Real Betis vs Real Madrid Prediction

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 32
FT
Post on X
AI call Difficult Real Madrid win or draw
16%
20%
64%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Real Betis vs Real Madrid prediction: Sportiko gives Real Betis a 16% chance of winning, Real Madrid 64% and the draw 20%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Real Madrid looked set for a comfortable away victory after Vinícius Júnior broke the deadlock in the 17th minute, giving the visitors a lead they carried into half-time. Carlo Ancelotti's side dominated in terms of total shots, finishing with 19 compared to Betis's 12, though the hosts tested the goalkeeper more directly with eight shots on target to Madrid's four.

Betis grew into the contest after the interval, with Manuel Pellegrini making a series of tactical substitutions to inject energy into his side. Both Sofyan Amrabat and Dean Huijsen were withdrawn in the 73rd minute having picked up yellow cards earlier in the half, reflecting a feisty midfield battle that also saw Trent Alexander-Arnold cautioned on 72 minutes.

The hosts were rewarded deep into stoppage time when Héctor Bellerín equalised in the 90th minute, denying Madrid what would have been a valuable three points. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Real Madrid win as the most likely outcome at 64%, a call that ultimately did not materialise. The draw leaves Madrid's title ambitions requiring a response in the coming fixtures.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 17'
Vinícius Júnior
Marc Bartra ⇄ Diego Llorente
32' ⇄
Sofyan Amrabat Yellow Card
38' ▮
▮ 40'
Dean Huijsen Yellow Card
HT 0–1
Álvaro Fidalgo ⇄ Marc Roca
46' ⇄
Cédric Bakambu ⇄ Cucho Hernández
46' ⇄
Pablo Fornals ⇄ Giovani Lo Celso
68' ⇄
▮ 72'
Trent Alexander-Arnold Yellow Card
Sofyan Amrabat ⇄ Isco
73' ⇄
⇄ 73'
Dean Huijsen ⇄ David Alaba
⇄ 73'
Thiago Pitarch ⇄ Eduardo Camavinga
⇄ 81'
Kylian Mbappé ⇄ Gonzalo García
⇄ 82'
Brahim Díaz ⇄ Manuel Ángel Morán
Héctor Bellerín assist: Giovani Lo Celso
90' ⚽ 1–1
FT 1–1
Real Betis

Match Stats

Real Madrid
52% Ball Possession 48%
1.08 Expected Goals (xG) 1.19
19 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 8
10 Shots off Goal 2
5 Blocked Shots 2
12 Shots insidebox 10
7 Shots outsidebox 2
7 Corner Kicks 6
1 Offsides 3
10 Fouls 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
7 Goalkeeper Saves 3
573 Total passes 536
515 Passes accurate 463
90% Passes % 86%
0.74 goals_prevented 0.74
Real Betis
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Álvaro Valles G 8.2 90' – – – 26 (21%) –
10 Abdessamad Ezzalzouli M 8.2 90' – – 1 46 (39%) 4
2 Héctor Bellerín D 7.9 90' 1 – 1 59 (56%) 1
3 Diego Llorente D 7.3 58' – – – 32 (32%) 2
7 Antony M 7.0 90' – – 4 47 (39%) 2
20 Giovani Lo Celso M 6.9 22' – 1 – 16 (16%) –
15 Álvaro Fidalgo M 6.7 45' – – 1 32 (31%) 2
5 Marc Bartra D 6.7 32' – – – 12 (11%) 2
8 Pablo Fornals M 6.7 68' – – 1 61 (54%) –
4 Natan D 6.6 90' – – 1 40 (33%) 2
22 Isco M 6.6 17' – – – 23 (22%) –
12 Ricardo Rodríguez D 6.5 90' – – – 55 (51%) –
19 Cucho Hernández F 6.5 45' – – 2 15 (11%) –
14 Sofyan Amrabat M 6.3 73' – – 1 66 (61%) –
11 Cédric Bakambu F 6.3 45' – – 1 6 (5%) –
21 Marc Roca M 6.3 45' – – 1 37 (33%) 1
Real Madrid
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Vinícius Júnior F 7.7 90' 1 – 2 46 (39%) –
13 Andriy Lunin G 7.7 90' – – – 31 (27%) 1
24 Dean Huijsen D 7.7 73' – – 1 47 (41%) 2
6 Eduardo Camavinga M 7.3 17' – – – 8 (7%) 1
8 Federico Valverde M 7.2 90' – – 2 76 (71%) 1
5 Jude Bellingham M 7.0 90' – – 2 59 (51%) –
22 Antonio Rüdiger D 6.7 90' – – – 66 (58%) –
45 Thiago Pitarch M 6.6 73' – – – 34 (32%) 3
4 David Alaba D 6.3 17' – – – 9 (8%) –
12 Trent Alexander-Arnold D 6.3 90' – – – 57 (43%) 1
16 Gonzalo García F 6.3 9' – – – 5 (5%) –
37 Manuel Ángel Morán M 6.3 8' – – – 6 (5%) 1
21 Brahim Díaz M 6.2 82' – – – 27 (22%) –
10 Kylian Mbappé F 6.2 81' – – 3 28 (22%) 1
23 Ferland Mendy D 6.0 90' – – – 37 (32%) –
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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Real Madrid win or draw
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Real Betis
DWWWW
Real Madrid
LWWWL
Last 3 meetings Real Betis · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash on April 25, 2026, Real Betis hosts Real Madrid at the Estadio Benito Villamarín. Real Madrid, historically dominant in this fixture, currently boasts a strong away record, having won 75% of their last 12 matches against Betis. Betis, however, has been resilient at home, securing points in 65% of their matches this season, driven by a solid defensive unit. Key players to watch will be Betis' attacking midfielder, who has been pivotal in creating chances, and Madrid's forward line, which remains one of the league's most potent. The match could hinge on Betis’ ability to maintain defensive discipline against Madrid's high-pressing game.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Real Betis

