Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş Prediction

UEFA Europa League · Play-offs

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Kauno Žalgiris

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1 : 0

HT 0 - 0

1st leg 0-3 · Aggregate 1-3

Beşiktaş

Away

AI call Difficult Beşiktaş win or draw

13%

22%

64%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş prediction: Sportiko gives Kauno Žalgiris a 13% chance of winning, Beşiktaş 64% and the draw 22%. Last updated 27 Aug 2026, 18:53.

Match Report

Kauno Žalgiris produced a memorable upset in the UEFA Europa League play-offs, defeating Beşiktaş 1–0 in a tightly contested encounter. The first half ended goalless, with both sides struggling to break the deadlock, though Žalgiris picked up a yellow card in the 28th minute as the game grew competitive early on.

The decisive moment arrived in the 64th minute when Žalgiris struck with a well-taken goal to take the lead. Beşiktaş responded immediately, introducing three substitutes just a minute later — including Dušan Vlahović, Václav Černý, and Junior Olaitan — in a bid to find an equaliser. Further changes followed, but the Lithuanian side held firm, limiting the Turkish outfit to very little in the closing stages. Kartal Kayra Yılmaz was booked in the 85th minute before being substituted moments later.

Žalgiris defended resolutely to claim a famous victory and take a crucial first-leg advantage into the return fixture. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Beşiktaş win as the most likely outcome at 64%, a call that proved well wide of the mark on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yellow Card

28' ▮

HT 0–0

46' ⇄

⇄ F. Baldassarra

56' ⇄

assist: D. Mikelionis

64' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 65'

Dušan Vlahović ⇄ Hyeon-gyu Oh

⇄ 65'

Václav Černý ⇄ Milot Rashica

⇄ 65'

Junior Olaitan ⇄ Semih Kılıçsoy

⇄ A. Benchaib

69' ⇄

Y. Karashima ⇄ V. Slivka

80' ⇄

▮ 85'

Kartal Kayra Yılmaz Yellow Card

⇄ 86'

İlhan Fakili ⇄ Amir Hadžiahmetović

⇄ 86'

Kartal Kayra Yılmaz

FT 1–0

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Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Beşiktaş win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Kauno Žalgiris

WLWWW

Beşiktaş

LWWWW

Last 1 meetings Kauno Žalgiris · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Beşiktaş goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	12	10	5	2	1
1	7	14	9	5	2	1
2	4	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Kauno Žalgiris goals · most likely 1–1 (14.0%)

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Players in form

Kauno Žalgiris

No scorer data.

Beşiktaş

V. Černý 1 gls

I. Fakili 1 gls

A. Murillo 1 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

64%

Draw

22%

Home Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

64%

Draw

22%

Home Win

13%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

69% Away (No Draw) 31% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 21% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.7%	12.0%	10.1%	5.0%	1.9%
1	6.7%	14.0%	9.2%	4.6%	1.7%
2	3.8%	5.6%	4.2%	2.1%	0.8%
3	1.1%	1.7%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Kauno Žalgiris	Draw	Beşiktaş
Kauno Žalgiris	12.3%	3.8%	1.8%
Draw	8.8%	19.3%	16.3%
Beşiktaş	1.2%	4.3%	32.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş

0 Kauno Žalgiris Wins

0 Draws

1 Beşiktaş Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Aug 2026	Beşiktaş	3 - 0	Kauno Žalgiris

Kauno Žalgiris — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Šiauliai	W	0 - 2
16 Sep	A FK Zalgiris Vilnius	L	3 - 2
13 Sep	A Panevėžys	W	0 - 1
09 Sep	H Suduva Marijampole	W	5 - 1
06 Sep	H Džiugas Telšiai	W	5 - 0

Beşiktaş — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Amed	L	3 - 2
17 Sep	H Marseille	W	4 - 1
11 Sep	H Erzurumspor FK	W	3 - 0
05 Sep	A Fenerbahçe	W	1 - 2
31 Aug	H Çorum FK	W	6 - 2

UEFA Europa League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	5	0	+5	3
2	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	4	0	+4	3
3	Sparta Praha	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
4	Beşiktaş	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
5	Union St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
6	Ferencvarosi TC	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
8	Bayer Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
9	OFI	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
10	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
11	Lyon	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
12	Torreense	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
13	Olympiakos Piraeus	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
14	Red Bull Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
15	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
16	Omonia Nicosia	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
17	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
18	Rennes	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
19	Dinamo Zagreb	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
20	Hapoel Beer Sheva	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
21	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
22	Real Sociedad	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
23	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
24	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
25	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
26	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
27	Levski Sofia	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
28	Celtic	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
29	1899 Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
30	AC Milan	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
31	Celje	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
32	Marseille	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
33	Ararat-Armenia	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
34	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0
35	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0
36	NEC Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0

Beşiktaş

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

1 Nübel

62 Murillo

35 Djaló

53 Topçu

29 Fakılı

15 Olaitan

6 Özcan

11 Ouattara

8 Yılmaz

28 Vlahović

18 Černý

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Alexander Nübel	G
29	İlhan Fakılı	M
53	Emirhan Topçu	D
35	Tiago Djaló	D
62	Amir Murillo	D
11	Kassoum Ouattara	D
6	Salih Özcan	M
15	Junior Olaitan	M
18	Václav Černý	M
28	Dušan Vlahović	F
8	Kartal Kayra Yılmaz	M

Substitutes

80	Doğan Alemdar	G
12	Emmanuel Agbadou	D
22	Taylan Bulut	D
33	Rıdvan Yılmaz	D
58	Yasin Özcan	D
4	Wilfred Ndidi	M
5	Amir Hadžiahmetović	M
7	Milot Rashica	M
10	Orkun Kökçü	M
9	Hyeon-gyu Oh	F
70	Ahmet Sami Bircan	F
90	Semih Kılıçsoy	F

Kauno Žalgiris

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Eivinas Cerniauskas

22 Mikelionis

37 Edokpolor

23 Hernández

77 Lekiatas

45 Moutachy

8 Karashima

15 Ribeiro

20 Kalik

17 Fiolić

70 Ourega

27 Debeljuh

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Deividas Mikelionis	G
45	Joris Moutachy	D
77	Rokas Lekiatas	D
23	Aldayr Hernández	D
37	Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor	D
8	Yukiyoshi Karashima	M
70	Fabien Ourega	M
17	Ivan Fiolić	M
20	Anthony Kalik	M
15	Léo Ribeiro	M
27	Gabriel Debeljuh	F

Substitutes

55	Tomas Švedkauskas	G
33	Marko Konatar	D
62	Lirim Kastrati	D
9	Leon Kreković	M
10	Gratas Sirgėdas	M
14	Vykintas Slivka	M
32	Franco Baldassarra	M
7	Amine Benchaib	F
19	Renan Oliveira	F
24	Motiejus Burba	F