Newcastle vs West Brom Prediction

League Cup League Cup · Round of 64
FT
Post on X
St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
AI call Difficult Newcastle win or draw
57%
23%
19%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Newcastle vs West Brom prediction: Sportiko gives Newcastle a 57% chance of winning, West Brom 19% and the draw 23%. Last updated 26 Aug 2026, 20:39.

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Timeline

Sean Steur Yellow Card
18'
0–1 19'
Isaac Price
Bazoumana Touré assist: Amar Dedić
38' 1–1
HT 1–1
Bazoumana Touré ⇄ Harvey Barnes
46'
Harvey Barnes assist: Malick Thiaw
48' 2–1
52'
Rabby Nzingoula Yellow Card
55'
Ousmane Diakité Yellow Card
62'
Barney Stewart Yellow Card
Joe Willock ⇄ Yoane Wissa
64'
Jacob Murphy ⇄ Anthony Elanga
64'
Sean Steur ⇄ Lewis Miley
65'
70'
Rabby Nzingoula ⇄ Callum Styles
70'
⇄ Felix Horn Myhre
71'
Ousmane Diakité ⇄ Jayson Molumby
Ewen Jaouen Yellow Card
77'
2–2 77'
Isaac Price Penalty
80'
Harry Whitwell ⇄ Tammer Bany
80'
Isaac Price ⇄ Oliver Bostock
Harvey Barnes assist: Amar Dedić
81' 3–2
Jacob Ramsey Yellow Card
89'
FT 3–2
Newcastle

Match Stats

West Brom
57% Ball Possession 43%
Expected Goals (xG)
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 2
5 Blocked Shots 7
11 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 8
6 Corner Kicks 2
3 Offsides 2
13 Fouls 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
506 Total passes 387
448 Passes accurate 322
89% Passes % 83%
goals_prevented
Newcastle
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Harvey Barnes M 9.5 49' 2 3 20 (19%)
17 Bazoumana Touré M 7.7 45' 1 2 16 (13%) 1
27 Nick Woltemade F 7.3 94' 1 22 (20%) 1
23 Jacob Murphy M 7.3 64' 15 (12%) 2
37 Amar Dedić D 7.2 94' 2 36 (31%) 2
12 Malick Thiaw D 7.2 94' 1 1 61 (55%)
4 Sven Botman D 7.0 94' 87 (76%)
14 Sean Steur M 6.9 65' 65 (62%)
67 Lewis Miley M 6.9 29' 19 (17%)
41 Jacob Ramsey M 6.9 94' 56 (53%) 3
19 Anthony Elanga F 6.6 30' 14 (13%) 1
3 Lewis Hall D 6.2 94' 2 40 (39%) 2
28 Joe Willock M 6.2 64' 1 20 (13%) 2
9 Yoane Wissa F 6.0 30' 1 7 (5%)
24 Ewen Jaouen G 5.9 94' 28 (20%)
West Brom
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 Isaac Price M 8.5 80' 2 2 27 (27%) 1
6 George Campbell D 6.9 94' 1 43 (38%) 1
29 Harry Whitwell M 6.9 80' 30 (22%) 6
7 Felix Horn Myhre M 6.7 24' 7 (7%) 1
2 Chris Mepham D 6.7 94' 58 (52%) 2
11 Jimmy Morgan F 6.6 70' 1 17 (13%)
4 Callum Styles D 6.5 24' 17 (15%) 1
8 Jayson Molumby M 6.5 23' 1 24 (22%)
37 Oliver Bostock F 6.5 14' 1 (1%)
23 Tammer Bany F 6.3 14' 4 (3%)
17 Ousmane Diakité M 6.2 71' 23 (20%) 1
28 Alex Williams D 6.2 94' 40 (31%) 2
20 Rabby Nzingoula M 6.0 70' 26 (19%) 2
9 Barney Stewart F 5.9 94' 10 (7%) 1
22 Conor Townsend D 5.9 94' 28 (24%)
13 Matt Ingram G 5.6 94' 32 (21%)
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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Newcastle win or draw
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Newcastle
WLWDW
West Brom
LDWWD
Last 3 meetings Newcastle · 1W 1D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
57%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
19%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Newcastle
H. Barnes 2 gls
West Brom
J. Morgan 2 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Newcastle vs West Brom

1 Newcastle Wins
1 Draws
1 West Brom Wins
Date Home Score Away
07 Mar 2021 West Brom 0 - 0 Newcastle
12 Dec 2020 Newcastle 2 - 1 West Brom
28 Apr 2018 Newcastle 0 - 1 West Brom
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Newcastle — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Hull City W 2 - 1
14 Sep A Leeds L 4 - 1
08 Sep A Millwall W 0 - 1
05 Sep H Bournemouth D 2 - 2
29 Aug A Tottenham W 0 - 2

West Brom — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Wolves L 1 - 0
12 Sep H QPR D 1 - 1
09 Sep A Derby W 0 - 1
05 Sep H Watford W 1 - 0
02 Sep H Charlton D 1 - 1

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Newcastle

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Matthias Jaissle
24 Jaouen
3 Hall
4 Botman
12 Thiaw
37 Dedić
41 Ramsey
14 Steur
17 Touré
28 Willock
23 Murphy
27 Woltemade

Starting XI

# Player Pos
24 Ewen Jaouen G
37 Amar Dedić D
12 Malick Thiaw D
4 Sven Botman D
3 Lewis Hall D
14 Sean Steur M
41 Jacob Ramsey M
23 Jacob Murphy M
28 Joe Willock M
17 Bazoumana Touré M
27 Nick Woltemade F

Substitutes

11 Harvey Barnes M
19 Anthony Elanga F
9 Yoane Wissa F
67 Lewis Miley M
21 Lukáš Horníček G
51 Leo Shahar D
5 Fabian Schär D
8 Aladji Bamba M
62 Sean Neave F

West Brom

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Randin Rande
13 Ingram
22 Townsend
6 Campbell
2 Mepham
28 Williams
21 Price
17 Diakité
20 Nzingoula
29 Whitwell
11 Morgan
9 Stewart

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Matt Ingram G
28 Alex Williams D
2 Chris Mepham D
6 George Campbell D
22 Conor Townsend D
29 Harry Whitwell M
20 Rabby Nzingoula M
17 Ousmane Diakité M
21 Isaac Price M
9 Barney Stewart F
11 Jimmy Morgan F

Substitutes

4 Callum Styles D
7 Felix Horn Myhre M
8 Jayson Molumby M
37 Oliver Bostock F
23 Tammer Bany F
1 Max O'Leary G
3 Nathaniel Phillips D
25 Nolan Galves D
35 Matthew Crowther M

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