Ajax vs FC Sion Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

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Ajax

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5 : 3

HT 3 - 2

1st leg 4-2 · Aggregate 9-5

FC Sion

Away

AI call Difficult Ajax win or draw

65%

20%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Ajax vs FC Sion prediction: Sportiko gives Ajax a 65% chance of winning, FC Sion 15% and the draw 20%. Last updated 27 Aug 2026, 19:52.

Match Report

Ajax secured a hard-fought 5–3 victory over FC Sion in their UEFA Conference League playoff round clash, with the match producing eight goals across a breathless 90 minutes. Youri Baas opened the scoring inside the first minute, but Winsley Boteli Mokango struck twice to give Sion a foothold in the contest. Davy Klaassen and a late Tolu Arokodare goal just before the break ensured Ajax led 3–2 at half-time, with the pre-match AI model's 65% confidence in an Ajax win looking well-placed by the interval.

The second half brought further drama, as Arokodare extended Ajax's lead shortly after the restart before Oliver Valaker Edvardsen pulled one back for Sion. A subsequent Edvardsen effort was ruled out for offside by VAR, halting any Sion momentum. Ajax's dominance was reflected in the stats — 13 shots on goal to Sion's three and 53% possession — though the Swiss side refused to capitulate entirely.

Mokango completed his hat-trick deep into stoppage time to make it 5–3, adding a late gloss to Sion's tally but doing little to alter the outcome. Ajax progress comfortably despite a spirited visiting performance.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Youri Baas

1' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 18'

Winsley Boteli Mokango

Youri Regeer ⇄ Jorthy Mokio

23' ⇄

⚽ 1–2 36'

Winsley Boteli Mokango

Davy Klaassen assist: Lucas Rosa

39' ⚽ 2–2

Tolu Arokodare assist: Abdellah Ouazane

45+1' ⚽ 3–2

HT 3–2

Steven Berghuis ⇄ Oliver Valaker Edvardsen

46' ⇄

▮ 50'

Noé Sow Yellow Card

Tolu Arokodare assist: Abdellah Ouazane

51' ⚽ 4–2

Oliver Valaker Edvardsen assist: Caio Henrique

54' ⚽ 5–2

⇄ 56'

Rilind Nivokazi ⇄ Donat Rrudhani

⇄ 56'

Franck Surdez ⇄ Josias Lukembila

⇄ 56'

Nias Hefti ⇄ Marquinhos Cipriano

▮ 59'

Numa Lavanchy Yellow Card

Davy Klaassen ⇄ Dies Janse

60' ⇄

Tolu Arokodare ⇄ Marcos Leonardo

60' ⇄

Julian Brandt ⇄ Oscar Gloukh

60' ⇄

Oliver Valaker Edvardsen Goal Disallowed - offside

64' 🖵

⇄ 67'

Ali Kabacalman ⇄ Fode Sylla

⇄ 67'

Ylyas Chouaref ⇄ Théo Berdayes

⚽ 5–3 90'

Winsley Boteli Mokango assist: Fode Sylla

FT 5–3

Ajax

Match Stats

FC Sion

53% Ball Possession 47%

Expected Goals (xG)

23 Total Shots 10

13 Shots on Goal 3

7 Shots off Goal 2

3 Blocked Shots 5

20 Shots insidebox 5

3 Shots outsidebox 5

5 Corner Kicks 2

2 Offsides 2

4 Fouls 7

0 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 7

464 Total passes 408

424 Passes accurate 357

91% Passes % 88%

goals_prevented

Ajax

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
99 Tolu Arokodare F	8.9	60'	2	–	7	13 (12%)	–
68 Abdellah Ouazane F	8.5	83'	–	2	2	33 (29%)	–
18 Davy Klaassen M	7.9	60'	1	–	1	30 (27%)	–
20 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen F	7.9	38'	1	–	2	12 (11%)	–
2 Lucas Rosa D	7.3	83'	–	1	–	48 (44%)	2
15 Youri Baas D	7.3	83'	1	–	2	64 (57%)	1
24 Jorthy Mokio M	7.0	60'	–	–	–	34 (32%)	–
23 Steven Berghuis F	6.9	45'	–	–	2	16 (12%)	1
12 Caio Henrique D	6.9	83'	–	1	–	55 (50%)	–
36 Dies Janse D	6.9	23'	–	–	–	20 (19%)	1
30 Aaron Bouwman D	6.6	83'	–	–	–	61 (60%)	1
10 Oscar Gloukh M	6.6	23'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–
8 Julian Brandt M	6.6	60'	–	–	2	27 (25%)	2
6 Youri Regeer M	6.3	23'	–	–	–	21 (20%)	–
38 Marcos Leonardo F	6.2	23'	–	–	2	6 (5%)	–
1 Marc-André Ter Stegen G	6.0	83'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	–

