AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia Prediction
AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia prediction: Sportiko gives AEK Athens FC a 56% chance of winning, Levski Sofia 17% and the draw 27%. Last updated 26 Aug 2026, 20:52.
Match Report
AEK Athens FC produced a commanding performance to dismantle Levski Sofia 4–0 in their UEFA Champions League play-off tie, with the match effectively settled before the interval. Luka Jović opened the scoring inside seven minutes, and Barnabás Varga added a second just five minutes later. Varga struck again in the 29th minute to give the Greek side a convincing 3–0 lead at the break, rendering the second half largely a formality.
Levski enjoyed the majority of possession at 52% but were unable to convert that into meaningful chances, managing just three shots on target compared to AEK's seven. Răzvan Marin, despite picking up a yellow card in the 51st minute, added a fourth from the penalty spot four minutes later to complete the rout. Our pre-match AI model had rated an AEK win as the most likely outcome at 56%, a call that proved well-founded.
AEK's coaching staff took the opportunity to rotate heavily in the closing stages, with five substitutions made after the hour mark, including the withdrawal of both Varga and Jović late on, as the hosts comfortably saw out a dominant victory.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
AEK Athens FC
Match Stats
AEK Athens FC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Barnabás Varga F | 9.0 | 81' | 2 | – | 2 | 13 (9%) | 2 |
| 44 Filipe Relvas D | 7.9 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 65 (61%) | 1 |
| 14 Lovro Majer M | 7.6 | 81' | – | 1 | 2 | 41 (38%) | 3 |
| 12 Lazaros Rota D | 7.6 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 53 (49%) | 4 |
| 9 Luka Jović F | 7.6 | 86' | 1 | – | 2 | 16 (14%) | – |
| 1 Thomas Strakosha G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (17%) | – |
| 18 Răzvan Marin M | 7.3 | 86' | 1 | – | 3 | 59 (52%) | 1 |
| 6 Kaan Kairinen M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (51%) | 3 |
| 3 Stavros Pilios D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (28%) | 7 |
| 2 Harold Moukoudi D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (39%) | 1 |
| 90 Zini F | 6.6 | 9' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 11 Aboubakary Koita M | 6.3 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 19 (15%) | – |
| 20 Petros Mantalos M | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 10 Oleksandr Zubkov M | 6.2 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 | – |
| 16 Kervin Arriaga M | — | 4' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 8 Mijat Gaćinović M | — | 4' | – | – | 1 | – | – |
Levski Sofia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 K. Dimitrov D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 53 (49%) | 1 |
| 17 Everton Bala F | 7.2 | 63' | – | – | 2 | 27 (25%) | – |
| 11 A. Oko-Flex F | 6.9 | 76' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | – |
| 19 El Mehdi Moubarik M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 68 (64%) | 1 |
| 35 Serginho M | 6.5 | 82' | – | – | – | 47 (45%) | – |
| 7 Reinaldo F | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 31 N. Serafimov D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (50%) | 2 |
| 18 G. Trdin M | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 20 (19%) | 1 |
| 27 David Kusso F | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | 2 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 9 J. Perea F | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 10 Asen Ivanov Mitkov M | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | – |
| 22 Mazire Soula F | 6.2 | 14' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 3 Maicon M | 6.0 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 20 Álex Centelles D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (39%) | 1 |
| 21 Aldair D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (43%) | 4 |
| 92 S. Vutsov G | 5.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (27%) | – |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
B. Varga
2 gls
Reinaldo
3 gls
A. Oko-Flex
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2026 | Levski Sofia | 0 - 0 | AEK Athens FC |
AEK Athens FC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Volos NFC | W | 1 - 2 |
| 17 Sep | H Panserraikos | W | 8 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A Asteras Tripolis | D | 1 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | H Lask Linz | W | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Aris Thessalonikis | W | 5 - 0 |
Levski Sofia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | H Red Bull Salzburg | L | 0 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A Botev Vratsa | D | 0 - 0 |
| 09 Sep | H CSKA Sofia | L | 2 - 4 |
| 05 Sep | H CSKA 1948 | W | 1 - 0 |
| 02 Sep | A Slavia Sofia | W | 1 - 2 |
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
AEK Athens FC
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: M. Nikolić
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thomas Strakosha | G |
| 12 | Lazaros Rota | D |
| 2 | Harold Moukoudi | D |
| 44 | Filipe Relvas | D |
| 3 | Stavros Pilios | D |
| 14 | Lovro Majer | M |
| 18 | Răzvan Marin | M |
| 6 | Kaan Kairinen | M |
| 11 | Aboubakary Koita | M |
| 25 | Barnabás Varga | F |
| 9 | Luka Jović | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | Petros Mantalos | M |
| 41 | Marios Balamotis | G |
| 91 | Alberto Brignoli | G |
| 15 | Martin Georgiev | D |
| 21 | Domagoj Vida | D |
| 7 | Dereck Kutesa | M |
| 8 | Mijat Gaćinović | M |
| 10 | Oleksandr Zubkov | M |
| 16 | Kervin Arriaga | M |
| 17 | Dimitrios Kaloskamis | M |
| 90 | Zini | F |
Levski Sofia
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Julio Velazquez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 92 | Svetoslav Vutsov | G |
| 21 | Aldair | D |
| 50 | Kristian Dimitrov | D |
| 31 | Nikola Serafimov | D |
| 20 | Álex Centelles | D |
| 35 | Serginho | M |
| 19 | El Mehdi Moubarik | M |
| 3 | Maicon | M |
| 11 | Armstrong Oko-Flex | F |
| 17 | Everton Bala | F |
| 7 | Reinaldo | F |
Substitutes
| 18 | Gašper Trdin | M |
| 27 | David Kusso | F |
| 9 | Juan Perea | F |
| 1 | Ognyan Vladimirov | G |
| 78 | Martin Lukov | G |
| 2 | Hevertton Santos | D |
| 4 | Christian Makoun | D |
| 10 | Asen Ivanov Mitkov | M |
| 22 | Mazire Soula | F |
| 77 | Adrian Raychev | F |
| 28 | Steven Stoyanchov | F |