Hibernian vs Gent Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

Post on X

Hibernian

Home

2 : 3

HT 0 - 1

1st leg 0-0 · Aggregate 2-3

Gent

Away

AI call Gent or draw

33%

30%

37%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Hibernian vs Gent prediction: Sportiko gives Hibernian a 33% chance of winning, Gent 37% and the draw 30%. Last updated 27 Aug 2026, 20:52.

Premium picks

Premium

Over 1.5 Goals 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Match Report

Hibernian fell to a 3–2 defeat against Gent in their UEFA Europa Conference League playoff round clash at Easter Road, with the Belgian side edging a dramatic contest. Josué Vergara's 39th-minute strike gave Gent a slender half-time lead, and Hibernian's hopes of an immediate response were dealt a blow when Martin Boyle's effort was ruled out by VAR for handball just two minutes after the restart.

Jason Kerr levelled for the hosts on 56 minutes to set up a tense finale, but Felix Passlack restored Gent's advantage on 77 minutes. Christian Burgess then headed Hibernian level in the 84th minute, only for Miguel Changa Chaiwa to deflect the ball into his own net in stoppage time to hand Gent the winner. Changa Chaiwa's evening ended in further misery when he received a second yellow card moments later, reducing Gent to ten men at the final whistle.

The two sides finished level on shots — 13 apiece — with Hibernian edging possession at 56%, though it ultimately counted for little. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Gent win as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 32'

Christian Burgess Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 39'

Josué Vergara assist: Tiago Araújo

▮ 44'

Tibe De Vlieger Yellow Card

HT 0–1

Martin Boyle Goal Disallowed - handball

47' 🖵

Jason Kerr assist: Jamie McGrath

56' ⚽ 1–1

Miguel Changa Chaiwa Yellow Card

60' ▮

⇄ 63'

Abdelkahar Kadri ⇄ Kyrell Wilson

⇄ 64'

Momodou Sonko

Martin Boyle ⇄ Ante Šuto

76' ⇄

Felix Passlack assist: Josh Mulligan

77' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 82'

Tibe De Vlieger ⇄ László Bénes

⇄ 82'

Siebe Van Der Heyden ⇄ Leonardo Lopes

⇄ 82'

⇄ Ibrahima Cisse

Jamie McGrath ⇄ Callum Wright

83' ⇄

⚽ 2–2 84'

Christian Burgess assist: László Bénes

Felix Passlack ⇄ Kanayochukwu Megwa

90' ⇄

⚽ 2–3 90+1'

Miguel Changa Chaiwa Own Goal

Miguel Changa Chaiwa Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

Miguel Changa Chaiwa Red Card

90+3' ▮

FT 2–3

Hibernian

Match Stats

Gent

44% Ball Possession 56%

Expected Goals (xG)

13 Total Shots 13

5 Shots on Goal 5

5 Shots off Goal 4

3 Blocked Shots 4

9 Shots insidebox 9

4 Shots outsidebox 4

6 Corner Kicks 5

1 Offsides 2

7 Fouls 9

1 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

402 Total passes 517

350 Passes accurate 468

87% Passes % 91%

goals_prevented

Hibernian

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 Adam Mayor M	8.2	92'	–	–	–	33 (27%)	1
25 Felix Passlack D	7.7	90'	1	–	2	26 (22%)	1
17 Jamie McGrath F	7.7	83'	–	1	–	37 (34%)	3
6 Jason Kerr D	7.3	92'	1	–	2	68 (61%)	–
8 Josh Mulligan M	6.6	92'	–	1	3	31 (26%)	2
23 Callum Wright M	6.5	9'	–	–	–	–	–
1 Raphael Sallinger G	6.3	92'	–	–	–	33 (25%)	–
21 Jordan Obita D	6.3	92'	–	–	–	49 (45%)	1
10 Martin Boyle F	6.3	76'	–	–	1	12 (11%)	1
9 Nathan Lowe F	6.3	92'	–	–	1	12 (7%)	1
5 Warren O'Hora D	6.2	92'	–	–	–	53 (47%)	–
22 Ante Šuto F	6.2	16'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	–
14 Miguel Changa Chaiwa M	5.9	92'	–	–	–	45 (42%)	–
27 Kanayochukwu Megwa D	—	2'	–	–	–	–	–

