Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom Prediction

UEFA Europa League · Play-offs

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Lillestrom

Away

AI call Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw

38%

28%

34%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom prediction: Sportiko gives Egnatia Rrogozhinë a 38% chance of winning, Lillestrom 34% and the draw 28%. Last updated 20 Aug 2026, 18:51.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 71%

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Match Report

Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Lillestrom played out a goalless draw in their UEFA Europa League play-off first leg, with neither side able to find a breakthrough across 90-plus minutes. The match was closely contested throughout, with possession split almost evenly at 49-51 in favour of the Norwegian visitors.

The hosts were the more threatening side in front of goal, registering four shots on target to Lillestrom's two, though neither goalkeeper was seriously troubled enough to be beaten. Lars Ranger picked up a yellow card in the 59th minute as the game grew tighter in the second half, and both managers turned to their benches, with Fredrik Gulbrandsen and Y. Paintsil among those introduced in the closing stages.

The stalemate leaves the tie finely poised ahead of the second leg, with Egnatia holding a slight edge having kept a clean sheet on home soil. Notably, the pre-match AI model had rated an Egnatia win as the most likely outcome at 38%, a call that fell short of materialising but reflected the Albanian side's competitive showing on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0

Yellow Card

56' ▮

▮ 59'

Lars Ranger Yellow Card

67' ⇄

⇄ 67'

K. Krygård ⇄ Henrik Melland

72' ⇄

⇄ 80'

Fredrik Gulbrandsen ⇄ Seun Akanji

⇄ 81'

Y. Paintsil ⇄ Eric Kitolano

⇄ Numan Ajetovikj

90+1' ⇄

FT 0–0

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Match Stats

Lillestrom

49% Ball Possession 51%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

4 Shots on Goal 2

4 Shots off Goal 1

0 Blocked Shots 0

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

4 Corner Kicks 3

1 Offsides 1

9 Fouls 14

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Our lean

Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Egnatia Rrogozhinë

WLWWL

Lillestrom

LLWWL

Last 1 meetings Egnatia Rrogozhinë · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lillestrom goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	6	3	1
1	13	14	5	1
2	11	9	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

34%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

34%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.1%	6.2%	3.2%	0.9%	0.2%
1	13.1%	13.5%	4.9%	1.3%	0.3%
2	11.3%	9.2%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%
3	5.8%	4.7%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.2%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	Draw	Lillestrom
Egnatia Rrogozhinë	36.7%	5.1%	1.6%
Draw	16.0%	19.0%	9.4%
Lillestrom	1.3%	2.7%	8.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom

0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Wins

0 Draws

1 Lillestrom Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Aug 2026	Lillestrom	2 - 1	Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Partizani	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A AF Elbasani	L	2 - 1
04 Sep	H Skenderbeu Korce	W	2 - 1
31 Aug	A Vora	W	1 - 3
27 Aug	A Lillestrom	L	2 - 1

Lillestrom — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Viking	L	3 - 0
17 Sep	H Torreense	L	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Valerenga	W	2 - 0
05 Sep	A Brann	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Fredrikstad	L	1 - 4

UEFA Europa League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	5	0	+5	3
2	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	4	0	+4	3
3	Sparta Praha	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
4	Beşiktaş	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
5	Union St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
6	Ferencvarosi TC	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
8	Bayer Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
9	OFI	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
10	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
11	Lyon	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
12	Torreense	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
13	Olympiakos Piraeus	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
14	Red Bull Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
15	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
16	Omonia Nicosia	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
17	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
18	Rennes	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
19	Dinamo Zagreb	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
20	Hapoel Beer Sheva	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
21	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
22	Real Sociedad	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
23	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
24	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
25	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
26	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
27	Levski Sofia	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
28	Celtic	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
29	1899 Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
30	AC Milan	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
31	Celje	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
32	Marseille	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
33	Ararat-Armenia	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
34	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0
35	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0
36	NEC Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.