No scorer data.

Real Madrid
Kylian Mbappé 7 gls
J. Bellingham 3 gls

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Head to Head: Real Betis vs Real Madrid

2 Real Betis Wins
0 Draws
1 Real Madrid Wins
Date Home Score Away
04 Sep 2026 Real Betis 1 - 0 Real Madrid
04 Jan 2026 Real Madrid 5 - 1 Real Betis
01 Mar 2025 Real Betis 2 - 1 Real Madrid
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Real Betis — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Deportivo La Coruna D 1 - 1
17 Sep H Getafe W 1 - 0
14 Sep A Villarreal W 1 - 2
08 Sep A Lille W 2 - 3
04 Sep H Real Madrid W 1 - 0

Real Madrid — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Atletico Madrid L 2 - 1
15 Sep A Elche W 2 - 3
12 Sep H Rayo Vallecano W 4 - 1
08 Sep H Inter W 2 - 1
04 Sep A Real Betis L 1 - 0

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Real Madrid

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Alvaro Arbeloa
13 Lunin
23 Mendy
24 Huijsen
22 Rudiger
12 Alexander-Arnold
45 Pitarch
8 Valverde
5 Bellingham
21 Diaz
7 Junior
10 Mbappe

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 A. Lunin G
12 T. Alexander-Arnold D
22 A. Rudiger D
24 D. Huijsen D
23 F. Mendy D
21 B. Diaz M
5 J. Bellingham M
8 F. Valverde M
45 T. Pitarch M
10 K. Mbappe F
7 Vinicius Junior F

Substitutes

29 J. Navarro Jimenez G
4 D. Alaba D
2 D. Carvajal D
6 E. Camavinga M
18 A. Carreras D
37 Manuel Angel M
30 F. Mastantuono F
27 D. Aguado D
20 F. Garcia D
17 R. Asencio D
16 G. Garcia F
28 J. Cestero Sancho M

Real Betis

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Pellegrini
1 Valles
12 Rodriguez
4 Natan
5 Bartra
2 Bellerin
15 Fidalgo
14 Amrabat
10 Ezzalzouli
8 Fornals
7 Antony
11 Bakambu

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 A. Valles G
2 H. Bellerin D
5 M. Bartra D
4 Natan D
12 R. Rodriguez D
14 S. Amrabat M
15 A. Fidalgo M
7 Antony M
8 P. Fornals M
10 A. Ezzalzouli M
11 C. Bakambu F

Substitutes

25 P. Lopez G
22 Isco M
3 D. Llorente D
9 C. Avila F
21 M. Roca M
19 Cucho Hernandez F
18 N. Deossa M
16 V. Gomez D
20 G. Lo Celso M
24 A. Ruibal F
17 R. Riquelme M
6 S. Altimira M

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