Gent

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
16 Christian Burgess D	7.6	92'	1	–	2	81 (78%)	–
8 László Bénes M	7.3	10'	–	1	–	2 (2%)	–
17 Mathias Delorge M	7.3	92'	–	–	–	73 (68%)	3
20 Tiago Araújo M	7.2	92'	–	1	1	45 (42%)	3
47 Josué Vergara F	7.2	92'	1	–	4	11 (7%)	–
44 Siebe Van Der Heyden D	6.9	82'	–	–	–	78 (76%)	–
14 Kyrell Wilson F	6.7	29'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	3
37 Abdelkahar Kadri F	6.7	63'	–	–	–	42 (38%)	2
59 El Hadji Seck F	6.7	28'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
5 Mouhamed El Bachir Ngom D	6.6	92'	–	–	–	54 (47%)	2
33 Davy Roef G	6.6	92'	–	–	–	23 (17%)	–
11 Momodou Sonko F	6.6	64'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	1
57 Matties Volckaert M	6.3	82'	–	–	1	24 (21%)	–
22 Leonardo Lopes M	6.3	10'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
75 Ibrahima Cisse F	6.3	10'	–	–	–	–	–
27 Tibe De Vlieger M	6.2	82'	–	–	1	57 (50%)	–

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Hibernian vs Gent

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean

Gent or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Hibernian

DLWLL

Gent

WDWWW

Last 1 meetings Hibernian · 0W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

33%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

37%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Gent goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	9	7	3	1
1	8	14	9	4	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Hibernian goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

33%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

33%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Winner

55% Away (No Draw) 45% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Away Scores More 32% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	8.6%	7.0%	3.2%	1.1%
1	7.5%	14.2%	8.6%	3.9%	1.4%
2	5.6%	7.7%	5.3%	2.4%	0.8%
3	2.3%	3.2%	2.2%	1.0%	0.3%
4	0.7%	1.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

32%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hibernian	Draw	Gent
Hibernian	18.5%	4.4%	2.0%
Draw	12.5%	18.6%	14.1%
Gent	1.9%	4.6%	23.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Hibernian vs Gent

0 Hibernian Wins

1 Draws

0 Gent Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Aug 2026	Gent	0 - 0	Hibernian

Hibernian — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Aberdeen	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Kilmarnock	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Ross County	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	A ST Johnstone	L	2 - 1
03 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	L	1 - 3

Gent — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Standard Liege	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Genk	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Cercle Brugge	W	0 - 3
03 Sep	H OH Leuven	W	1 - 0
30 Aug	H Club Brugge KV	W	2 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Gent

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Rik De Mil

33 Roef

44 Heyden

16 Burgess

5 Ngom

20 Araújo

17 Delorge

27 Vlieger

57 Volckaert

11 Sonko

37 Kadri

47 Vergara

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
33	Davy Roef	G
5	Mouhamed El Ngom	D
16	Christian Burgess	D
44	Siebe Van Der Heyden	D
57	Matties Volckaert	M
27	Tibe De Vlieger	M
17	Mathias Delorge	M
20	Tiago Araújo	M
37	Abdelkahar Kadri	F
11	Momodou Sonko	F
47	Josué Vergara	F

Substitutes

14	Kyrell Wilson	F
59	El Hadji Seck	F
30	Kjell Peersman	G
50	Noa Vandenabeele	G
3	Maksim Paskotsi	D
39	Abdul Ayinde	D
8	László Bénes	M
10	Aimé Omgba	M
22	Leonardo Lopes	M
28	Mohammed El Âdfaoui	M
75	Ibrahima Cisse	F

Hibernian

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: David Gray

1 Sallinger

21 Obita

6 Kerr

5 O'Hora

25 Passlack

3 Mayor

14 Chaiwa

8 Mulligan

17 McGrath

9 Lowe

10 Boyle

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Raphael Sallinger	G
25	Felix Passlack	D
5	Warren O'Hora	D
6	Jason Kerr	D
21	Jordan Obita	D
8	Josh Mulligan	M
14	Miguel Changa Chaiwa	M
3	Adam Mayor	M
10	Martin Boyle	F
9	Nathan Lowe	F
17	Jamie McGrath	F

Substitutes

22	Ante Šuto	F
13	Jordan Smith	G
35	Freddie Owens	G
4	Grant Hanley	D
15	Jack Iredale	D
11	Joe Newell	M
19	Nicky Cadden	M
20	Rudi Allan Molotnikov	M
23	Callum Wright	M
27	Kanayochukwu Megwa	D
30	Jacob MacIntyre	M
47	Azeem Abdulai	M