FC Sion

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
13 Winsley Boteli Mokango M	8.2	83'	2	–	2	19 (16%)	–
5 Noé Sow D	7.2	83'	–	–	–	70 (65%)	5
37 Fode Sylla M	6.9	16'	–	–	1	19 (17%)	–
6 Marquinhos Cipriano D	6.7	27'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	–
77 Donat Rrudhani M	6.7	27'	–	–	–	16 (16%)	–
7 Ylyas Chouaref M	6.6	67'	–	–	–	24 (19%)	1
8 Baltazar M	6.5	83'	–	–	–	38 (36%)	–
9 Josias Lukembila F	6.3	27'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
29 Théo Berdayes F	6.3	16'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–
1 Anthony Racioppi G	6.2	83'	–	–	–	25 (20%)	–
17 Jan Kronig D	6.2	83'	–	–	–	49 (45%)	1
88 Ali Kabacalman M	6.2	67'	–	–	1	46 (42%)	–
33 Rilind Nivokazi F	6.2	56'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
19 Franck Surdez M	6.0	56'	–	–	1	16 (10%)	2
14 Numa Lavanchy D	5.2	83'	–	–	–	44 (38%)	1
20 Nias Hefti D	5.2	56'	–	–	–	24 (18%)	–

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Confidence Medium (65%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Ajax win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.5%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

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Ajax

DWWLW

FC Sion

DWWWW

Last 1 meetings Ajax · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

65%

45%

Draw

20%

45%

Away

15%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Sion goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	4	3	1
1	7	11	6	3	1
2	8	10	6	3	1
3	5	6	4	2	1
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Ajax goals · most likely 1–1 (11.5%)

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Players in form

Ajax

O. Gloukh 4 gls

D. Klaassen 4 gls

T. Arokodare 3 gls

FC Sion

Winsley Boteli Mokango 7 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

65%

Draw

20%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

65%

Draw

20%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

69% Home (No Draw) 31% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.5%	3.9%	3.3%	1.4%	0.4%
1	6.8%	11.5%	6.3%	2.6%	0.8%
2	7.9%	9.9%	6.2%	2.6%	0.8%
3	5.1%	6.4%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%
4	2.5%	3.1%	1.9%	0.8%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ajax	Draw	FC Sion
Ajax	37.3%	5.7%	2.5%
Draw	13.9%	14.1%	9.9%
FC Sion	1.9%	3.2%	11.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ajax vs FC Sion

1 Ajax Wins

0 Draws

0 FC Sion Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Aug 2026	FC Sion	2 - 4	Ajax

Ajax — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
15 Sep	H Willem II	W	5 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Sittard	W	1 - 5
05 Sep	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Telstar	W	0 - 4

FC Sion — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H FC Zurich	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Grasshoppers	W	2 - 5
12 Sep	A FC ST. Gallen	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	H FC Thun	W	3 - 2
03 Sep	A FC Basel 1893	W	1 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Ajax

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Michel

1 Stegen

12 Henrique

15 Baas

30 Bouwman

2 Rosa

8 Brandt

6 Regeer

18 Klaassen

68 Ouazane

99 Arokodare

23 Berghuis

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Marc-André Ter Stegen	G
2	Lucas Rosa	D
30	Aaron Bouwman	D
15	Youri Baas	D
12	Caio Henrique	D
18	Davy Klaassen	M
6	Youri Regeer	M
8	Julian Brandt	M
23	Steven Berghuis	F
99	Tolu Arokodare	F
68	Abdellah Ouazane	F

Substitutes

24	Jorthy Mokio	M
20	Oliver Valaker Edvardsen	F
36	Dies Janse	D
10	Oscar Gloukh	M
38	Marcos Leonardo	F
22	Joeri Heerkens	G
26	Maarten Paes	G
3	Anton Gaaei	D
5	Owen Wijndal	D
21	Jofre Torrents	D
67	Mohamed Abdalla	M
9	Kasper Dolberg	F

FC Sion

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Didier Tholot

1 Racioppi

20 Hefti

17 Kronig

5 Sow

14 Lavanchy

8 Baltazar

88 Kabacalman

19 Surdez

13 Mokango

7 Chouaref

33 Nivokazi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Anthony Racioppi	G
14	Numa Lavanchy	D
5	Noé Sow	D
17	Jan Kronig	D
20	Nias Hefti	D
88	Ali Kabacalman	M
8	Baltazar	M
7	Ylyas Chouaref	M
13	Winsley Boteli Mokango	M
19	Franck Surdez	M
33	Rilind Nivokazi	F

Substitutes

6	Marquinhos Cipriano	D
9	Josias Lukembila	F
77	Donat Rrudhani	M
29	Théo Berdayes	F
37	Fode Sylla	M
12	Francesco Ruberto	G
40	Simon Caillet	G
55	Lorenzo Villa	D
10	Benjamin Kololli	M
21	Liam Scott Chipperfield	M
38	Ryan Kessler	D
22	Adrien Llukes	M