexis Sánchez F	6.9	45'	–	1	–	16 (10%)	1
18 Lucien Agoumé M	6.7	58'	–	–	–	20 (15%)	3
36 Oso D	6.6	26'	–	–	1	14 (12%)	–
6 Nemanja Gudelj M	6.5	90'	–	–	4	30 (24%)	–
2 José Ángel Carmona D	6.3	64'	–	–	2	29 (18%)	2
4 Kike Salas D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	62 (47%)	2
7 Isaac Romero F	6.2	45'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–

Espanyol

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
24 Tyrhys Dolan M	7.3	90'	1	–	3	8 (5%)	–
8 Edu Expósito M	7.2	83'	–	–	1	18 (10%)	4
22 Carlos Romero D	7.0	75'	–	–	1	14 (12%)	–
9 Roberto Fernández F	6.9	83'	–	1	–	7 (5%)	–
23 Omar El Hilali D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	27 (13%)	5
10 Pol Lozano M	6.7	18'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
6 Leandro Cabrera D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	27 (16%)	1
18 Charles Pickel M	6.3	24'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	–
4 Urko González M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	22 (13%)	1
19 Kike García F	6.3	18'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	–
2 Rubén Sánchez M	6.3	66'	–	–	1	13 (6%)	1
17 Jofre Carreras F	6.3	15'	–	–	–	–	–
5 Fernando Calero D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	25 (17%)	–
14 Ramón Terrats M	6.2	75'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	–
13 Marko Dmitrović G	5.9	90'	–	–	–	29 (9%)	–
12 Jose Salinas D	5.7	15'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

Sevilla or draw

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Sevilla

LWWDL

Espanyol

LLWDL

Last 3 meetings Sevilla · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash between Sevilla and Espanyol, Sevilla will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Stadium. Historically, Sevilla has performed strongly at home, with a win rate exceeding 65% in the last two seasons. Espanyol, on the other hand, has struggled to secure points away, boasting a mere 25% win rate on the road this season. Key players to watch include Sevilla's attacking dynamo, who has contributed significantly to their goal tally, and Espanyol's defense, which has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per away match. This match is crucial for both teams as they vie for points in their respective battles for European qualification and survival.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Espanyol goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	10	4	1
1	15	13	5	1
2	10	8	4	1
3	5	4	2
4	2	1	1
5

↑ Sevilla goals · most likely 1–0 (15.4%)

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Players in form

Sevilla

No scorer data.

Espanyol

Roberto Fernández 6 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Sevilla vs Espanyol

0 Sevilla Wins

2 Draws

1 Espanyol Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Sep 2026	Espanyol	1 - 1	Sevilla
24 Nov 2025	Espanyol	2 - 1	Sevilla
25 Jan 2025	Sevilla	1 - 1	Espanyol

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Sevilla — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Barcelona	L	1 - 3
16 Sep	A Deportivo La Coruna	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	H Valencia	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Espanyol	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Atletico Madrid	L	1 - 3

Espanyol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Elche	L	1 - 3
15 Sep	A Rayo Vallecano	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Osasuna	W	0 - 2
06 Sep	H Sevilla	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Real Sociedad	L	2 - 1

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3